中國城鄉(xiāng)消費差距的拐點判定及其增長效應(yīng)
發(fā)布時間：2018-08-08 16:59
【摘要】：本文利用1992—2012年我國29個省區(qū)的面板數(shù)據(jù),采用固定效應(yīng)模型實證研究了城市化對城鄉(xiāng)消費差距的影響,以及城鄉(xiāng)消費差距對經(jīng)濟增長的作用。結(jié)果顯示:城市化是引致城鄉(xiāng)消費差距變動的核心變量,且城市化導致中國的城鄉(xiāng)消費差距呈現(xiàn)出先增后減的"倒U型"趨勢,"倒U型"拐點大致發(fā)生在2003年,東部地區(qū)城鄉(xiāng)消費差距的"倒U型"趨勢顯著于中西部地區(qū)。20世紀90年代初期以來,我國的城鄉(xiāng)消費差距與經(jīng)濟增長之間存在著長期穩(wěn)定關(guān)系,城鄉(xiāng)消費差距拉大對經(jīng)濟增長產(chǎn)生了負面效應(yīng),且這種負面效應(yīng)在東部地區(qū)要比中西部地區(qū)表現(xiàn)得更為顯著�？梢�,我國的城市化、城鄉(xiāng)消費差距和經(jīng)濟增長之間存在著依次影響的關(guān)系,且這種影響關(guān)系具有時段差異性和區(qū)域異質(zhì)性。
[Abstract]:Using the panel data of 29 provinces and regions from 1992 to 2012, this paper empirically studies the effect of urbanization on the urban-rural consumption gap and the effect of urban-rural consumption gap on economic growth by using fixed effect model. The results show that urbanization is the core variable leading to the change of the urban-rural consumption gap, and the urban-rural consumption gap in China shows a trend of "inverted U type" which increases first and then decreases. The turning point of "inverted U-type" occurred roughly in 2003. The trend of "inverted U type" of the urban-rural consumption gap in the eastern region is significantly higher than that in the central and western regions since the early 1990s. There is a long-term stable relationship between the urban-rural consumption gap and economic growth in China. The widening of urban-rural consumption gap has a negative effect on economic growth, and this negative effect is more obvious in the eastern region than in the central and western regions. It can be seen that the relationship among urbanization, urban-rural consumption gap and economic growth has a sequential impact, and this relationship has time difference and regional heterogeneity.
【作者單位】： 復旦大學經(jīng)濟學院;
【基金】：國家社會科學基金項目“我國城鄉(xiāng)要素交換關(guān)系完善的理論研究與實證分析”(12CJL039) 教育部新世紀優(yōu)秀人才支持計劃項目“中國城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)化的政治經(jīng)濟學”(NCET-11-0105) 上海市哲學社會科學規(guī)劃項目“轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展背景下上海化解新二元結(jié)構(gòu)問題研究”(2012FJL001)的階段性成果
【分類號】：F126.1
[Abstract]:Using the panel data of 29 provinces and regions from 1992 to 2012, this paper empirically studies the effect of urbanization on the urban-rural consumption gap and the effect of urban-rural consumption gap on economic growth by using fixed effect model. The results show that urbanization is the core variable leading to the change of the urban-rural consumption gap, and the urban-rural consumption gap in China shows a trend of "inverted U type" which increases first and then decreases. The turning point of "inverted U-type" occurred roughly in 2003. The trend of "inverted U type" of the urban-rural consumption gap in the eastern region is significantly higher than that in the central and western regions since the early 1990s. There is a long-term stable relationship between the urban-rural consumption gap and economic growth in China. The widening of urban-rural consumption gap has a negative effect on economic growth, and this negative effect is more obvious in the eastern region than in the central and western regions. It can be seen that the relationship among urbanization, urban-rural consumption gap and economic growth has a sequential impact, and this relationship has time difference and regional heterogeneity.
【作者單位】： 復旦大學經(jīng)濟學院;
【基金】：國家社會科學基金項目“我國城鄉(xiāng)要素交換關(guān)系完善的理論研究與實證分析”(12CJL039) 教育部新世紀優(yōu)秀人才支持計劃項目“中國城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)化的政治經(jīng)濟學”(NCET-11-0105) 上海市哲學社會科學規(guī)劃項目“轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展背景下上海化解新二元結(jié)構(gòu)問題研究”(2012FJL001)的階段性成果
【分類號】：F126.1
【共引文獻】
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