本文選題：出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu) + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)��； 參考：《華僑大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)領(lǐng)域研究的兩個(gè)熱點(diǎn)問(wèn)題。從內(nèi)部經(jīng)濟(jì)來(lái)說(shuō)，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是一國(guó)或地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)的骨架，決定著經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的速度、質(zhì)量及今后發(fā)展的方向；開(kāi)放經(jīng)濟(jì)中，貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)則成為影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的又一關(guān)鍵因素，直接反映著一國(guó)或地區(qū)的產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力及其國(guó)際分工位次�！笆濉币�(guī)劃建議也指出，要始終把調(diào)整優(yōu)化經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)作為加快轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式的主攻方向，突出產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級(jí)，轉(zhuǎn)變外貿(mào)增長(zhǎng)方式，充分發(fā)揮福建在海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)中先行先試的主體作用。因此，對(duì)福建省出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的耦合聯(lián)動(dòng)性進(jìn)行研究，從而探究二者如何協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的問(wèn)題，具有時(shí)代性和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文采用實(shí)證分析和定性分析相結(jié)合的研究方法對(duì)福建出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的聯(lián)動(dòng)性進(jìn)行研究。定性分析上，首先對(duì)國(guó)際貿(mào)易理論和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)理論進(jìn)行綜述，探究貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)聯(lián)性的理論支撐；然后以理論為基礎(chǔ)，分析共同影響因素，，并具體剖析二者的互動(dòng)機(jī)制。實(shí)證分析上，借助統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)考察二者的歷史耦合關(guān)系，并量化結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)效應(yīng)；利用向量自回歸（VAR）模型先從總體上分析出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的聯(lián)動(dòng)關(guān)系；然后依次利用出口內(nèi)生增長(zhǎng)模型和半對(duì)數(shù)回歸模型具體分析出口貿(mào)易因素對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的作用，以及三次產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的影響。 通過(guò)統(tǒng)計(jì)分析和實(shí)證研究，本文發(fā)現(xiàn)福建出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)之間存在長(zhǎng)期協(xié)整關(guān)系；產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)具有重要決定作用，但由于三次產(chǎn)業(yè)整體結(jié)構(gòu)和個(gè)體結(jié)構(gòu)中仍存在不合理因素，短期中可能不利于出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化。出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響存在滯后效應(yīng)，且其對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響作用具有局限性，影響程度相對(duì)較弱，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化主要還是受自身內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的影響�；谏鲜龇治龊徒Y(jié)論，本文認(rèn)為，福建省應(yīng)通過(guò)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的提升來(lái)帶動(dòng)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化，并通過(guò)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化來(lái)促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的提升。
[Abstract]:Trade structure and industrial structure are two hot issues in the field of economics. In terms of the internal economy, the industrial structure is the backbone of the economy of a country or region, which determines the speed, quality and future direction of economic development. In an open economy, the trade structure becomes another key factor affecting economic growth. It directly reflects the industrial competitiveness of a country or region and its international division of labor. The 12th Five-Year Plan also pointed out that the adjustment and optimization of the economic structure should always be regarded as the main direction of attack in speeding up the transformation of the mode of economic development, highlighting the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure, and transforming the mode of foreign trade growth. Give full play to the main role of Fujian in the economic zone of the West Bank of the Straits. Therefore, the study on the coupling of export trade structure and industrial structure of Fujian Province, so as to explore the problem of how to coordinate the development of the two has the time and practical significance. This paper studies the linkage of Fujian's export trade structure and industrial structure by the combination of empirical analysis and qualitative analysis. In qualitative analysis, firstly, the international trade theory and industrial structure theory are summarized, and the theoretical support of the correlation between trade structure and industrial structure is explored, and then, based on the theory, the common influencing factors are analyzed. And the specific analysis of the interaction between the two mechanisms. In the empirical analysis, the historical coupling relationship between them is investigated with the help of statistical data, and the effect of structural change is quantified, and the linkage relationship between export trade structure and industrial structure is analyzed by using vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Then we use the export endogenous growth model and semi-logarithmic regression model to analyze the effect of export trade factors on the industrial structure and the influence of three industries on the export trade structure. Through statistical analysis and empirical research, this paper finds that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between Fujian's export trade structure and industrial structure, and the industrial structure plays an important role in determining the export trade structure. However, there are still unreasonable factors in the overall and individual structure of the three industries, which may be unfavorable to the optimization of export trade structure in the short term. The influence of export trade structure on industrial structure has lag effect, and its influence on industrial structure is limited, and the influence degree is relatively weak. The optimization of industrial structure is mainly influenced by its internal structure adjustment. Based on the above analysis and conclusion, this paper holds that Fujian Province should promote the optimization of export trade structure through the upgrading of industrial structure, and promote the upgrading of industrial structure through the optimization of export trade structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華僑大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F752.8

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