本文選題：縣域經(jīng)濟(jì) + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)�。� 參考：《陜西師范大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：縣域,作為國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的重要地理單元,其經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展密切關(guān)系著一個(gè)區(qū)域的經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,密切關(guān)系著國(guó)家的和諧穩(wěn)定。自黨的十六大首次明確提出“壯大縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)是全面建設(shè)小康社會(huì)的重大任務(wù)”后,全國(guó)人大十屆一次會(huì)議、黨的十六屆三中全會(huì)、全國(guó)農(nóng)村工作會(huì)議、全國(guó)人大十屆二次會(huì)議、中央一號(hào)文件都對(duì)縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)行了相關(guān)表述,并且將縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)與發(fā)展農(nóng)產(chǎn)品加工業(yè)、發(fā)展中小型城鎮(zhèn)、擴(kuò)大就業(yè)、增加農(nóng)民收入、全面建設(shè)小康社會(huì)等工作結(jié)合起來,使縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)的內(nèi)涵不斷豐富。全國(guó)許多省區(qū)也高度重視縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,專門制定加快推進(jìn)縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的相關(guān)文件。在學(xué)術(shù)界,縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)相關(guān)問題研究已成為經(jīng)濟(jì)地理學(xué)、區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)等相關(guān)學(xué)科領(lǐng)域的熱點(diǎn)問題。由此可見,壯大縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展已經(jīng)引起了廣泛關(guān)注。陜南作為陜西省一個(gè)重要的區(qū)域板塊,其經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展直接關(guān)系著整個(gè)省域的經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,因此,本文針對(duì)陜南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)行發(fā)展規(guī)律的探究、影響因素的分析和有效對(duì)策的探討,這對(duì)實(shí)現(xiàn)“陜南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)突破發(fā)展”有著重要的實(shí)踐意義,對(duì)陜西省實(shí)現(xiàn)縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展有著重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文以經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、地理學(xué)等相關(guān)學(xué)科理論為指導(dǎo),以陜南28個(gè)縣(區(qū))的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展為研究對(duì)象,從時(shí)間演進(jìn)、相關(guān)比較和空間變化三個(gè)維度,深入分析了陜南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展進(jìn)程,綜合得出1999年至2010年間陜南28個(gè)縣(區(qū))的經(jīng)濟(jì)演變趨勢(shì)和空間格局特征,進(jìn)而探討了影響陜南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的基本動(dòng)因,在此基礎(chǔ)上提出促進(jìn)陜南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展切實(shí)可行的對(duì)策。研究的主要結(jié)論包括： (1)經(jīng)濟(jì)總量逐年擴(kuò)大,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不斷優(yōu)化。從經(jīng)濟(jì)總量看,自1999年至2011年陜南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)總量不斷地?cái)U(kuò)大；從發(fā)展階段來看,1999年至2005年是陜南經(jīng)濟(jì)緩慢增長(zhǎng)階段,2006年至2011年是陜南經(jīng)濟(jì)快速增長(zhǎng)階段；從年平均增長(zhǎng)速度來看,陜南比全省低1.75個(gè)百分點(diǎn)；從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)看,第一產(chǎn)業(yè)呈逐年下降態(tài)勢(shì),第二產(chǎn)業(yè)呈緩慢波動(dòng)上升的特點(diǎn),第三產(chǎn)業(yè)比重增長(zhǎng)較為明顯,經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)有了一定的優(yōu)化。 (2)縣域間差異呈擴(kuò)大趨勢(shì),經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡。陜南各個(gè)縣(區(qū))的經(jīng)濟(jì)在不斷發(fā)展的同時(shí),縣域之間的絕對(duì)差異卻有擴(kuò)大的趨勢(shì),而較發(fā)達(dá)縣域與較貧困縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)差距的變動(dòng)幅度略有縮減,縣域內(nèi)部差距縮減不夠明顯；各縣(區(qū))在發(fā)展速度方面也存在著差異；從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)方面來看,與1999年相比,2010年陜南各個(gè)縣域的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)有了一定程度上的優(yōu)化；在綜合經(jīng)濟(jì)水平得分方面,漢臺(tái)區(qū)、漢濱區(qū)和商州區(qū)的綜合得分一直都處于較高水平,并且除了南鄭縣、城固縣、勉縣、略陽縣與旬陽縣各年份都在0分以上外,其余大部分縣(區(qū))的綜合得分都是在0分以下,這表明陜南經(jīng)濟(jì)總體發(fā)展較為落后,并且存在著嚴(yán)重的不平衡性。 (3)通過聚類分析,并結(jié)合各縣(區(qū))發(fā)展特點(diǎn),陜南28個(gè)縣(區(qū))可以分成四種類型。第Ⅰ類縣(區(qū))為“二三產(chǎn)業(yè)共進(jìn)型”,二三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展質(zhì)量較高：第Ⅱ類縣(區(qū))為“區(qū)位優(yōu)勢(shì)突出型”,受市中心經(jīng)濟(jì)帶動(dòng)作用強(qiáng),以工業(yè)為主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)體系初步形成；第Ⅲ類縣(區(qū))為“特色資源富集型”,資源優(yōu)勢(shì)亟待轉(zhuǎn)換為經(jīng)濟(jì)優(yōu)勢(shì)；第Ⅳ類縣(區(qū))為“傳統(tǒng)農(nóng)業(yè)主導(dǎo)型”,皆處在陜南區(qū)域的邊緣地帶,發(fā)展滯后。 (4)陜南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)空間相關(guān)程度在逐年減弱。1999年至2010年的人均GDPMoran's I統(tǒng)計(jì)量表現(xiàn)出在波動(dòng)中逐漸減小的變化趨勢(shì),綜合經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平得分的Moran's I統(tǒng)計(jì)量也在不斷下降。 (5)陜南大部分縣域都屬于低低類型和高低類型,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平普遍較低。除了漢臺(tái)區(qū)、勉縣、城固縣、南鄭縣一直處于高高類型,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平一直保持在相對(duì)較高水平之外,其余大部分縣(區(qū))都屬于高低和低低類型,尤其是商洛市的大部分縣(區(qū))都屬于低低類型,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平一直比較落后。 本文的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)有： (1)多視角分析陜南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展。本文以陜南28個(gè)縣(區(qū))的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展為研究對(duì)象,選取1999年至2010年這一時(shí)間序列,搜集能代表縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展規(guī)模、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展質(zhì)量這三方面的經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù),從時(shí)間演進(jìn)、相關(guān)比較與空間變化這三個(gè)維度對(duì)陜南的縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展做實(shí)證研究,更為全面地揭示出陜南縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的演變規(guī)律和空間變化特征。 (2)傳統(tǒng)分析方法與現(xiàn)代分析方法相結(jié)合。本文不僅采用了標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差、加權(quán)變異系數(shù)、極差等傳統(tǒng)的測(cè)定縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異的分析方法,并且利用主成分分析方法測(cè)定各縣(區(qū))的總體經(jīng)濟(jì)水平、利用空間統(tǒng)計(jì)方法來分析其空間變化特點(diǎn)。主成分分析與空間統(tǒng)計(jì)分析方法的結(jié)合使得空間統(tǒng)計(jì)分析所基于的數(shù)據(jù)不再是單一的人均GDP指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù),而是選取各個(gè)縣(區(qū))的13項(xiàng)經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù),并由主成分分析的方法得出各個(gè)縣(區(qū))的綜合經(jīng)濟(jì)水平指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù),從而使空間統(tǒng)計(jì)分析所得出的結(jié)果更為真實(shí)與可靠。 (3)多種軟件相結(jié)合使用。本文使用SPSS17.0軟件計(jì)算各縣(區(qū))的經(jīng)濟(jì)綜合水平,在此基礎(chǔ)上,將ArcGIS和Geoda095i相結(jié)合,使得屬性數(shù)據(jù)與圖形數(shù)據(jù)得到很好的結(jié)合,更為直觀地揭示出1999年至2010年陜南經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的演變規(guī)律和空間格局的演變特征。
[Abstract]:As an important geographical unit of the national economy , the county economy is closely related to the harmonious development of the country , which is closely related to the harmonious stability of the country .

Based on the theory of economics , geography and other relevant subject theories , this paper analyzes the economic development process of the 28 counties ( districts ) in southern Shaanxi from three dimensions of time evolution , relative comparison and spatial change , and then discusses the basic causes of economic development of the counties in southern Shaanxi from 1999 to 2010 . The main conclusions of the study are as follows :

( 1 ) The total economic volume has been expanded year by year , and the industrial structure has been optimized continuously . From 1999 to 2011 , the total economic volume of the counties in southern Shaanxi has been continuously expanded from 1999 to 2011 .
From the development stage , the period from 1999 to 2005 is the slow growth stage of the southern Shaanxi economy , and the period from 2006 to 2011 is the fast growing stage of the southern Shaanxi economy ;
In terms of annual average growth rate , South Shaanxi is 1.75 percentage points lower than the whole province ;
In view of the industrial structure , the first industry is declining year by year , the second industry is characterized by a slow fluctuation , and the proportion of the third industry is increased obviously , and the economic structure has certain optimization .

( 2 ) The difference between county and county is expanded , the economic development is not balanced . At the same time , the economic development of each county ( district ) of Shaanxi Province is growing , while the absolute difference between the county and county is expanded , while the change of the economic gap between the developed county and the poorer county is slightly reduced , and the gap between the county and county is not obvious ;
There are also differences in the development speed of counties ( districts ) ;
From the viewpoint of industrial structure , in 2010 , the industrial structure of each county in southern Shaanxi has some degree of optimization ;
In the aspect of comprehensive economic level score , the comprehensive scores of Hantai area , Hanbin District and Shangzhou District have been at a higher level , and in addition to Nanzheng County , Chenggu County , Weixian County , slightly Yangxian County and Xunyang county each year is above 0 points , the comprehensive scores of most counties ( districts ) are below 0 points , which indicates that the overall development of the southern Shaanxi economy is relatively backward , and there is serious imbalance .

( 3 ) Through cluster analysis and combining with the development characteristics of each county ( district ) , 28 counties ( districts ) in South Shaanxi can be divided into four types : Class I ( district ) is the " two - three industry co - entry type " , and the second three industry development quality is higher : Class II county ( district ) is the " regional dominant prominent type " , is driven by the economy of the city center , and is preliminarily formed by the national economy system of industry as the leading industry ;
Class III county ( district ) is " characteristic resource enrichment type " , the resource advantage needs to be converted into economic advantage ;
Type IV counties ( districts ) are " traditional agriculture leading type " , all in the marginal zone of the southern Shaanxi region , development lag .

( 4 ) The correlation degree of economic space in the county area of Shaanxi Province decreased year by year . The statistic of per capita GDPMoran ' s I in 1999 to 2010 showed a decreasing trend in the fluctuation , and the Moran ' s I statistic of the comprehensive economic development level was also declining .

( 5 ) Most of the counties in southern Shaanxi belong to the low and low types , and the level of economic development is generally low . Except for the Han , the county , Chenggu County and Nanzheng County have been in the high and high type , the level of economic development has been kept at a relatively high level , and most of the counties ( districts ) belong to low and low types , especially most of the counties ( districts ) of Shangluo City belong to the low and low type , and the level of economic development has been relatively backward .

The innovation points in this paper are :

( 1 ) Based on the economic development of 28 counties ( districts ) in southern Shaanxi , this paper takes the economic development of 28 counties ( districts ) in South Shaanxi as the research object , selects the economic index data which can represent the scale , industrial structure and economic development quality of the county economy .

( 2 ) The traditional analysis method is combined with the modern analytical method . This paper not only adopts the traditional method of measuring the difference between the standard deviation , the weighted variation coefficient , the extreme difference and the like , and analyzes the spatial variation characteristics by using the method of principal component analysis . The combination of the principal component analysis and the spatial statistical analysis method makes the data based on the spatial statistic analysis no longer a single per capita GDP index data , but the comprehensive economic level index data of each county ( region ) is obtained by the method of the principal component analysis , so that the result obtained by the spatial statistical analysis is more real and reliable .

( 3 ) The economic integration level of each county ( district ) is calculated by SPSS 17.0 software . Based on this , the combination of ArcGIS and Geoda095i is used to make attribute data and graphic data well combined , and reveal the evolution of economic development and spatial pattern of Shaanxi ' s economic development from 1999 to 2010 .
【學(xué)位授予單位】：陜西師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127

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