本文選題：公共支出結構 + 因子分析　； 參考：《上海師范大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來，隨著我國財政體制改革的不斷加快，財政體制逐漸由高度集中向分散的地方決策轉變。地方政府先前作為中央代理人也逐漸轉變成為具有相當自主權的決策主體。公共支出作為地方政府促進經濟發(fā)展而采用的重要手段，，研究它的結構及對經濟增長效應都顯得尤為重要。 另一方面，我國地區(qū)經濟發(fā)展差距較大，各地區(qū)社會文化、資源稟賦、體制結構等都具有明顯的差異，各地區(qū)公共支出結構及經濟增長效應也都不盡相同。因此分類研究各地區(qū)公共支出結構的經濟增長效應對指導各地區(qū)發(fā)展經濟有重要的作用。本文希望在前人研究理論的基礎上，結合我國當前的新情況做一些有益的研究并得出切合實際的研究成果。 2007年1月1日起，我國正式實施政府收支分類改革，我國財政收支分類開始采用國際通行的做法。本文就是在這樣的形勢下研究我國收支分類改革以來的公共支出結構經濟增長效應的區(qū)域差異。首先是理論部分：通過對相關文獻的梳理和分析，對當前相關的研究有了新的認識。文獻綜述對相關理論的回顧為本文的研究提供了理論和實踐的支持，為本文的創(chuàng)新找到了突破點。再次是實證部分：首先在新的支出分類的基礎上，收集了收支分類改革以來的最新數(shù)據(jù)，進行因子分析并根據(jù)因子得分的加權平均得到各地區(qū)的綜合評價指標。其次是在得到各地區(qū)公共支出因子綜合評價指標的基礎上，結合各地區(qū)的經濟增長指標對我國31個省市進行了聚類分析，將我國分為三類區(qū)域。最后在前兩步的基礎上，實證研究我國公共支出結構經濟增長效應的區(qū)域差異。實證部分包含三個步驟，這三個步驟相輔相成：因子分析為后面的聚類提供了依據(jù)，也為后面解決回歸模型變量的多重共線性問題做了鋪墊。聚類為研究區(qū)域差異打下了基礎，聚類得到的區(qū)域內樣本數(shù)據(jù)也使得回歸方程更加顯著。 本文的研究具有一定的理論和實踐意義。撇開傳統(tǒng)的區(qū)域劃分，針對支出結構和經濟增長進行新的區(qū)域聚類。在研究公共支出結構經濟增長效應區(qū)域差異時，基于聚類得到的新的區(qū)域劃分有很重要的意義。這樣就能夠得到針對性更強的結論，在具體指導實踐時的可操作性也更強。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid reform of our financial system, the financial system has gradually changed from highly centralized to decentralized local decision-making. As a central agent, the local government has gradually changed into a decision-making body with considerable autonomy. As an important means for local governments to promote economic development, it is particularly important to study the structure of public expenditure and its effect on economic growth. On the other hand, there is a big gap in regional economic development in China. The social culture, resource endowment and institutional structure of different regions are obviously different, and the structure of public expenditure and the effect of economic growth are also different in different regions. Therefore, studying the economic growth effect of public expenditure structure in different regions plays an important role in guiding regional economic development. This paper hopes to do some useful research on the basis of the previous research theories and combine with the current situation of our country and get some practical research results. From January 1, 2007, the government revenue and expenditure classification reform will be formally implemented in our country. Our country finance income and expenditure classification begins to adopt the international common practice. This paper studies the regional differences of economic growth effects of public expenditure structure since the reform of revenue and expenditure classification in China. The first part is the theory part: through combing and analyzing the related literature, we have a new understanding of the current related research. The literature review provides theoretical and practical support for the research of this paper and provides a breakthrough point for the innovation of this paper. The third part is the empirical part: firstly, on the basis of the new expenditure classification, this paper collects the latest data from the reform of income and expenditure classification, carries on the factor analysis and obtains the comprehensive evaluation index of each region according to the weighted average of the factor score. Secondly, on the basis of obtaining the comprehensive evaluation index of the public expenditure factor of each region, combining with the economic growth index of each region, this paper carries on the cluster analysis to 31 provinces and cities of our country, and divides our country into three kinds of regions. Finally, on the basis of the first two steps, this paper empirically studies the regional differences of the economic growth effect of public expenditure structure in China. The empirical part consists of three steps, which complement each other: factor analysis provides the basis for the subsequent clustering, and also provides the basis for solving the multiple collinear problems of regression model variables. Clustering lays a foundation for the study of regional differences, and the regression equation is more significant because of the sample data in the region. The research of this paper has certain theoretical and practical significance. Aside from the traditional regional division, new regional clustering is carried out for expenditure structure and economic growth. In studying the regional differences of the economic growth effect of public expenditure structure, the new regional division based on clustering is of great significance. In this way, we can get more pertinence conclusion and more maneuverability when guiding practice.
【學位授予單位】：上海師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F812.45;F124.1

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