本文選題：東北亞 + 國際收支平衡　； 參考：《社會(huì)科學(xué)戰(zhàn)線》2014年01期

【摘要】：2007—2008年金融危機(jī)后全球經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)入了一個(gè)不穩(wěn)定、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長下滑的新階段。但是我們可以通過G20國家規(guī)模空前的貨幣供應(yīng)量和財(cái)政支出,效仿1930年代的做法,設(shè)法規(guī)避經(jīng)濟(jì)崩潰。在全球經(jīng)濟(jì)的新階段我們能夠發(fā)現(xiàn)東北亞國際收支平衡的結(jié)構(gòu)性變化:商品出口增長率下降,占GDP的比例縮小;中國進(jìn)口貿(mào)易平衡比例越來越小,日本近兩年貿(mào)易平衡為逆差;投機(jī)熱錢橫掃世界和東北亞,對股票價(jià)格和匯率變動(dòng)產(chǎn)生了影響。通過分析東北亞尤其是日本、中國和韓國的結(jié)構(gòu)性變化,將會(huì)看到發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)合作和區(qū)域內(nèi)部貿(mào)易的必要性。
[Abstract]:After the financial crisis of 2007-2008, the global economy entered a new stage of instability and economic growth decline. But through unprecedented money supply and fiscal spending in G20 countries, we can try to avoid a collapse, as we did in the 1930s. In the new stage of the global economy, we can find the structural changes of the balance of payments in Northeast Asia: the growth rate of commodity exports decreases, the proportion of GDP decreases, the proportion of China's import trade balance becomes smaller and smaller, and Japan's trade balance becomes a deficit in the last two years; Speculative hot money swept the world and Northeast Asia, affecting stock prices and exchange rate movements. By analyzing the structural changes in Northeast Asia, especially in Japan, China and South Korea, the necessity of developing economic cooperation and intra-regional trade will be seen.
【作者單位】： 日本立命館大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;吉林省社會(huì)科學(xué)院外事處;
【分類號(hào)】：F831.6;F114.46

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