湖南省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率的空間格局及其影響因素
本文選題:湖南省 + 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率; 參考:《湖南師范大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:改革開放以來,湖南省經(jīng)濟(jì)取得了快速的增長,經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力不斷增強(qiáng),其GDP總量已連續(xù)五年進(jìn)入全國前十行列。在經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)量不斷增長的同時(shí),其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率如何,有待進(jìn)行研究。 本文對(duì)湖南省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率進(jìn)行研究時(shí),是以“兩步法”為研究思路的:首先是以14個(gè)市、州為研究單元,并基于2002-2011年的面板數(shù)據(jù),運(yùn)用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析法對(duì)其效率進(jìn)行測(cè)度;隨后,是以所測(cè)算的效率值為被解釋量,運(yùn)用回歸模型對(duì)其影響因素進(jìn)行分析。其具體內(nèi)容和結(jié)論如下: 運(yùn)用TFP的Malmquist指數(shù)法對(duì)湖南省的效率進(jìn)行了動(dòng)態(tài)分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)湖南省的全要素生產(chǎn)率(TFP)呈下降趨勢(shì),而技術(shù)變化是導(dǎo)致湖南TFP下降的主要原因。 隨后,本文測(cè)算了近10年來湖南省各市、州的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率,從橫向的角度對(duì)其展開分析,發(fā)現(xiàn):從湖南省各市、州經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率差異角度看,長沙、湘潭(TE=1)株洲、岳陽、常德、張家界、衡陽全省平均水平(TE=0.777)婁底、郴州、益陽、永州懷化、邵陽、湘西自治州;從湖南省五大區(qū)域來看,湘東地區(qū)、湘北地區(qū)的效率值普遍較高,湘南地區(qū)次之,湘中、湘西地區(qū)較低。 之后,本文基于湖南省各市、州經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率的測(cè)算結(jié)果,運(yùn)用Spss軟件,對(duì)其效率值進(jìn)行單要素聚類分析,分成4個(gè)等級(jí)。并運(yùn)用Mapgis軟件,對(duì)矢量數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行處理,形成湖南經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率空間格局圖。發(fā)現(xiàn)湖南省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率的分布大致呈現(xiàn)“東北高西南低”、“除張家界和常德地區(qū)外,以長沙、湘潭為核心,向外逐層擴(kuò)散”的空間格局。 最后,運(yùn)用Eviews6.0軟件對(duì)湖南省各市、州的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率的影響因素建立回歸模型,發(fā)現(xiàn):在現(xiàn)有的環(huán)境規(guī)制強(qiáng)度下,湖南省經(jīng)濟(jì)效率受其的影響為負(fù)相關(guān);產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與其效率之間存在不顯著的負(fù)向相關(guān)關(guān)系;外商直接投資對(duì)湖南省大多數(shù)地區(qū)的影響為正、部分地區(qū)的影響為負(fù)。并從環(huán)境規(guī)制、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、金融體制等角度提出了提高湖南省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率的措施。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, Hunan Province has made rapid economic growth, economic strength has been increasing, its total GDP has entered the top ten ranks of the country for five consecutive years. At the same time, the economic growth efficiency remains to be studied. In this paper, the economic growth efficiency of Hunan Province is studied with the "two-step method" as the research idea: firstly, taking 14 cities and states as the research unit, and based on the panel data from 2002 to 2011, the efficiency is measured by using the data envelopment analysis method; Then, using the calculated efficiency value as the explanatory quantity, the regression model is used to analyze the influencing factors. Its specific content and conclusions are as follows: The efficiency of Hunan Province is dynamically analyzed by using the Malmquist index method of TFP. It is found that the total factor productivity (TFP) of Hunan Province is decreasing, and the technical change is the main reason leading to the decline of TFP in Hunan Province. Then, this paper calculates the economic growth efficiency of every city and state in Hunan province in the past 10 years, analyzes it from a horizontal angle, and finds that: from the angle of the difference of economic growth efficiency between cities and prefectures in Hunan Province, Changsha, Xiangtan, Zhuzhou, Yueyang, Zhuzhou, Changde, Zhangjiajie, Hengyang Province average level Tet 0.777) Loudi, Chenzhou, Yiyang, Yongzhou Huaihua, Shaoyang, Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture; from the five major regions of Hunan Province, the efficiency values of the eastern and northern areas of Hunan are generally higher, followed by those of southern Hunan. Central Hunan, Xiangxi region is low. Then, based on the calculation results of economic growth efficiency of cities and prefectures in Hunan Province, this paper uses Spss software to analyze its efficiency value by single factor clustering analysis, which is divided into four grades. Using Mapgis software, the vector data are processed to form the spatial pattern map of Hunan economic growth efficiency. It is found that the distribution of economic growth efficiency in Hunan Province is approximately "northeast high, southwest low", "except Zhangjiajie and Changde area, Changsha and Xiangtan as the core, spread out layer by layer" spatial pattern. Finally, the regression model of the influencing factors of economic growth efficiency of cities and states in Hunan Province is established by using Eviews6.0 software. It is found that under the existing environmental regulation intensity, the economic efficiency of Hunan Province is negatively affected by it; There is no significant negative correlation between the industrial structure and its efficiency, and the impact of FDI on most areas of Hunan Province is positive, while that of some regions is negative. The measures to improve the economic growth efficiency of Hunan Province are put forward from the aspects of environmental regulation, industrial structure and financial system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:湖南師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F127
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