發(fā)布時間：2018-05-18 04:02

  本文選題：外商直接投資 + 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長��； 參考：《揚(yáng)州大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來,中國正逐漸與世界金融體系接軌,外商直接投資(FDI)已經(jīng)成為支持我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的一個重要因素。2005年,山東省成為吸引外資第三的省份。盡管山東省的外商直接投資規(guī)模不斷擴(kuò)大,然而大部分FDI集中在山東省東部沿海發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū),約占總額的80%左右,而其它地區(qū)僅占20%左右。這種分布的不均衡必然會加劇山東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的不平衡,更導(dǎo)致我國經(jīng)濟(jì)整體發(fā)展的不均衡。因此,非常有必要實(shí)證研究外商直接投資對山東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響：一方面,可以補(bǔ)充現(xiàn)有研究,發(fā)展FDI對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的理論研究;另一方面,可以總結(jié)山東省過去利用外資的經(jīng)驗(yàn),有利于對未來利用外資策略的探索�？茖W(xué)的引導(dǎo)外商直接投資流向和投資類型,實(shí)現(xiàn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。 從外商直接投資與山東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的現(xiàn)狀出發(fā),以Cobb-Douglas生產(chǎn)函數(shù)為基礎(chǔ),構(gòu)造以FDI、國內(nèi)資本、勞動力、人力資本、進(jìn)口、出口為自變量的多元線性函數(shù),通過ADF檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、Granger因果檢驗(yàn),運(yùn)用時間序列模型分析FDI對山東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響,其次再利用Panel-Data數(shù)據(jù)模型分析FDI對山東省東、中、西部不同區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的貢獻(xiàn)大小。實(shí)證分析中采用山東省各市的面板數(shù)據(jù)來分析FDI對三大區(qū)域的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng),克服了單純的時間序列數(shù)據(jù)不能反映個體差異和截面數(shù)據(jù)不能反映時間變化差異的缺點(diǎn)。 根據(jù)實(shí)證分析得出主要結(jié)論：第一,FDI和國內(nèi)投資都是山東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的重要因素,并且國內(nèi)投資對山東省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的作用比FDI更加突出。第二,勞動力、人力資本、進(jìn)口、出口依然是促進(jìn)山東省區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的重要力量。第三,FDI在一定程度上促進(jìn)了山東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長,其貢獻(xiàn)大小由東到西逐漸減小,并且FDI的不平衡是導(dǎo)致山東省區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差距不斷擴(kuò)大的重要原因。 最后,為促進(jìn)山東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長以及縮小山東省東、中、西部的區(qū)域差距,根據(jù)實(shí)證結(jié)果提出相應(yīng)的政策建議：第一,處理好內(nèi)資與外資的關(guān)系。轉(zhuǎn)變招商引資理念和模式,逐步對外資企業(yè)實(shí)行國民待遇。第二,優(yōu)化區(qū)域間投資環(huán)境,促進(jìn)區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。突出地區(qū)優(yōu)勢,積極引導(dǎo)FDI由東部沿海地區(qū)向中、西部地區(qū)轉(zhuǎn)移。第三,優(yōu)化投資結(jié)構(gòu),提高外資質(zhì)量。拓寬領(lǐng)域和渠道,著力提高外資的質(zhì)量和水平。第四,加快中西部地區(qū)人力資本開發(fā)。結(jié)合當(dāng)?shù)刭Y源優(yōu)勢和人力資本優(yōu)勢,吸引外商投資。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China is gradually in line with the world financial system, foreign direct investment (FDI) has become an important factor to support China's economic growth. In 2005, Shandong Province became the third province to attract foreign capital. Although the scale of foreign direct investment in Shandong Province is expanding, most of FDI is concentrated in the developed areas of east coast of Shandong Province, accounting for about 80% of the total amount, but only about 20% in other regions. The imbalance of distribution will inevitably aggravate the imbalance of economic growth in Shandong Province and lead to the imbalance of the overall economic development of our country. Therefore, it is necessary to empirically study the impact of foreign direct investment on the economic growth of Shandong Province. On the one hand, it can supplement the existing research and develop the theoretical research of FDI on regional economic growth; on the other hand, It is helpful to explore the strategy of utilizing foreign capital in the future by summing up the experience of using foreign capital in Shandong province. Scientific guidance of foreign direct investment flows and types of investment to achieve coordinated development of regional economy. Starting from the current situation of foreign direct investment and economic growth in Shandong Province, based on the production function of Cobb-Douglas, this paper constructs a multivariate linear function based on FDI, domestic capital, labor force, human capital, import and export as independent variable, and passes the ADF test. Cointegration test and Granger causality test are used to analyze the impact of FDI on economic growth in Shandong Province by using time series model, and then the contribution of FDI to economic growth in different regions of Shandong Province is analyzed by using Panel-Data data model. In the empirical analysis, the panel data of each city of Shandong Province is used to analyze the economic growth effect of FDI on the three regions, which overcomes the shortcoming that the simple time series data can not reflect the individual difference and the cross-section data can not reflect the time variation. According to the empirical analysis, the main conclusions are as follows: first, both FDI and domestic investment are important factors of Shandong's economic growth, and the role of domestic investment in Shandong's economic growth is more prominent than that of FDI. Second, labor, human capital, imports and exports are still important forces to promote regional economic growth in Shandong Province. Third, FDI promotes Shandong's economic growth to a certain extent, and its contribution decreases gradually from east to west, and the imbalance of FDI is the important reason for the widening of regional economic gap in Shandong Province. Finally, in order to promote the economic growth of Shandong Province and narrow the regional gap between east, middle and west of Shandong Province, the corresponding policy suggestions are put forward according to the empirical results: first, deal with the relationship between domestic capital and foreign capital. Change the concept and mode of attracting foreign investment and gradually implement national treatment to foreign-funded enterprises. Second, optimize the inter-regional investment environment and promote regional coordinated development. Highlight regional advantages, and actively guide the transfer of FDI from the eastern coastal areas to the central and western regions. Third, optimize the investment structure and improve the quality of foreign investment. Expand fields and channels and strive to improve the quality and level of foreign investment. Fourth, speed up the development of human capital in the central and western regions. Combine the advantages of local resources and human capital to attract foreign investment.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：揚(yáng)州大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F127

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