四川省主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)群的形成與演化分析
本文選題:主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè) + 指標(biāo)體系; 參考:《西南財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:四川省十二五規(guī)劃中強調(diào)要著力推動產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級,加速構(gòu)建現(xiàn)代化的產(chǎn)業(yè)體系。而產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化需要合適的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)來帶動,通過主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展來促進(jìn)國民經(jīng)濟各個產(chǎn)業(yè)部門的發(fā)展和升級。地區(qū)經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展過程,從根本上來說就是主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)群不斷更新?lián)Q代的過程,也是主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)群帶動其他產(chǎn)業(yè)部門不斷向前發(fā)展的過程。主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)群的發(fā)展水平將直接影響著地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平和經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)的合理性。因此,為了優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟又快又好的發(fā)展,主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)群的確定具有十分重要的現(xiàn)實意義。 本文主要采用四川省2002年和2007年投入產(chǎn)出表以及相應(yīng)年度國家投入產(chǎn)出表和四川省統(tǒng)計年鑒的數(shù)據(jù),運用數(shù)學(xué)、統(tǒng)計學(xué)、數(shù)量經(jīng)濟學(xué)、產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟學(xué)和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟學(xué)等學(xué)科的知識,在廣泛研究國內(nèi)外相關(guān)理論的基礎(chǔ)上,以主成分分析為主要方法,結(jié)合比較分析等方法,對四川省主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的選擇進(jìn)行實證研究。 本文把定性分析和定量分析結(jié)合起來,討論四川省主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)群的選擇和演化。定性分析主要是在分析了主要工業(yè)化國家主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展歷程、一般演變規(guī)律以及四川省產(chǎn)業(yè)調(diào)整歷程的基礎(chǔ)之上,從四川省本身經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀、環(huán)境因素等方面,分析影響其主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)形成的因素。定量分析則在確定了主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的基礎(chǔ)上,建立相應(yīng)的指標(biāo)體系和模型,采用主成分分析法,結(jié)合投入產(chǎn)出表和統(tǒng)計年鑒的數(shù)據(jù)得出四川省的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)群:農(nóng)林牧漁業(yè)、房地產(chǎn)業(yè)、金融保險業(yè)、綜合技術(shù)服務(wù)業(yè)、批發(fā)和零售貿(mào)易業(yè)、建筑業(yè)、旅游業(yè)、其他社會服務(wù)業(yè)、文化、體育和娛樂業(yè)、煤炭開采和洗選業(yè)。本文將不同年份的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)集群的結(jié)果進(jìn)行比較,從時間的縱向分別對主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的變化進(jìn)行比較,全面掌握四川省主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇和變遷的動態(tài)特征。
[Abstract]:In the 12th five-year Plan of Sichuan Province, it is emphasized to promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and to accelerate the construction of modern industrial system. The optimization of industrial structure needs appropriate leading industries to promote the development and upgrading of various industrial sectors of the national economy through the development of leading industries. The process of regional economic development is fundamentally the process of the continuous upgrading of leading industrial clusters, and also the process of leading industrial clusters to drive other industrial sectors forward. The development level of leading industrial clusters will directly affect the level of economic development and the rationality of economic structure. Therefore, in order to optimize the industrial structure and promote the rapid and good development of the economy, it is of great practical significance to determine the leading industrial clusters. This paper mainly uses the data of Sichuan Province input-output table in 2002 and 2007, the corresponding annual input-output table and the statistical yearbook of Sichuan Province, and applies the knowledge of mathematics, statistics, quantitative economics, industrial economics and regional economics, etc. On the basis of extensive research on relevant theories at home and abroad, this paper makes an empirical study on the choice of leading industries in Sichuan Province by means of principal component analysis and comparative analysis. This paper combines qualitative analysis with quantitative analysis to discuss the selection and evolution of Sichuan leading industrial clusters. The qualitative analysis is mainly based on the analysis of the development course, the general evolution law and the industrial adjustment process of the leading industries in the major industrialized countries, and from the aspects of the current economic development situation and environmental factors of Sichuan Province, etc. The factors that influence the formation of its leading industry are analyzed. On the basis of determining the selection standard of leading industry, the quantitative analysis has established the corresponding index system and model, adopted principal component analysis method, combined with the data of input-output table and statistical yearbook, obtained the leading industrial group of Sichuan province: agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry. Real estate, finance and insurance, integrated technology services, wholesale and retail trade, construction, tourism, other social services, culture, sports and entertainment, coal mining and washing. This paper compares the results of the leading industrial clusters in different years, compares the changes of the leading industries from the longitudinal perspective of time, and comprehensively grasps the dynamic characteristics of the selection and changes of the leading industries in Sichuan Province.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F127;F279.2;F224
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