本文選題：日本經(jīng)濟(jì)病 + 遺傳基因��； 參考：《東北亞論壇》2014年02期

【摘要】：全球?qū)τ嘘P(guān)日本經(jīng)濟(jì)究竟病在何處一直迷惑不解,有泡沫經(jīng)濟(jì)論、流動性陷阱、借貸平衡表危機(jī)、金融系統(tǒng)性風(fēng)險等,從不同角度分析給出結(jié)論。系統(tǒng)性診斷日本經(jīng)濟(jì)病,還需借助醫(yī)學(xué)原理,從日本經(jīng)濟(jì)久病不愈分析,日本經(jīng)濟(jì)根源性問題應(yīng)該發(fā)生在"基因"層面。為此,需要從戰(zhàn)后日本經(jīng)濟(jì)周期演變規(guī)律切入,尋找貫穿始終的主要因素,診斷"基因的病理",才能真正發(fā)現(xiàn)問題所在。戰(zhàn)后日本經(jīng)歷了一次長周期、三大階段演變,其中政黨執(zhí)政理念、出口導(dǎo)向型增長模式、投資與消費(fèi)對日本經(jīng)濟(jì)盛衰發(fā)揮了至關(guān)重要作用,而不動產(chǎn)、人口老齡化因素發(fā)揮了次重要作用。對照"三主兩次"的"基因病狀",安倍政府的經(jīng)濟(jì)政策不過是緩解癥狀而已,未來日本經(jīng)濟(jì)前景還將重回下降通道,甚至崩潰。
[Abstract]:The world has been puzzled about where the Japanese economy has been ill, such as bubble economy, liquidity trap, loan balance sheet crisis, financial systemic risk and so on. It gives a conclusion from different angles. The systematic diagnosis of Japan's economic disease requires the aid of medical principles to analyze the Japanese economic root problems and the Japanese economic root problems. It should occur at the "gene" level. To this end, it is necessary to find out the main factors that run through the post-war Japanese economic cycle, to find out the main factors that run through, and to diagnose the "gene pathology". In order to truly discover the problem, Japan has experienced a long period and three stages of evolution, in which the political party's ruling concept, the export oriented growth model, investment and elimination are the same. It plays a vital role in Japan's economic growth and decline, while real estate has played an important role in the aging population. Compared to "three" "two times" "gene disease", the Andouble administration's economic policy is merely a symptom relief, and the future of Japan's economic prospects will return to the decline, or even collapse.

【作者單位】： 中國商務(wù)部國際貿(mào)易經(jīng)濟(jì)合作研究院;
【分類號】：F131.3

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