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基于DEA-Malmquist指數(shù)法的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)全要素生產(chǎn)率變動研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-04-18 16:35

  本文選題:全要素生產(chǎn)率 + DEA-Mamlquist指數(shù)法; 參考:《合肥工業(yè)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文


【摘要】:隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)不斷發(fā)展,,我國面臨著區(qū)域發(fā)展過程中經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的不平衡問題也更加突出。盡管取得了舉世矚目的成績,但是在此過程中經(jīng)濟(jì)上地區(qū)差異的擴(kuò)大卻呈現(xiàn)出更加明顯的趨勢。這種差距,已開始成為資源配置合理性的嚴(yán)重障礙,進(jìn)而妨礙提高國家的全局經(jīng)濟(jì)效率、福利水平,從長遠(yuǎn)角度分析,對我國的長治久安也將產(chǎn)生難以估量的影響!皟蓵逼陂g所提出的加快轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式,是在對我國當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢的深度剖析的基礎(chǔ)上,所提出的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展目標(biāo),將在長期發(fā)展中成為我國首要任務(wù)之一。然而,要實(shí)現(xiàn)這種轉(zhuǎn)變就必須在發(fā)展科教水平、提升技術(shù)效率上更加進(jìn)取,在優(yōu)化資源配置,完善組織結(jié)構(gòu)上更加用心,在提高管理水平更加苛求。要做到這一點(diǎn),就必須對現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的核心—全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長進(jìn)行高度重視,因?yàn)槟壳吧鐣?jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中全要素生產(chǎn)率已逐步成為一個國家或者地區(qū)技術(shù)進(jìn)步、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量和管理效率提高的主要標(biāo)志,而區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)全要素生產(chǎn)率作為一項(xiàng)極其重要的總量經(jīng)濟(jì)生產(chǎn)績效指標(biāo),不僅可以直接反映出各個經(jīng)濟(jì)體經(jīng)濟(jì)成長的總體狀況,同時也可以直接反映出各地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)的總體狀況,在一定程度上為分析地區(qū)差距提供了一條很重要的途徑。 基于這種背景,本文提出以“基于DEA-Malmquist指數(shù)法的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)全要素生產(chǎn)率變動研究”為主題的全要素生產(chǎn)率研究。首先對國內(nèi)外關(guān)于全要素生產(chǎn)率的研究進(jìn)行了梳理,其次在此基礎(chǔ)上,以區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異研究為出發(fā)點(diǎn),突出全要素生產(chǎn)率在地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長和地區(qū)差距研究中的重要地位。本文以非參數(shù)DEA-malmquist指數(shù)法,采用一定時間序列的經(jīng)濟(jì)面板對區(qū)域內(nèi)各經(jīng)濟(jì)決策單元的生產(chǎn)率進(jìn)行測定,通過數(shù)據(jù)測算結(jié)果進(jìn)行分析比較,從而得到區(qū)域內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的質(zhì)量水平。為驗(yàn)證方法的準(zhǔn)確性、實(shí)用性,本文以安徽省為例進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究,描述安徽省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀和安徽省內(nèi)區(qū)域的特征分析。最后通過測算結(jié)果分析具體的省域內(nèi)各區(qū)域、地市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r。從橫向的角度分析比較在各個年度里安徽省的TFP變化情況以及Malmquist的指數(shù)構(gòu)成,然后從縱向的角度分析比較各個地市的TFP的變化情況以及Malmquist指數(shù)構(gòu)成。 根據(jù)分析結(jié)果,本文在提高技術(shù)進(jìn)步率、提高純技術(shù)效率和規(guī)模效率等方面給出具體性、針對性的政策建議,并指出政府必須要充分行使職權(quán),通過對于各地市發(fā)展規(guī)劃、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整和市場調(diào)節(jié)、資源的有效配置等手段來實(shí)現(xiàn)宏觀的調(diào)控,從而提高地區(qū)的全要素生產(chǎn)率,使地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)的平穩(wěn)健康發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:With the development of economy, our country is faced with the imbalance of economic development in the process of regional development.Although the achievements have attracted worldwide attention, the widening of regional differences in this process shows a more obvious trend.This gap has become a serious obstacle to the rationality of the allocation of resources, thus hindering the improvement of the overall economic efficiency and welfare level of the country. From a long-term perspective, it will also have an incalculable impact on the long-term stability and stability of our country.The accelerated transformation of the mode of economic development put forward during the "two sessions" is based on a deep analysis of the current economic situation in China, and the economic development goal put forward will become the premier Ren Wuzhi of China in the long term development.However, in order to realize this kind of transformation, we must develop the level of science and education, improve the technical efficiency, optimize the allocation of resources, perfect the organizational structure, and be more demanding in improving the level of management.To achieve this, we must attach great importance to the growth of total factor productivity (TFP), which is the core of modern economic growth. At present, TFP has gradually become a national or regional technological progress in social and economic development.The quality of economic growth and the improvement of management efficiency are the main signs of economic growth, and the total factor productivity (TFP) of regional economy, as an extremely important indicator of total economic production performance, can not only directly reflect the overall economic growth of each economy.At the same time, it can also directly reflect the overall situation of the regional economy, to a certain extent, it provides a very important way to analyze the regional disparity.Based on this background, this paper puts forward a study on total factor productivity (TFP) based on DEA-Malmquist index method.First of all, the research on total factor productivity at home and abroad has been combed. Secondly, based on the study of regional economic differences, the importance of total factor productivity in the research of regional economic growth and regional disparity has been highlighted.In this paper, the non-parametric DEA-malmquist exponent method is used to measure the productivity of each economic decision making unit in the region by using the economic panel of certain time series, and the quality level of economic development in the region is obtained through the analysis and comparison of the results of the data calculation.In order to verify the accuracy and practicability of the method, this paper takes Anhui Province as an example to carry on the empirical research, describes the present situation of the economic development of Anhui Province and the characteristic analysis of the region in Anhui Province.Finally, the economic development of each region and city is analyzed.This paper analyzes and compares the changes of TFP and the composition of Malmquist index in Anhui Province from a horizontal perspective, and then analyzes and compares the changes of TFP and the composition of Malmquist index in each city and city from a longitudinal point of view.According to the results of the analysis, this paper gives specific and targeted policy recommendations on raising the rate of technological progress, improving the efficiency of pure technology and improving the efficiency of scale, and points out that the government must fully exercise its functions and powers, and adopt the development plans for all prefectures and cities.The adjustment of industrial structure and market regulation, the effective allocation of resources and other means to achieve macro-control, thereby improving the total factor productivity of the region, so as to ensure the smooth and healthy development of the regional economy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:合肥工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F127;F224

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