貿(mào)易開放、FDI與山東省全要素生產(chǎn)率增長
本文選題:全要素生產(chǎn)率 + 貿(mào)易開放度; 參考:《西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:隨著經(jīng)濟一體化的加深,作為主要技術(shù)溢出渠道的國際貿(mào)易和FDI對貿(mào)易雙方及FDI東道國具有重要影響。探討貿(mào)易開放度和FDI對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的影響大小和方向?qū)φ_引導(dǎo)貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)以投資方向,科學(xué)合理制定技術(shù)創(chuàng)新策略具有重要意義。 山東省是我國經(jīng)濟大省之一,其GDP、進出口總額及FDI流入在全國具有重要的地位。改革開放以來,特別是市場改革深化后,山東省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展迅速,與國外交流更為密切。在與國外進行密切的交流過程中,是否提高了其經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平呢?貿(mào)易開放以及FDI流入對其全要素生產(chǎn)率是否有顯著的影響呢?研究這些問題對于正確制定貿(mào)易發(fā)展結(jié)構(gòu),正確引導(dǎo)FDI投資方向具有重要意義。 本文綜合運用經(jīng)濟學(xué)、國際貿(mào)易學(xué)、計量經(jīng)濟學(xué)、統(tǒng)計學(xué)等理論的知識和方法,利用DEA-Malmquist生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)對山東省1998-2011年17個地市的全要素生產(chǎn)率進行測算,同時通過構(gòu)建面板數(shù)據(jù)模型分析了貿(mào)易開放度、FDI對山東省全要素生產(chǎn)率的影響。與此同時針對研究結(jié)論,,本文也提出了相應(yīng)的對策措施。 本文的主要研究結(jié)論有:(1)1998-2011年間山東省GDP、進出口貿(mào)易、FDI流入和居民收入增速較快;(2)研究期間山東省TFP呈逐漸下降趨勢,其主要是技術(shù)進步率下降導(dǎo)致的;(3)由于經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平、基礎(chǔ)配套設(shè)施、人力資源、研發(fā)水平等因素的差異,導(dǎo)致進出口開放程度、FDI流入對各地市全要素生產(chǎn)率的影響程度和方向不同;(4)貿(mào)易依存度、出口依存度、進口依存度和FDI及其滯后變量對山東省大部分地市的全要素生產(chǎn)率的影響不顯著,但對個別地市有促進作用也有阻礙作用。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of economic integration, international trade and FDI, as the main channels of technology spillover, have an important impact on both sides of trade and the host country of FDI.It is of great significance to discuss the influence of trade openness and FDI on the development of regional economy for guiding the trade structure to the direction of investment scientifically and rationally formulating the strategy of technological innovation.Shandong Province is one of the major economic provinces in China. Its GDP, total import and export volume and FDI inflow play an important role in the whole country.Since the reform and opening up, especially after the deepening of market reform, Shandong Province has developed rapidly and exchanged more closely with foreign countries.In the process of close communication with foreign countries, has it improved its level of economic development?Does trade liberalization and FDI inflows have a significant impact on total factor productivity?The study of these problems is of great significance for correctly formulating the structure of trade development and guiding the direction of FDI investment.Based on the knowledge and methods of economics, international trade, econometrics and statistics, this paper uses DEA-Malmquist productivity index to measure the total factor productivity of 17 cities in Shandong province from 1998 to 2011.At the same time, the panel data model is constructed to analyze the impact of FDI on the total factor productivity of Shandong province.At the same time, according to the conclusion of the study, this paper also put forward the corresponding countermeasures.The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) during the period of 1998-2011, the TFP of Shandong Province, the inflow of import and export trade and the rapid growth rate of resident income, showed a decreasing trend during the study period, which was mainly caused by the decline of technological progress rate) due to the level of economic development.The differences in infrastructure, human resources and R & D level lead to the degree of import and export openness and the impact of FDI inflow on the total factor productivity (TFP) of different cities. 4) the degree of trade dependence and the degree of export dependence.The influence of import dependence, FDI and their lag variables on the total factor productivity of most cities in Shandong Province is not significant, but it can also hinder the promotion of individual cities.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F127;F727
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