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我國金融發(fā)展對城鄉(xiāng)收入差距影響的動態(tài)倒U演化及下降點預(yù)測

發(fā)布時間:2018-03-31 18:35

  本文選題:金融發(fā)展 切入點:城鄉(xiāng)收入差距 出處:《金融研究》2014年11期


【摘要】:準(zhǔn)確識別我國金融發(fā)展對城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的作用機制對研究諸多宏觀經(jīng)濟問題具有重要意義。本文突破了多數(shù)已有研究中參數(shù)時不變性的限制,使用面板非參數(shù)時變系數(shù)模型來研究我國各地區(qū)金融發(fā)展與城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的時變關(guān)系,并對未來發(fā)展模式進行預(yù)測。實證結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn):我國金融發(fā)展對城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的作用機制存在整體上的動態(tài)倒u特征和地區(qū)間的顯著階段性差異,Ⅰ類地區(qū)(北京、上海)、Ⅱ類地區(qū)(遼寧、山東等8個省市)目前處于金融發(fā)展抑制城鄉(xiāng)收入差距擴大的階段,Ⅲ類地區(qū)(山西、河北等13個省市)將在2018年進入該階段,而Ⅳ類地區(qū)(甘肅、青海等7個省市)在近10年內(nèi)不會進入該階段。
[Abstract]:It is of great significance to identify accurately the mechanism of financial development on the income gap between urban and rural areas in China. This paper breaks through the limitation of parameter invariance in most previous studies. The time-varying relationship between financial development and urban-rural income gap in different regions of China is studied by using the panel non-parametric time-varying coefficient model. The empirical results show that the mechanism of financial development on the income gap between urban and rural areas has the overall characteristics of dynamic inversion and significant phase differences between regions, type I region (Beijing, Beijing, China). Shanghai, Shandong and other provinces and cities are at present in the stage of financial development to suppress the widening income gap between urban and rural areas. Class 鈪,

本文編號:1691942

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