本文選題：江西省　切入點：城鎮(zhèn)居民消費　出處：《江西師范大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：美國次貸危機引發(fā)的全球性金融危機的背景下，“保增長、擴內(nèi)需、調(diào)結構”成為現(xiàn)階段我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的首要任務。江西“十二五”規(guī)劃指出，要以擴大內(nèi)需為導向，增強消費能力，，釋放消費潛能，以消費帶動江西省經(jīng)濟又好又快發(fā)展。江西省城鎮(zhèn)居民作為消費的主力軍，對江西省的消費態(tài)勢起著決定性作用。 自改革開放以來，我國經(jīng)歷了從計劃經(jīng)濟體制向市場經(jīng)濟體制的轉變，同時，城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費結構也發(fā)生了巨大的變遷。一方面江西省城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費結構實現(xiàn)了不斷的優(yōu)化和升級；另一方面江西省城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費結構也存在一定的問題。因此，如何擴大城鎮(zhèn)居民消費，優(yōu)化消費結構，發(fā)揮城鎮(zhèn)居民消費在經(jīng)濟增長中的作用具有重大的現(xiàn)實意義。 本文從經(jīng)濟史的角度出發(fā)，對1978年-2011年江西省城鎮(zhèn)居民消費的統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)資料進行實證研究。根據(jù)恩格爾系數(shù)分析結果，1978年-2011年江西城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費情況經(jīng)歷了兩個階段，即1978年—1998年基本實現(xiàn)溫飽的消費結構階段和1999年—2011年基本實現(xiàn)小康的消費結構階段。結合計量經(jīng)濟學的方法，采用擴展性線性支出系統(tǒng)模型，對每一階段通過恩格爾系數(shù)分析、時間序列分析、橫截面數(shù)據(jù)分析以及彈性分析，以此探尋江西省城鎮(zhèn)居民消費結構變遷的特征和規(guī)律。從分析中發(fā)現(xiàn)，江西省城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費水平有了很大的提高，消費結構經(jīng)歷了從溫飽型到小康型再到富裕型消費結構的變遷，消費結構實現(xiàn)了不斷的優(yōu)化和升級。然而，相對于全國其他城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費水平，江西城鎮(zhèn)居民的收入水平偏低，貧富差距較大；消費需求總體不足，消費需求增長趨緩；恩格爾系數(shù)依然偏高。為此提出促進江西省城鎮(zhèn)居民消費結構合理化對策，一方面為促進江西省乃至中部地區(qū)的消費市場的開發(fā)，優(yōu)化消費結構提供理論依據(jù)和政策建議；而另一方面則是為了促進江西省經(jīng)濟增長，縮小與其他地區(qū)的差距，促進區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的協(xié)調(diào)可持續(xù)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Against the background of the global financial crisis caused by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, "maintaining growth, expanding domestic demand, and adjusting the structure" have become the primary tasks of China's economic development at this stage. Jiangxi's 12th Five-Year Plan pointed out that it is necessary to take the expansion of domestic demand as the orientation. To enhance consumption ability, release consumption potential, and promote the economy of Jiangxi Province to develop well and rapidly with consumption, the urban residents of Jiangxi Province, as the main force of consumption, play a decisive role in the consumption situation of Jiangxi Province. Since the reform and opening up, China has experienced a transition from a planned economy to a market economy, and at the same time, On the one hand, the consumption structure of the urban residents in Jiangxi Province has been optimized and upgraded constantly; on the other hand, there are some problems in the consumption structure of the urban residents in Jiangxi Province. How to expand the consumption of urban residents, optimize the consumption structure, and give play to the role of urban residents' consumption in the economic growth has great practical significance. From the point of view of economic history, this paper makes an empirical study on the statistical data of urban residents' consumption in Jiangxi Province from 1978 to 2011. According to the results of Engel's coefficient analysis, the consumption of urban residents in Jiangxi Province from 1978 to 2011 has undergone two stages. That is, the consumption structure stage of food and clothing from 1978 to 1998 and the consumption structure stage of well-off society from 1999 to 2011. Combined with econometrics method, the extended linear expenditure system model is adopted, and the Engel coefficient analysis is used for each stage. Time series analysis, cross-section data analysis and elastic analysis are used to explore the characteristics and laws of the changes in the consumption structure of urban residents in Jiangxi Province. From the analysis, it is found that the consumption level of urban residents in Jiangxi Province has been greatly improved. The consumption structure has experienced the changes from the pattern of food and clothing to the type of Xiao Kang to the type of affluence, and the consumption structure has been continuously optimized and upgraded. However, compared with the consumption level of other urban residents in the country, The income level of urban residents in Jiangxi Province is on the low side, the gap between the rich and the poor is large; the overall consumption demand is insufficient, the growth of consumption demand is slowing down; the Engel coefficient is still on the high side. Therefore, the rational measures to promote the consumption structure of urban residents in Jiangxi Province are put forward. On the one hand, in order to promote the development of consumption market in Jiangxi Province and even in the central region, and to optimize the consumption structure, on the other hand, it is to promote the economic growth of Jiangxi Province and narrow the gap with other regions. To promote the coordinated and sustainable development of regional economy.
【學位授予單位】：江西師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F126.1

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