發(fā)布時間：2018-03-27 11:38

  本文選題：服務貿(mào)易　切入點：經(jīng)濟增長　出處：《華東師范大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：從20世紀60年代以來,國際貿(mào)易競爭的焦點正逐漸從貨物貿(mào)易向服務貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移,服務貿(mào)易將成為未來經(jīng)濟增長的新動力。與國外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)不同,國內(nèi)貿(mào)易總規(guī)模雖大,但仍以貨物貿(mào)易為主,即中國的經(jīng)濟增長過度依靠貨物出口來拉動。而隨著我國經(jīng)濟和貨物貿(mào)易多年來的快速發(fā)展,資源能源瓶頸日益凸顯,加之貿(mào)易摩擦逐漸增多。中國經(jīng)濟主要依靠貨物貿(mào)易發(fā)展的模式已難以為繼,發(fā)展服務貿(mào)易,轉(zhuǎn)變貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟增長方式已是擺在中國政府面前的一項緊迫任務。鑒于此,正確認識服務貿(mào)易對中國經(jīng)濟增長的影響意義重大。 本文的實證分析部分通過對中國服務貿(mào)易總量與經(jīng)濟增長、中國服務貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟增長進行了包括平穩(wěn)性檢驗、簡單線性回歸、協(xié)整檢驗、Granger因果關(guān)系檢驗的計量分析來檢驗中國服務貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟增長之間的關(guān)系。 實證結(jié)果表明,整體和分部門的服務貿(mào)易對經(jīng)濟增長均有促進作用,因此本文提出中國應該重視服務貿(mào)易的發(fā)展,積極調(diào)整服務業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),技術(shù)知識類服務業(yè)需要更多政府支持、建立和完善服務貿(mào)易管理機構(gòu)和體制,建立健全服務貿(mào)易法律法規(guī)等政策,以促進中國服務貿(mào)易快速發(fā)展,縮小與世界各國的差距,從而實現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟增長。
[Abstract]:Since the 1960s, the focus of international trade competition has gradually shifted from trade in goods to trade in services, and trade in services will become a new driving force for economic growth in the future. However, goods trade is still the main factor, that is, China's economic growth depends excessively on the export of goods. However, with the rapid development of China's economy and trade in goods for many years, the bottleneck of resources and energy has become increasingly prominent. In addition, trade frictions are gradually increasing. The pattern of China's economy mainly relying on the development of trade in goods has become unsustainable. It is an urgent task for the Chinese government to develop trade in services and change the mode of trade and economic growth. In view of this, It is of great significance to correctly understand the impact of service trade on China's economic growth. The empirical analysis part of this paper includes the stability test, simple linear regression of the total amount of China's service trade and economic growth, the structure of China's trade in services and economic growth. Co-integration test and Granger causality test are used to test the relationship between China's trade in services and economic growth. The empirical results show that the overall and subsectoral trade in services can promote economic growth. Therefore, this paper suggests that China should attach importance to the development of trade in services and actively adjust the structure of service industries. In order to promote the rapid development of China's service trade and narrow the gap with the rest of the world, more government support is needed to establish and perfect the management agencies and systems of service trade, and to establish and perfect laws and regulations on service trade in order to promote the rapid development of China's service trade. To achieve economic growth.
【學位授予單位】：華東師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F124.1;F752.68

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本文編號：1671360