中國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng)分析
本文選題:產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) 切入點(diǎn):產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化 出處:《首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:改革開放以來,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)長期處于高速增長狀態(tài),國民生產(chǎn)總值的年均增長率達(dá)到了9.8%。但是我國目前的這種經(jīng)濟(jì)增長是建立在高投入、高消耗、高污染的粗放型經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式之上的。在當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的時(shí)代背景下,如何實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整和升級(jí),已經(jīng)成為世界各國面臨的一個(gè)重要問題。特別是我國的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)遠(yuǎn)沒有達(dá)到合理化的水平,因此,怎樣突破現(xiàn)有的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式,實(shí)現(xiàn)我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,是我們當(dāng)前所面臨的重要議題。 本文對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)及經(jīng)濟(jì)增長相關(guān)理論進(jìn)行了分析和研究,并在相關(guān)研究基礎(chǔ)上構(gòu)建了我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化的度量指標(biāo)。運(yùn)用1978~2011年我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理化程度進(jìn)行了分析,得出了我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)逐步向著合理化發(fā)展的結(jié)論。進(jìn)一步運(yùn)用格蘭杰因果分析法對(duì)我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長二者之間的因果關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析,得出產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理化促進(jìn)了我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長與發(fā)展這一結(jié)論。最后,根據(jù)相關(guān)研究成果,分析了中國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)存在的問題并給出了相應(yīng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化改進(jìn)的建議。本文的最終研究目的是為我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化的變遷提供一定的理論依據(jù),也為全國的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的變遷和優(yōu)化提供一定的借鑒和引導(dǎo)作用。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has been in a state of rapid growth for a long time. The average annual growth rate of the gross national product (GNP) has reached 9.8%. However, the current economic growth of our country is based on high input and high consumption. Under the background of current economic globalization and regional economic integration, how to realize the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure, Has become an important issue facing all countries in the world. In particular, the industrial structure of our country is far from reaching the level of rationalization. Therefore, how to break through the existing economic development model, It is an important issue for us to realize the rationalization of industrial structure and the coordinated development of economic growth. This paper analyzes and studies the related theories of industrial structure and economic growth, and constructs the measurement index of the rationalization of industrial structure on the basis of relevant research. Using the relevant data of industrial structure of our country from 1978 to 2011, The rationalization degree of industrial structure in China is analyzed. The paper draws the conclusion that the industrial structure of our country is gradually developing towards rationalization, and makes an empirical analysis of the causal relationship between the rationalization of industrial structure and economic growth by Granger causality analysis. It is concluded that the rationalization of industrial structure promotes the economic growth and development of our country. Finally, according to the related research results, This paper analyzes the problems existing in China's industrial structure and puts forward some suggestions for the rationalization and improvement of the corresponding industrial structure. The ultimate purpose of this paper is to provide a theoretical basis for the change of China's industrial structure rationalization. Also for the national industrial structure changes and optimization to provide certain reference and guidance.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F124.1;F121.3
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