城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)于居民消費(fèi)率的影響:理論模型與實(shí)證分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-17 20:15
本文選題:城鎮(zhèn)化 切入點(diǎn):集聚效應(yīng) 出處:《經(jīng)濟(jì)研究》2014年06期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:本文通過建立一個(gè)包含多種類型消費(fèi)者(城市市民、城市非市民及農(nóng)民)和地方政府的理論框架,分析了城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)于我國居民消費(fèi)率的影響,并選取全國176個(gè)城市2001年到2010年的數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)。研究結(jié)果表明,城鎮(zhèn)化水平提高能夠推動(dòng)城市消費(fèi)率的增長,但城鎮(zhèn)化速度過快則會(huì)阻礙消費(fèi)率增長。實(shí)證顯示這一關(guān)系在我國不同地區(qū)間存在顯著區(qū)別,中部城市比東部城市更容易通過擴(kuò)大人口規(guī)模來提高城市生產(chǎn)能力和消費(fèi)率增速,而東部城市只有通過提升農(nóng)民工福利待遇,才能夠促進(jìn)消費(fèi)率增長。進(jìn)一步,本文還通過參數(shù)估計(jì)給出了我國城市人口集聚效應(yīng)的產(chǎn)出彈性。
[Abstract]:By establishing a theoretical framework including various types of consumers (urban citizens, urban non-citizens and farmers) and local governments, this paper analyzes the impact of urbanization on the consumption rate of Chinese residents. The data of 176 cities in China from 2001 to 2010 are selected for empirical test. The results show that the increase of urbanization level can promote the growth of urban consumption rate. However, too fast urbanization will hinder the growth of consumption rate. Empirical results show that there are significant differences between different regions in China. Central cities are more likely to increase urban production capacity and consumption rate growth by expanding population size than those in eastern cities. However, the eastern cities can only promote the increase of consumption rate by improving the welfare treatment of migrant workers. Furthermore, the paper also gives the output elasticity of urban population agglomeration effect by parameter estimation.
【作者單位】: 北京大學(xué)光華管理學(xué)院;
【分類號(hào)】:F126.1
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
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