基于空間異質(zhì)性視角下的中國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異研究
本文選題:區(qū)域差異 切入點:空間異質(zhì)性 出處:《上海經(jīng)濟(jì)研究》2014年05期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:本文采用標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差系數(shù)、變異系數(shù)、基尼系數(shù)、泰爾指數(shù)對中國1978-2012年區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異的演變規(guī)律進(jìn)行分析。(1)中國省區(qū)人均GDP變異系數(shù)和基尼系數(shù)呈現(xiàn)出平緩的"V"字型的形狀,區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異經(jīng)歷了"大—小—緩慢增大—逐漸縮小"的過程,其總趨勢是縮小的。(2)從全國格局來看,中國經(jīng)歷了由地帶內(nèi)差異為主向地帶間差異轉(zhuǎn)變,區(qū)間差異貢獻(xiàn)率持續(xù)上升。(3)中國五大區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)出不同態(tài)勢,東部區(qū)域內(nèi)部差異下降較快,中部、東北區(qū)域內(nèi)部差異下降較為緩慢,西南、西北區(qū)域內(nèi)部差異呈現(xiàn)擴大態(tài)勢。最后本文利用地理加權(quán)回歸模型(GWR)對地區(qū)差異變動成因進(jìn)行實證分析。研究表明:城鎮(zhèn)化率、固定資產(chǎn)投資、勞動力投入、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、對外開放程度等各因素具有一定程度的空間異質(zhì)性,但對各個省區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響程度相差不大。這也是近幾年我國區(qū)域發(fā)展差異縮小的重要原因。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the standard deviation coefficient, variation coefficient, Gini coefficient and Tyr index are used to analyze the evolution law of regional economic development difference in China from 1978 to 2012.) the average GDP variation coefficient and Gini coefficient of Chinese provinces and autonomous regions show the shape of "V" glyph. The difference of regional economic development has experienced the process of "big-small-slowly increasing-gradually narrowing", and its general trend is to narrow. (2) from the perspective of the national pattern, China has experienced a transition from the intra-zone difference to the inter-zone difference. The contribution rate of interval difference continues to rise. (3) the economic development of the five major regions of China shows different trends. The internal differences in the eastern region decrease rapidly, while the internal differences in the central and northeast regions decrease slowly, while in the southwest, the differences in the central and northeast regions decrease slowly. Finally, this paper uses the geographical weighted regression model to analyze the causes of regional difference change. The research shows that: urbanization rate, fixed asset investment, labor input, industrial structure, The degree of opening to the outside world and other factors have a certain degree of spatial heterogeneity, but the degree of influence on the economic growth of various provinces and regions is not different, which is also an important reason for the narrowing of regional development differences in China in recent years.
【作者單位】: 中國人民大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院區(qū)域與城市經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所;
【基金】:國家社科基金重大項目“調(diào)整區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)促進(jìn)國土開發(fā)空間結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化研究”(項目號:10ZD&023)
【分類號】:F127
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