本文關(guān)鍵詞： 中等收入群體 適應(yīng)性核密度估計 動態(tài)區(qū)間分解 無條件分位數(shù)回歸 FFL分解法　出處：《首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2013年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：收入分配問題研究是經(jīng)濟學(xué)領(lǐng)域所關(guān)注的焦點之一,當(dāng)前我國收入分配領(lǐng)域凸顯的最主要的問題是分配不公和居民收入差距持續(xù)擴大。近年來,我國經(jīng)濟一直保持高速發(fā)展,但在經(jīng)濟快速增長和居民整體收入不斷提高的同時,居民收入差距日益擴大,而收入差距的持續(xù)擴大容易引發(fā)社會矛盾,并阻礙經(jīng)濟的健康發(fā)展與快速增長。 為防止出現(xiàn)“兩頭大,中間小”“M型”社會的收入分布趨勢,從收入分配領(lǐng)域來說,就是要通過擴大中等收入群體的比重來理順收入分配關(guān)系,縮小各收入群體之間的收入差距從而實現(xiàn)不同收入群體共享改革發(fā)展成果。從中等收入群體的形成發(fā)展來看,不同國家和地區(qū)在不同的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展階段都存在中等收入群體,其作為社會成員的一個構(gòu)成部分對現(xiàn)實的經(jīng)濟與社會運行都產(chǎn)生了重要作用和影響。中等收入群體對于經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展和社會的穩(wěn)定作用不可忽視,培育規(guī)模宏大的中等收入群體也成為現(xiàn)代社會發(fā)展所要追求的重要目標。黨的十八大報告中也明確提出了“收入分配差距縮小,中等收入群體持續(xù)擴大”這一深化收入分配改革的重要任務(wù),同時擴大中等收入群體比重也是形成合理有序的收入分配格局和實現(xiàn)全面建成小康社會目標的具體要求。 因此,本文通過對我國中等收入群體現(xiàn)狀及其變動的測度與研究,合理界定我國中等收入群體,并把握其變動趨勢的規(guī)律,進而找出影響中等收入群體比重擴大的癥結(jié),制定切實可行的擴大我國中等收入群體比重的措施和政策,對于我國實現(xiàn)共同富裕、全面建設(shè)小康社會具有重要的意義。 本文的結(jié)構(gòu)和主要內(nèi)容主要由以下四部分構(gòu)成： 第一部分是第1章導(dǎo)論,主要是提出本論文的選題背景、理論及現(xiàn)實意義,對國內(nèi)外的研究現(xiàn)狀和文獻資料進行追蹤和評述,并說明研究方法和內(nèi)容、數(shù)據(jù)選取以及創(chuàng)新點。 第二部分是第2章理論與方法研究,這部分主要是對研究我國中等收入群體問題的相關(guān)理論進行回顧,并對其研究方法進行說明,力求在理論和方法上為后文打下堅實基礎(chǔ)。 第三部分是第3章至第6章實證研究部分,這一部分主要是對我國中等收入群體的現(xiàn)狀及其變動進行實證分析,考察其宏微觀影響因素。本文實證研究部分主要是采用1989-2009年中國營養(yǎng)與健康調(diào)查(CHNS)數(shù)據(jù),對我國中等收入群體的現(xiàn)狀及其變動進行研究： 第3章采用現(xiàn)代非參數(shù)方法中的適應(yīng)性核密度方法對我國居民整體的收入分布進行估計,并采用相對分布法從長期和短期兩種角度分別對不同年份的對照組和參照組不同收入水平下人口比重的變動來研究居民收入分布變遷的具體過程。 第4章基于居民收入分布提出我國中等收入群體的測度框架與模型,并測算了我國中等收入群體的識別標準與比重規(guī)模,對我國中等收入群體收入分布的變化趨勢進行比較分析,從而為后續(xù)的實證分析提供技術(shù)準備。 第5章采用動態(tài)區(qū)間分解法,對我國中等收入群體比重變動的影響因素進行宏觀效應(yīng)分解,綜合分析“經(jīng)濟增長效應(yīng)”、“收入分配效應(yīng)”和“標準變動效應(yīng)”在中等收入群體比重變動中的經(jīng)濟涵義；同時采用動態(tài)區(qū)間分解法與適應(yīng)性核密度估計相結(jié)合的方法,模擬出動態(tài)區(qū)間的變化過程中的我國中等收入群體收入分布變遷和人口比重變動的情況。 第6章采用靜態(tài)分析與動態(tài)比較相結(jié)合的方法從微觀視角研究影響我國中等收入群體收入及其變動的影響因素：首先采用無條件分位數(shù)回歸技術(shù)對總體樣本中間部分的分位數(shù)進行估計,用以反映個人特征對我國中等收入群體收入的微觀貢獻情況；其次,采用FFL分解法對不同年份我國中等收入群體的收入變遷進行全面、系統(tǒng)的微觀因素分解,深入探討影響我國中等收入群體收入變動的微觀影響因素。 第四部分是第7章總結(jié)與展望,結(jié)合前文的研究結(jié)論提出相應(yīng)的建議措施,并對下一步研究進行展望。
[Abstract]:Study on the problem of income distribution is one of the focuses in the field of economics, the main problems of the current prominent income distribution in China is widening inequality and the income gap of residents. In recent years, China's economy has maintained rapid development, but in the overall income of the rapid economic growth and continuous improvement of the residents at the same time, the income gap between residents increasingly expand the income gap continues to expand, and easily lead to social conflicts, and hinder the healthy development and rapid economic growth.
In order to prevent the emergence of "two large, intermediate small" M "type a" social income distribution trends, from the field of income distribution, is to expand the proportion of middle-income groups to rationalize the relations of income distribution, narrowing the income gap between different income groups to achieve different income groups share the fruits of reform and development. From the middle income group the formation and development, different countries and regions are middle-income groups in different stages of economic development, as a part of the members of the society to the reality of economic and social operation has an important role and influence. Stabilization of middle income groups for the development of economy and society can not be ignored, large-scale cultivation the middle income group has become the development of modern society to an important goal. The eighteen Party Congress has explicitly put forward the "income distribution gap narrowing The continuous expansion of the middle income group "is an important task of deepening the reform of income distribution. Meanwhile, enlarging the proportion of the middle income group is also a specific requirement for forming a reasonable and orderly pattern of income distribution and achieving the goal of building a well-off society in an all-round way.
Therefore, this article through the measurement and research of China's moderate income group status and changes, reasonable definition of middle income groups in China, and grasp the trend of the law, and then find out the effect of expanding the proportion of middle-income groups the crux of the problem, formulate feasible to enlarge the proportion of medium income group in our country the measures and policies for our country the realization of common prosperity, has an important significance to the comprehensive construction of well-off society.
The structure and main contents of this paper are mainly composed of the following four parts:
The first part is the introduction of the first chapter. It mainly puts forward the background, theoretical and practical significance of this thesis, traces and comments on the research status and literature at home and abroad, and explains the research methods and contents, data selection and innovation.
The second part is the second chapter of the theory and method research. This part mainly reviews the relevant theories of the study of the problem of middle income group in China, and illustrates the research methods, striving to lay a solid foundation for the latter in theory and method.
The third part is the third chapter to the sixth chapter is the empirical research, this part is the present situation and the change of middle income groups in China an empirical analysis on the macro and micro factors. In the empirical research is mainly used in 1989-2009 China health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) data, the present situation and the change of medium income group our study:
The third chapter uses the adaptive kernel density method of modern non parametric methods of Chinese residents' overall income distribution is estimated, and the relative distribution law from short-term and long-term two angles respectively for the control group and the control group in different years under different income levels and population changes to the specific process of the changes of income distribution.
The fourth chapter is based on the framework and model of income distribution of middle income groups in China, and calculates the identification standard of China's middle-income groups and the proportion of the scale, a comparative analysis of China's middle income groups income distribution trends, so as to provide the technical preparation for the subsequent empirical analysis.
The fifth chapter adopts dynamic interval decomposition method, the influence factors of the proportion of the medium income group in our country of the changes in the macro effects of decomposition, a comprehensive analysis of "economic growth", "income effect" and "standard change effect" in the meaning of economic changes in the proportion of middle-income groups; while using dynamic interval decomposition method and adaptive kernel density estimation method, simulate the dynamic change process of interval in our country's middle income groups the proportion of income distribution changes and population changes.
The sixth chapter uses the method of static analysis and dynamic comparison with the combination of the influencing factors on the impact of China's middle income groups income and its change from a micro perspective: first using unconditional quantile of the overall sample middle quantile regression techniques to estimate to reflect the individual characteristics of the micro contribution of middle income groups income in China; secondly, the FFL decomposition method for different years China's middle income groups income change comprehensively, micro factors decomposition system, it discusses the influence of micro influencing factors of middle income groups income change of our country.
The forth part is the summary and Prospect of Chapter 7, and puts forward the corresponding suggestions combined with the conclusions of the previous research, and looks forward to the next step of the research.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F224;F124.7

【引證文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條

1 許子銳;;淺析對大城市中等收入消費者的營銷攻略[J];商業(yè)故事;2016年26期

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本文編號：1459744