本文關鍵詞： 出口貿(mào)易結構 出口貢獻率 拉動效應 經(jīng)貿(mào)合作　出處：《湖南大學》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：中國和印度，作為兩個最大的發(fā)展中國家，隨著其經(jīng)濟和貿(mào)易的迅猛發(fā)展，吸引了全世界越來越多的目光。 近年來，中印兩國領導人頻繁接觸，政治和經(jīng)濟領域的合作不斷加強。目前，中國和印度分別作為世界上第一位、第五位的對外貿(mào)易大國，彼此之間的貿(mào)易依賴關系也是不言而喻的。印度已經(jīng)成為中國的十大貿(mào)易伙伴之一，且是我國南亞地區(qū)的第一大貿(mào)易國；到2011年，中國已經(jīng)超越美國成為印度第一大貿(mào)易伙伴國。印度對中國的貿(mào)易依賴性相對而言要更高一些。 基于WIOD提供的1995~2009年投入產(chǎn)出表中（35×35部門）中印兩國對外出口貿(mào)易和雙邊貿(mào)易的數(shù)據(jù)，本文分析兩國出口貿(mào)易結構的變化，，分產(chǎn)業(yè)和部門計算兩國由出口形成的GDP、出口對GDP形成的貢獻率、單位出口貢獻系數(shù)以及出口增長對GDP增長的貢獻率，比較了中印兩國對外出口貿(mào)易的異同，探討了兩國之間的貿(mào)易關系。中印兩國的出口貿(mào)易結構不管是從世界的角度還是雙邊的角度都在不斷優(yōu)化，技術水平不斷上升，但中國的出口貿(mào)易結構改善程度要高于印度。中印在部門的出口貢獻率和經(jīng)濟增長拉動效應方面存在差異，兩國之間并不構成完全的貿(mào)易競爭，而是存在明顯上升的互補性趨勢。因此中印之間應該擴大經(jīng)貿(mào)合作，發(fā)揮優(yōu)勢互補，促進兩國國內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)結構的調(diào)整和技術水平的提升，實現(xiàn)“雙贏”的局面。 通過以上宏觀層面的中印對外出口貿(mào)易總體數(shù)據(jù)詳盡分析，以及微觀層面部門的數(shù)據(jù)指標測算，可以得出，中國和印度在為各自在世界貿(mào)易的份額提高感到欣慰的同時，應該重視貿(mào)易結構內(nèi)部的變化，特別是中印雙邊貿(mào)易的主要部門之間的轉變，這有助于中印充分利用兩國資源，發(fā)揮優(yōu)勢互補，促進雙方產(chǎn)業(yè)結構調(diào)整，使出口增長對經(jīng)濟增長的影響效應多表現(xiàn)為正的拉動作用。這也為中國與其它發(fā)展中國家如何開展良好的貿(mào)易關系，促進中國與廣大發(fā)展中國家的經(jīng)貿(mào)政治往來提供新的、更為全面的借鑒依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:China and India, as the two largest developing countries, have attracted more and more attention from the world with the rapid development of their economy and trade. In recent years, the leaders of China and India have been in frequent contact with each other, and cooperation in the political and economic fields has been continuously strengthened. At present, China and India are the first and 5th largest foreign trade countries in the world, respectively. It is also self-evident that India has become one of China's ten trading partners and is the largest trading country in South Asia. By 2011, China had overtaken the United States as India's largest trading partner. India's trade dependence on China was relatively higher. Based on the data of export trade and bilateral trade between China and India in the input-output table from 1995 to 2009 provided by WIOD, this paper analyzes the changes in the structure of export trade between China and India. The contribution rate of export to GDP, the contribution coefficient of unit export and the contribution rate of export growth to GDP growth are calculated by industry and sector. This paper compares the similarities and differences between China and India's foreign export trade and probes into the trade relations between the two countries. The structure of export trade between China and India is constantly optimized from both the world and bilateral perspectives. The technological level is rising, but China's export trade structure has improved more than India's. There are differences between China and India in terms of sector export contribution rate and economic growth pull effect. China and India should expand economic and trade cooperation and complement each other with each other. To promote the adjustment of domestic industrial structure and technological level of the two countries to achieve a "win-win" situation. Through the above macro-level analysis of the overall data of Sino-Indian foreign export trade, as well as the micro-level sector of the data indicators, we can get. While China and India are pleased to see their share of world trade increase, they should pay attention to the changes in the structure of trade, especially among the major sectors of bilateral trade between China and India. This will help China and India make full use of the resources of the two countries, give full play to their complementary advantages, and promote the adjustment of the industrial structure of both sides. Most of the effects of export growth on economic growth are positive, which is also how China and other developing countries develop good trade relations. Promoting economic, trade and political exchanges between China and developing countries provides a new and more comprehensive basis for reference.
【學位授予單位】：湖南大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F752.62;F753.51;F124;F135.1

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