城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程、市民化待遇與居民消費(fèi)傾向
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-05 07:22
本文關(guān)鍵詞:城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程、市民化待遇與居民消費(fèi)傾向 出處:《東北財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 城鎮(zhèn)化 公共服務(wù)均等化 最終消費(fèi)率 市民化
【摘要】:中國的城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程被認(rèn)為是推動(dòng)中國乃至世界未來經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的基礎(chǔ)性動(dòng)力之一。而擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需尤其是提高居民消費(fèi)是實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)健康發(fā)展、加快轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式的關(guān)鍵,內(nèi)需的不斷擴(kuò)大可以改變投資拉動(dòng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式,進(jìn)而優(yōu)化內(nèi)需結(jié)構(gòu)。因此,加快推進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程和提高消費(fèi)率對(duì)擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需和保持經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)健康發(fā)展意義深遠(yuǎn)。那么城鎮(zhèn)化與消費(fèi)的關(guān)系是什么,為此我們需要思考下面幾個(gè)問題:第一,在當(dāng)前我國的城鄉(xiāng)二元公共服務(wù)體制條件下,城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程的推進(jìn)是提高還是降低了社會(huì)整體的福利水平,是否有利于公共服務(wù)的均等化?第二,公共服務(wù)的非均等化對(duì)消費(fèi)率產(chǎn)生了什么影響,又是通過什么途徑產(chǎn)生影響的?第三,形成我國當(dāng)前這種城鎮(zhèn)化模式的深層次原因是什么,通過什么途徑可以改變這種城鎮(zhèn)化悖論?找到這些問題的答案有助于我們選擇更加合理科學(xué)的城鎮(zhèn)化模式,讓城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展起到應(yīng)有的推進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長和社會(huì)發(fā)展的作用。 第一章主要介紹了選題的背景、研究的方法,從國內(nèi)外的相關(guān)研究文獻(xiàn)中找出理論的依據(jù),引入了公共服務(wù)這個(gè)變量,說明研究的立足點(diǎn)和創(chuàng)新點(diǎn),闡述了進(jìn)一步分析研究的意義,并簡要說明了基本的寫作框架。 第二章從城鎮(zhèn)化理論、消費(fèi)理論和公共服務(wù)理論展開分析,首先從國內(nèi)外的城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展經(jīng)驗(yàn)來看,城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展不同時(shí)期的階段特征有哪些,怎樣對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生的影響,進(jìn)而分析我國現(xiàn)狀判斷出目前我國城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展所處的階段;其次,分析影響消費(fèi)率變動(dòng)的因素和消費(fèi)增加對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響,進(jìn)一步討論我國當(dāng)前消費(fèi)率偏低的原因;最后,通過對(duì)公共服務(wù)在一國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中的重要性分析,進(jìn)一步揭露了我國當(dāng)前公共服務(wù)提供的非均等化和不足問題對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的阻礙影響。 第三四章的研究立足城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程、市民化待遇與居民消費(fèi)傾向這樣一個(gè)三位一體的研究框架,試圖解析并證明市民化待遇在連接城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程與居民消費(fèi)傾向之間的關(guān)鍵作用。首先通過理論分析充分說明了三者之間存在的內(nèi)在聯(lián)系,并結(jié)合了數(shù)理分析和討論,然后構(gòu)建出模型,模型中關(guān)于消費(fèi)這個(gè)變量使用了兩個(gè)不同的指標(biāo),一個(gè)是最終消費(fèi)率,是統(tǒng)計(jì)公布的最終消費(fèi)率占GDP的比重;另一個(gè)是最終消費(fèi)增長率,指的是最終消費(fèi)量絕對(duì)值的增減變化。前者的分析結(jié)果驗(yàn)證了居民消費(fèi)傾向在影響消費(fèi)率方面的決定性作用,收入的提高對(duì)最終消費(fèi)率有反向影響而且城鎮(zhèn)化率的增長也對(duì)消費(fèi)率有反向的影響關(guān)系,公共服務(wù)支出對(duì)消費(fèi)率的增長有較大的正向影響。對(duì)后者的分析結(jié)果可以得出,收入的提高可以明顯提高消費(fèi)的增長率,公共服務(wù)的支出也對(duì)消費(fèi)增長率有明顯的提高作用,但是城鎮(zhèn)化率的提高仍然與消費(fèi)增長率呈反向影響關(guān)系。 最后得出結(jié)論,當(dāng)前我國的最終消費(fèi)率沒有隨著城鎮(zhèn)化率的提高而提高的主要原因是由于我國城鄉(xiāng)二元的經(jīng)濟(jì)體制下,公共服務(wù)的提供存在著城鄉(xiāng)差異,被統(tǒng)計(jì)為新增城鎮(zhèn)人口的這部分人并沒有享受到應(yīng)有的福利待遇,存在公共服務(wù)提供的非均等化,再加上居民消費(fèi)傾向的降低和政府在公共服務(wù)方面的投入不足,消費(fèi)增長率也與城鎮(zhèn)化率存在反向影響,綜合分析我們得出結(jié)論,公共服務(wù)的提供對(duì)消費(fèi)影響很大,市民化待遇的實(shí)現(xiàn)可以提高公共服務(wù)對(duì)消費(fèi)的積極影響,起到擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需的作用,對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的持續(xù)穩(wěn)定起到保障作用。所以必須改變我國當(dāng)前的城鄉(xiāng)二元公共服務(wù)提供體制,才能改變我國當(dāng)前的城鎮(zhèn)化增長悖論。
[Abstract]:The process of urbanization China is considered to be one of the basic power to promote Chinese and the world economic growth in the future. And the expansion of domestic demand especially the increase of consumption is to achieve sustained and healthy economic development, the key to accelerating the transformation of the mode of economic growth, expanding domestic investment can change the mode of economic growth, and further optimize the structure of domestic demand therefore. To accelerate the process of urbanization, and increase the ratio of consumption to expand domestic demand and maintain the sustained and healthy economic development of great significance. So what is the relationship between urbanization and consumption, so we need to think about some problems: first, in the current China's urban and rural public service system under the condition of two yuan, the town is to promote the process of urbanization to increase or decrease the social welfare as a whole, whether there is conducive to the equalization of public services? Second, not the equalization of public services have on the rate of consumption What effect, and is affected by what way? Third, the formation of deep-seated reasons of China's current urbanization mode is what, through what channels can change the urbanization paradox? Find the answers to these questions are the pattern of urbanization will help us to choose a more reasonable and scientific, so that the development of urbanization due to promote economic growth and social development.
The first chapter mainly introduces the background, research methods, find out the theoretical basis from the relevant research literature at home and abroad, the introduction of public service that the variable and the basis of the research and innovation, expounds the further analysis of the significance of the research, and briefly describes the basic framework of writing.
The second chapter of the theory from the towns, analyze the consumption theory and public service theory, first of all from the experience of domestic and international development of urbanization, urbanization which has stage characteristics in different periods, what kind of impact on economy, and then analysis the present situation of our country determine the current development of China's urbanization at the second stage; analysis of influence factors, the change of consumption rate and increase the consumption of the effect on the economy, further discusses the reasons of China's current low consumption rate; finally, through the analysis of the importance of public service in the development of a country's economy, further reveals the problems hindering effect on non equalization and insufficient to provide public services in China on the current the development of economy.
Chapter three or four studies on the process of urbanization, urbanization benefits and propensity to consume such a three-in-one research framework, attempts to analyze and prove the key role in the treatment of the people of the connection between urbanization and consumption tendency. Firstly, through theoretical analysis, fully explained the inherent relationship between the three, and with the mathematical analysis and discussion, and then build a model about the consumption of this variable use two different indicators in the model, one is the final consumption rate is the rate of final consumption statistics released by the proportion of GDP; the other one is the final consumption growth rate, refers to the change of the absolute value of final consumption the analysis results of the former. The decisive role to verify the propensity to consume in the influence of the consumption rate, income increase and the urbanization rate has a negative effect on the growth of consumption rate of final consumption A reverse relationship has a positive impact rate, greater growth in public service expenditure on consumption rate. The results show that income increase can significantly improve the consumption growth rate, the public service expenditure on the consumption growth rate increased obviously with increasing urbanization rate, but still with the consumption growth rate is negatively affected.
Finally come to the conclusion that the main reason for the current final consumption rate in China is not with the urbanization rate increase is due to China's two urban and rural economic system, the provision of public services exist between urban and rural areas, these people are statistics for the new urban population and should not enjoy the benefits, there are the non equalization of public service, plus the propensity to consume and reduce the government in the public service of the lack of investment, consumption growth rate and urbanization rate has negative impacts, the comprehensive analysis we conclude that the provision of public services has great influence on the realization of the public consumption, treatment can improve the positive impact of the public the service of consumption, to expand domestic demand, sustained and stable economic development to play a role. So we must change our current two urban and rural public service system, In order to change the current paradox of urbanization in China.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東北財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F299.21;F126.1
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