【摘要】：近年來,中國積極參與經(jīng)濟全球化進程,經(jīng)濟保持穩(wěn)定增長,經(jīng)濟總量已穩(wěn)居世界第二位,但隨著經(jīng)濟全球化的日益加深和國際戰(zhàn)略格局的加速演變,我國的安全面臨著越來越嚴峻的威脅,包括霸權(quán)主義遏制、周邊地區(qū)安全隱患、及近來南海問題日趨復雜等各種政治、經(jīng)濟問題。經(jīng)濟建設(shè)決定國防需求、國防供給；國防建設(shè)則反作用于經(jīng)濟。國防建設(shè)為經(jīng)濟建設(shè)提供安全穩(wěn)定的發(fā)展環(huán)境,所以統(tǒng)籌經(jīng)濟建設(shè)和國防建設(shè)、推動軍民融合是社會主義建設(shè)過程中的重大課題,是建設(shè)社會主義事業(yè)的內(nèi)在要求。如何處理經(jīng)濟建設(shè)與國防現(xiàn)代化建設(shè)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的關(guān)系,如何制定合理的國防費規(guī)模、提高國防費用效益最大化等課題的研究變便成為國防經(jīng)濟學需要承擔的重要方向,具有重大的理論及實踐意義。因此本文在當前大背景下結(jié)合國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀,首先探討了國防建設(shè)與經(jīng)濟建設(shè)之間的互動關(guān)系,發(fā)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟建設(shè)是國防建設(shè)的決定性因素,國防建設(shè)是經(jīng)濟建設(shè)的的保證性因素,而且對國防建設(shè)反作用于經(jīng)濟建設(shè)的反饋機制進行了深入分析。其次對國防支出與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系進行了實證分析。選取金磚四國和美國的歷史數(shù)據(jù),基于現(xiàn)代的研究方法,使用平滑轉(zhuǎn)換自回歸(STAR)模型對各國進行了實證的研究。最終結(jié)合格蘭杰因果關(guān)系的檢驗結(jié)果以及不同STAR模型的建立對我國國防支出與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系進行了分析,而且以實證結(jié)合歷史的雙重角度對比了我國與美國、金磚國家的國防建設(shè)的差異。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)我國國防支出形成機制缺乏靈活性、國防建設(shè)滯后于經(jīng)濟政治發(fā)展等幾個問題。進行理論及實證分析后,文章結(jié)合發(fā)現(xiàn)的問題給出國防建設(shè)與經(jīng)濟建設(shè)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的建議對策：加強頂層機制設(shè)計,強化高層戰(zhàn)略指導；構(gòu)架軍民結(jié)合的經(jīng)濟科技體系；建立及優(yōu)化與經(jīng)濟增長同步的國防支出形成機制,積極靈活應(yīng)對經(jīng)濟變化；適當增加國防支出規(guī)模、增強國防建設(shè)力度。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China has actively participated in the process of economic globalization, and its economy has maintained a steady growth, and its total economic output has steadily ranked second in the world. However, with the deepening of economic globalization and the accelerated evolution of the international strategic pattern, The security of our country is facing more and more serious threats, including hegemonism containment, the security hidden trouble in the surrounding areas, and the increasingly complicated problems in the South China Sea recently, and other political and economic problems. Economic construction determines national defense demand and national defense supply; national defense construction counteracts to economy. National defense construction provides a safe and stable development environment for economic construction, so coordinating economic construction and national defense construction, promoting the integration of military and civil affairs is an important subject in the process of socialist construction, and is the inherent requirement of socialist construction. How to deal with the relationship between economic construction and the coordinated development of national defense modernization, how to formulate a reasonable scale of defense expenditure, and how to improve the efficiency of defense expenditure become an important direction to be assumed by the economics of national defense. It is of great theoretical and practical significance. Therefore, under the background of the present situation, this paper first discusses the interactive relationship between national defense construction and economic construction, and finds that economic construction is the decisive factor of national defense construction. National defense construction is the guarantee factor of economic construction, and the feedback mechanism of national defense construction reaction to economic construction is deeply analyzed. Secondly, the relationship between defense expenditure and economic growth is analyzed empirically. Based on the historical data of the BRICs and the United States and based on the modern research methods, this paper makes an empirical study on each country by using the smoothing transformation autoregressive (STAR) model. Finally, combined with the test results of Granger causality and the establishment of different STAR models, this paper analyzes the relationship between China's defense expenditure and economic growth, and compares China with the United States from the perspective of empirical analysis and historical analysis. Differences in BRICS defense construction. It is found that the formation mechanism of national defense expenditure is lack of flexibility and the construction of national defense lags behind the development of economy and politics. After theoretical and empirical analysis, the paper puts forward some suggestions for the coordinated development of national defense construction and economic construction: strengthening the top-level mechanism design, strengthening the high-level strategic guidance, setting up the economic and technological system of military-civilian integration; We should establish and optimize the forming mechanism of national defense expenditure synchronized with economic growth, actively and flexibly respond to economic changes, appropriately increase the scale of national defense expenditure, and strengthen national defense construction.
【學位授予單位】：上海社會科學院
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：E0-054

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