【摘要】：在"海上絲綢之路"建設(shè)與"中澳自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定"簽署的契機(jī)下,中國對(duì)澳大利亞"旅游外交"作用彰顯,研究?jī)蓢糜闻c貿(mào)易關(guān)系對(duì)雙邊政治經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的進(jìn)一步發(fā)展具有重要意義。在剖析旅游與貿(mào)易關(guān)系的基礎(chǔ)上,選取1995—2014年中澳兩國進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易與出境旅游數(shù)據(jù),采用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)方法實(shí)證兩國旅游與貿(mào)易之間的互動(dòng)關(guān)系。結(jié)果表明:兩國的進(jìn)口貿(mào)易是出境旅游的格蘭杰原因,出境旅游是出口貿(mào)易的格蘭杰原因。脈沖響應(yīng)分析結(jié)果顯示,無論在當(dāng)前或長期兩國旅游與貿(mào)易都會(huì)呈現(xiàn)相互影響。從宏觀層面而言,旅游偏愛度與入境客流量占比對(duì)兩國貿(mào)易依存度均產(chǎn)生正向影響,證實(shí)了中澳兩國旅游與貿(mào)易之間的互動(dòng)關(guān)系,對(duì)兩國進(jìn)一步深化貿(mào)易合作,制定相關(guān)旅游政策具有一定的參考價(jià)值。
[Abstract]:Under the opportunity of the construction of the "Maritime Silk Road" and the signing of the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement, China's role in Australia's "tourism diplomacy" has been highlighted. The study of tourism and trade relations between the two countries is of great significance to the further development of bilateral political and economic cooperation. On the basis of analyzing the relationship between tourism and trade, this paper selects the data of import and export trade and outbound tourism between China and Australia from 1995 to 2014, and uses econometric method to demonstrate the interaction between tourism and trade between the two countries. The results show that the import trade between the two countries is the Granger cause of outbound tourism, and outbound tourism is the Granger reason of export trade. The results of impulse response analysis show that tourism and trade between the two countries interact with each other both in the present and in the long term. At the macro level, tourism preference and the proportion of inbound passengers have a positive impact on the degree of trade dependence between the two countries, which confirms the interaction between tourism and trade between China and Australia, and further deepens trade cooperation between the two countries. It has certain reference value to formulate the related tourism policy.
【作者單位】： 陜西師范大學(xué)旅游與環(huán)境學(xué)院;
【基金】：陜西省軟科學(xué)研究計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目“‘一帶一路’背景下陜西對(duì)中亞五國直接投資的區(qū)域和產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇研究”(編號(hào):2016KRM035) 2011年度教育部人文社會(huì)科學(xué)研究西部和邊疆地區(qū)基金項(xiàng)目(編號(hào):11XJAZH001)
【分類號(hào)】：F592;F596.11

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