1986年~2016年伊朗人口空間分布格局演變特征
發(fā)布時間:2018-05-23 09:57
本文選題:人口 + 分布格局。 參考:《世界地理研究》2017年03期
【摘要】:作為中東大國之一,亦是中國戰(zhàn)略合作伙伴的伊朗是"一帶一路"中"新絲綢之路"經濟帶上的重要交通樞紐,科學合理測度其人口空間分布格局演變特征可提升對伊朗國內發(fā)展態(tài)勢的認知,對加強中伊政治經濟合作具有現實意義,也可豐富世界地理研究領域中東區(qū)域的典型案例。運用人口分布不均衡指數、重心分布、密度等指標,結合探索性空間數據分析和偏移-分享分析法等研判1986年~2016年伊朗人口分布空間格局演變特征,結果表明:伊朗人口空間分布極不均衡,人口主要集中在中央高原西北部、里海沿岸平原;人口密度整體上呈西北高東南低的特征,人口分布與自然地理環(huán)境條件、經濟發(fā)展水平呈顯著正相關;伊朗的人口流動以鄰域地區(qū)和城市之間的流動為主,主要流向經濟發(fā)達的北部和西北地區(qū),這也與人口重心在西北地區(qū)的空間路徑依賴慣性趨勢吻合;伊朗人口分布的空間格局演化分異呈顯著空間自相關性,人口密度較高和較低的區(qū)域均出現空間集聚特征,密度高高集聚區(qū)位于北部、西北部山地和德黑蘭周邊與中央高原交界處,且逐漸向東南方向延伸;密度低低集聚區(qū)主要分布于東部山地和西南地區(qū),且變化甚微。
[Abstract]:As one of the great powers in the Middle East and a strategic partner of China, Iran is an important transportation hub on the "New Silk Road" economic belt in the "Belt and Road". Scientific and reasonable measurement of the evolution characteristics of population spatial distribution pattern can enhance the cognition of Iran's domestic development situation, strengthen the political and economic cooperation between China and Iran, and enrich the typical cases of the Middle East region in the field of world geography research. Using the index of population distribution imbalance, center of gravity distribution, density and so on, combined with exploratory spatial data analysis and offset-sharing analysis, this paper studies the evolution characteristics of Iranian population distribution spatial pattern from 1986 to 2016. The results show that the spatial distribution of Iranian population is extremely uneven, the population is mainly concentrated in the northwestern part of the central plateau and the coastal plain of the Caspian Sea, and the population density is generally high, southeast and low in the northwest, and the population distribution and the natural geographical environment conditions. There is a significant positive correlation between the level of economic development and the flow of population in Iran, mainly between neighboring areas and cities, mainly to the north and northwest regions with developed economies. This also coincides with the trend of spatial path dependence of population center of gravity in northwest China. The spatial pattern evolution and differentiation of Iranian population distribution show significant spatial autocorrelation, and the regions with higher population density and lower population density have the characteristics of spatial agglomeration. The area with high density is located in the north, the northwestern mountainous area and the border between Tehran and the central plateau, and gradually extends to the southeast, and the low density area mainly distributes in the eastern mountain area and the southwest area, with little change.
【作者單位】: 西南大學伊朗研究中心;
【基金】:國家社科基金西部項目“伊朗核危機的演變趨勢與中國能源安全及對策研究”(10XGJ0008) 高;究蒲许椖俊耙晾屎宋C的演變趨勢與中國的對策響應”(SWU0909619)
【分類號】:C924.373
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