金磚國(guó)家貨幣合作研究
本文選題:金磚國(guó)家 切入點(diǎn):貨幣合作 出處:《首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:由2008年美國(guó)次貸危機(jī)造成的全球金融風(fēng)暴給世界經(jīng)濟(jì)和國(guó)際貨幣體系帶來(lái)了巨大沖擊,對(duì)美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)具有很強(qiáng)依賴(lài)性的發(fā)展中國(guó)家亦受到了強(qiáng)烈影響。在經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化迅速發(fā)展的時(shí)代背景下,加之日益深化的開(kāi)放趨勢(shì),使得金融危機(jī)一旦出現(xiàn)就會(huì)迅速蔓延,波及到所有國(guó)家。因此,當(dāng)面臨大規(guī)模的經(jīng)濟(jì)沖擊和金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)時(shí),一個(gè)國(guó)家根本無(wú)法獨(dú)自承受。此次金融危機(jī)以后,金磚國(guó)家就如何進(jìn)行區(qū)域金融合作進(jìn)行了多次對(duì)話。隨著金磚國(guó)家間貿(mào)易、投資等合作日益緊密,經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化進(jìn)程逐步推進(jìn),在此基礎(chǔ)上加快貨幣合作的步伐,既是金融合作發(fā)展的趨勢(shì)所在,也是政治經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的必然要求。這對(duì)提高金磚各國(guó)的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力與國(guó)際地位,實(shí)現(xiàn)共同發(fā)展與繁榮,彌補(bǔ)當(dāng)前國(guó)際貨幣體系中的不足具有重大的戰(zhàn)略意義。然而金磚國(guó)家與歐盟這樣的經(jīng)濟(jì)共同體相比,還存在許多差異,彼此之間貨幣合作的實(shí)施存在諸多難題。同時(shí),由于金磚國(guó)家貨幣合作還處于剛剛起步階段,政府及專(zhuān)家學(xué)者還較難以把握其發(fā)展規(guī)律,研究成果滯后,研究?jī)?nèi)容也有待充實(shí)。本文按照貨幣合作的發(fā)展階段,把金磚國(guó)家貨幣合作的范疇分為前期和后期兩個(gè)階段來(lái)展開(kāi)討論,以最優(yōu)貨幣區(qū)理論為理論基礎(chǔ),對(duì)金磚國(guó)家進(jìn)行貨幣合作的收益以及前期和后期兩個(gè)階段的成本分別運(yùn)用定性和定量?jī)煞N研究方法進(jìn)行研究。并對(duì)比歐洲和拉美地區(qū)區(qū)域貨幣合作的原因,對(duì)后期金磚國(guó)家貨幣合作的可行性進(jìn)行了更為深入的探討,發(fā)現(xiàn)依據(jù)金磚國(guó)家目前的現(xiàn)實(shí)情況和發(fā)展條件,不具備后期貨幣合作的條件。最后通過(guò)對(duì)中國(guó)在金磚國(guó)家貨幣合作進(jìn)程中的現(xiàn)實(shí)情況提出了中國(guó)參與金磚國(guó)家貨幣合作的戰(zhàn)略選擇,并提出了前期金磚國(guó)家貨幣合作的建議原則。論文主要分為五部分。第一部分為選題背景與文獻(xiàn)綜述;第二部分對(duì)金磚國(guó)家貨幣合作的范疇等基本概念進(jìn)行了界定,并討論了金磚國(guó)家進(jìn)行貨幣合作所面臨的機(jī)遇與挑戰(zhàn);第三部分運(yùn)用定性分析的研究方法對(duì)金磚國(guó)家進(jìn)行貨幣合作的收益以及前期合作的成本進(jìn)行了分析,運(yùn)用OCA指數(shù)法對(duì)后期貨幣合作的成本進(jìn)行了量化分析;第四部分對(duì)比歐洲和拉美地區(qū)區(qū)域貨幣合作的原因,定性分析了金磚國(guó)家后期金磚國(guó)家貨幣合作的可行性;第五部分研究了中國(guó)在金磚國(guó)家貨幣合作過(guò)程中的戰(zhàn)略選擇,并提出了前期金磚國(guó)家貨幣合作的建議原則。
[Abstract]:The global financial storm caused by the subprime mortgage crisis of the United States in 2008 has brought a great impact to the world economy and the international monetary system, as well as to the developing countries which have a strong dependence on the American economy.Under the background of the rapid development of economic integration and the deepening trend of opening up, the financial crisis will spread rapidly once it appears, and spread to all countries.So, when faced with massive economic shocks and financial risks, a country simply cannot bear it alone.After the financial crisis, the BRICS countries on how to carry out regional financial cooperation for a number of dialogues.With the increasingly close cooperation between BRICS countries such as trade and investment, the process of economic integration is advancing step by step. On this basis, speeding up the pace of monetary cooperation is not only the trend of the development of financial cooperation, but also the inevitable requirement of political and economic cooperation.It is of great strategic significance to improve the competitiveness and international status of BRICS countries, achieve common development and prosperity, and make up for the deficiencies in the current international monetary system.However, there are still many differences between the BRICS and economic communities such as the European Union, and there are many difficulties in the implementation of monetary cooperation between the BRICS and the European Union.At the same time, due to the BRICS monetary cooperation is still in its infancy, the government and experts are still difficult to grasp its development law, the research results lag behind, and the research content needs to be enriched.According to the development stage of monetary cooperation, this paper divides the scope of BRICS monetary cooperation into two stages: the early stage and the later stage, and takes the theory of optimal currency area as the theoretical basis.The benefits of monetary cooperation in BRICS and the costs in the early and later stages are studied by qualitative and quantitative methods.Compared with the reasons of regional monetary cooperation in Europe and Latin America, the feasibility of monetary cooperation of BRICS countries in the later period is discussed more deeply, and it is found that according to the current situation and development conditions of BRICS countries,There are no conditions for late monetary cooperation.Finally, the paper puts forward the strategic choice of China's participation in the BRICS monetary cooperation through the actual situation of China in the process of the BRICS monetary cooperation, and puts forward the suggested principles of the BRICS monetary cooperation in the early stage.The paper is divided into five parts.The first part is the background and literature review, the second part defines the basic concepts of BRICS monetary cooperation, and discusses the opportunities and challenges faced by BRICS countries in monetary cooperation.The third part uses the qualitative analysis method to carry on the analysis to the BRICS countries to carry on the monetary cooperation income as well as the early stage cooperation cost has carried on the quantitative analysis to the later stage monetary cooperation cost using the OCA index method;The fourth part compares the reasons of regional monetary cooperation between Europe and Latin America, and qualitatively analyzes the feasibility of BRICS monetary cooperation in the later stage of BRICS. The fifth part studies the strategic choice of China in the process of BRICS monetary cooperation.And put forward the early BRICS monetary cooperation of the proposed principles.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F821
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