發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-16 18:23

  本文選題：出口貿(mào)易　切入點(diǎn)：行業(yè)生產(chǎn)率　出處：《南京大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：近三十年來,我國對(duì)外貿(mào)易保持高速增長,成為我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要驅(qū)動(dòng)力之一。但從貿(mào)易產(chǎn)品的"質(zhì)"上看,出口產(chǎn)品的附加值和技術(shù)含量仍然偏低,而高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)具有技術(shù)密集、高附加值等特點(diǎn),發(fā)展高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)出口貿(mào)易將成為轉(zhuǎn)變對(duì)外貿(mào)易方式的重要路徑之一。二十年來,我國高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)出口貿(mào)易蓬勃發(fā)展,成為我國出口貿(mào)易擴(kuò)張的重要增長點(diǎn)。新新貿(mào)易理論的提出讓人們開始關(guān)注出口貿(mào)易和生產(chǎn)率的關(guān)系,出口貿(mào)易對(duì)生產(chǎn)率的影響成為對(duì)外貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長研究框架下的重要子論題,但國內(nèi)現(xiàn)有文獻(xiàn)主要以制造業(yè)為研究對(duì)象,對(duì)某一產(chǎn)業(yè)的研究較少。本文以高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)為研究對(duì)象,從全國以及區(qū)域視角對(duì)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)出口貿(mào)易帶來的生產(chǎn)率效應(yīng)進(jìn)行研究,在對(duì)國際貿(mào)易理論相關(guān)論點(diǎn)回顧的基礎(chǔ)上提出三個(gè)影響機(jī)制,采用Malmquist指數(shù)法對(duì)行業(yè)生產(chǎn)率進(jìn)行測(cè)算,并以此為基礎(chǔ)利用1998-2011年的行業(yè)面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,本文力圖解決三個(gè)問題:(1)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)出口貿(mào)易能否對(duì)行業(yè)生產(chǎn)率產(chǎn)生影響?(2)如何產(chǎn)生影響?(3)影響作用在區(qū)域間有何差異?本文的主要結(jié)論歸納為以下三點(diǎn):(1)全國高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)出口貿(mào)易增長能夠顯著促進(jìn)行業(yè)生產(chǎn)率增長,但促進(jìn)作用較弱。(2)出口貿(mào)易主要通過出口學(xué)習(xí)效應(yīng)和規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)兩種機(jī)制促進(jìn)行業(yè)生產(chǎn)率增長。進(jìn)一步,出口貿(mào)易通過促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚技術(shù)溢出帶來外在規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)促進(jìn)行業(yè)生產(chǎn)率增長。(3)分區(qū)域來看,東部和中部高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)出口貿(mào)易均能夠顯著促進(jìn)其行業(yè)生產(chǎn)率增長,但中部的促進(jìn)作用較弱,遠(yuǎn)小于東部地區(qū),而西部地區(qū)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)出口貿(mào)易則對(duì)行業(yè)生產(chǎn)率沒有顯著影響。本文可能的創(chuàng)新之處在于,以高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)為研究對(duì)象,從全國和區(qū)域兩個(gè)角度對(duì)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)出口貿(mào)易如何影響生產(chǎn)率進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究。在計(jì)量模型中引入交互項(xiàng),深入分析出口貿(mào)易如何與其他因素一起對(duì)生產(chǎn)率產(chǎn)生影響,從側(cè)面對(duì)影響機(jī)制進(jìn)行探討。此外,對(duì)計(jì)量模型進(jìn)行拓展進(jìn)一步考察出口貿(mào)易能否通過產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚和產(chǎn)業(yè)間技術(shù)溢出帶來外在規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)。實(shí)證方法上,本文在采用傳統(tǒng)的固定效應(yīng)模型和隨機(jī)效應(yīng)模型回歸的基礎(chǔ)上,用動(dòng)態(tài)面板進(jìn)一步對(duì)結(jié)果進(jìn)行檢驗(yàn),排除了模型內(nèi)生性對(duì)實(shí)證結(jié)果的影響。本文不足之處主要在于未能精確測(cè)度三個(gè)影響機(jī)制的作用大小,僅從側(cè)面進(jìn)行分析。此外,本文僅利用行業(yè)面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實(shí)證,未使用企業(yè)層面數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)一步研究。
[Abstract]:In the past three decades, China's foreign trade has maintained a high growth rate, which has become one of the important driving forces for China's economic development. However, from the point of view of the "quality" of trade products, the added value and technical content of export products are still on the low side. The high-tech industries have the characteristics of intensive technology and high added value. The development of export trade of high-tech industries will become one of the important ways to change the mode of foreign trade. In the past 20 years, the export trade of China's high-tech industries has flourished. It has become an important growth point of China's export trade expansion. The new and new trade theory has made people begin to pay attention to the relationship between export trade and productivity. The impact of export trade on productivity has become an important sub-topic in the framework of foreign trade and economic growth, but the existing domestic literature mainly focuses on the manufacturing industry. This paper takes high-tech industry as the research object, studies the productivity effect of high-tech industry export trade from the national and regional perspectives. On the basis of reviewing the relevant arguments of international trade theory, this paper puts forward three influencing mechanisms, and uses the Malmquist index method to measure the industry productivity, and makes an empirical analysis based on the industry panel data from 1998 to 2011. This paper tries to solve three questions: (1) can high-tech industry export trade have an impact on industry productivity? 2) how do they make an impact? What are the regional differences in the impact? The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the growth of national high-tech industry export trade can significantly promote the growth of industry productivity. But the promotion effect is weaker. (2) Export trade promotes industry productivity growth mainly through two mechanisms: export learning effect and scale economy effect. Export trade promotes industrial agglomeration technology spillover to bring external economies of scale effect to promote industry productivity growth. (3) Subregion, eastern and central high-tech industries export trade can significantly promote their industry productivity growth. However, the promotion function of the central region is weaker than that of the eastern region, while the export trade of the western high-tech industry has no significant effect on the industry productivity. The possible innovation of this paper is that the high-tech industry is taken as the research object. This paper makes an empirical study on how the export trade of high-tech industries affects productivity from the national and regional perspectives, and analyzes how export trade, together with other factors, has an impact on productivity by introducing an interactive term into the econometric model. In addition, the paper further explores whether export trade can bring external economies of scale effects through industrial agglomeration and inter-industry technology spillover. Based on the regression of the traditional fixed effect model and the random effect model, the dynamic panel is used to further test the results. Excluding the influence of endogenous model on empirical results. The main deficiency of this paper lies in the failure to accurately measure the impact of the three mechanisms, only from the side of the analysis. In addition, this paper only uses industry panel data for empirical research. No further research using enterprise level data.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F752.62;F276.44
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本文編號(hào)：1621141