雙邊投資協(xié)定對韓國對外直接投資影響的實證研究
本文選題:雙邊投資協(xié)定 + 自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定 ; 參考:《遼寧大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:在韓國的崛起進(jìn)程中,對外直接投資(OFDI)扮演了重要角色。韓國大規(guī)模的對外直接投資始于1980年代中后期,1985年韓國實際對外直接投資額還只有1.12億美元,此后三十年歷經(jīng)了大規(guī)模增長,2016年達(dá)到349.9億美元,增長了約311倍。為推動對外直接投資穩(wěn)定發(fā)展,韓國政府努力通過與東道國簽訂雙邊投資協(xié)定(BIT)和含有投資條款的自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定(FTA)來降低制度風(fēng)險。雙邊投資協(xié)定是兩國政府間簽訂的,以鼓勵、保護(hù)和促進(jìn)兩國間投資為目的并具有法律效力的協(xié)定。韓國與各國簽訂的BIT內(nèi)容雖不盡相同,但一般都包括投資的保護(hù)與促進(jìn)、投資準(zhǔn)入條件、投資待遇、損失賠償、投資收益匯出以及爭議解決等權(quán)利和責(zé)任的明確規(guī)定。截止目前,韓國簽訂的BIT總量達(dá)到了89個�;�1980-2014年間韓國對81個東道國的OFDI數(shù)據(jù),本文主要探究兩個問題:第一,韓國簽訂且已生效的BIT和含有投資條款的FTA對韓國OFDI是否具有促進(jìn)效應(yīng);第二,東道國的制度環(huán)境在吸引韓國直接投資過程中扮演著什么角色,當(dāng)東道國制度水平較差時,韓國與該國簽訂的BIT可否產(chǎn)生替代效應(yīng)。本文的文章結(jié)構(gòu)如下,第一部分是緒論,包括研究背景、文獻(xiàn)綜述與文章內(nèi)容框架等,總結(jié)了前人對BIT、FTA及東道國制度水平對OFDI促進(jìn)效應(yīng)的研究;第二部分梳理了韓國FDI的歷程、現(xiàn)狀及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整,另外還介紹了韓國投資協(xié)定的發(fā)展歷程;第三部分是實證研究部分,包括模型設(shè)定、變量選取和數(shù)據(jù)說明,固定效應(yīng)模型實證結(jié)果分析,再利用工具變量法進(jìn)行穩(wěn)健性檢驗;第四部分總結(jié)并提出政策建議。實證研究表明,生效的BIT確實促進(jìn)了韓國對外直接投資,FTA中的投資條款也起到了與BIT相同的作用。投資者能否持續(xù)、穩(wěn)定地在東道國經(jīng)營下去還取決于東道國的制度環(huán)境,東道國制度水平越高就越能夠吸引外國投資者。當(dāng)東道國制度水平較差時,BIT對東道國較差的制度水平可以起到替代作用。韓國的經(jīng)驗對我國具有重要的啟示作用。當(dāng)前,我國正處于對外直接投資的高速發(fā)展時期,2015年已經(jīng)超過外國直接投資,成為直接投資的凈流出國。自“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略列入我國“十三五”時期主要目標(biāo)任務(wù)和重大舉措以來,“一帶一路”沿線國家開始成為我國對外投資的重要目的地�;陧n國的經(jīng)驗,中國應(yīng)加快推進(jìn)與包括“一帶一路”沿線國家在內(nèi)的其他國家的經(jīng)貿(mào)投資合作協(xié)定的簽訂,從產(chǎn)權(quán)、投資準(zhǔn)入、投資待遇、征用和國有化、損失賠償和爭議解決等各個方面對投資者的權(quán)利和責(zé)任進(jìn)行明確的規(guī)定,以此通過規(guī)范的、有約束力的制度形式保護(hù)我國的海外投資。
[Abstract]:Foreign direct investment (OFDI) played an important role in the rise of South Korea. South Korea's massive outward direct investment (FDI) began in the late 1980s. In 1985, it was only $112 million in real terms. After three decades of massive growth, it reached $34.99 billion in 2016, an increase of about 311-fold. In order to promote the steady development of foreign direct investment, the Korean government tries to reduce the institutional risk by signing bilateral investment agreements (bits) with host countries and free trade agreements (FTAs) with investment clauses. Bilateral investment agreements (bits) are agreements signed between the two governments with the aim of encouraging, protecting and promoting investment between the two countries. Although the contents of BIT signed between Korea and other countries are different, they generally include the clear provisions of the rights and responsibilities of investment protection and promotion, investment access conditions, investment treatment, compensation for losses, repatriation of investment income and dispute resolution. So far, South Korea signed a total of 89 BIT. Based on the OFDI data of 81 host countries from 1980 to 2014, this paper mainly explores two questions: first, whether the BIT signed by Korea and the FTA with investment clauses have a positive effect on OFDI in Korea; What role does the institutional environment of host country play in the process of attracting Korean direct investment? when the level of host country system is poor, can the BIT signed between Korea and Korea produce substitution effect? The structure of this paper is as follows: the first part is the introduction, including the research background, literature review and the content framework of the article, summarizes the previous research on the effect of BIT-FTA and host country system level on OFDI promotion; the second part combs the course of Korean FDI. The third part is the empirical research part, including model setting, variable selection and data description, fixed effect model empirical results analysis. Then we use the tool variable method to test the robustness; the fourth part summarizes and puts forward the policy recommendations. The empirical study shows that the effective BIT does promote the investment clause of Korea OFDI FTAs and play the same role as BIT. Whether the investors can continue to operate in the host country is also dependent on the institutional environment of the host country. The higher the level of the host country system, the more able to attract foreign investors. When the host country's institutional level is poor, bit can substitute for the host country's poor institutional level. Korea's experience has important enlightenment to our country. At present, China is in the period of rapid development of foreign direct investment. In 2015, China has surpassed foreign direct investment and become a net outflow country of direct investment. Since the "Belt and Road" strategy was listed as the main target task and major measures in the 13th Five-Year Plan period, the countries along the "Belt and Road" line have become an important destination for China's foreign investment. Based on South Korea's experience, China should speed up the signing of economic and trade investment cooperation agreements with other countries, including countries along the "Belt and Road" route, from property rights, investment access, investment treatment, expropriation and nationalization. The rights and responsibilities of investors are clearly regulated in various aspects, such as compensation for losses and dispute settlement, so as to protect China's overseas investment through a standardized and binding system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F131.26
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