本文選題：鄭州市房地產價格　切入點：影響因素　出處：《鄭州大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：自1998年我國廢除福利分房以來,二十多年過去了,房地產業(yè)已經發(fā)展成了國民經濟的支柱產業(yè)之一,商品房的買賣成了消費增長的新源泉和新熱點。但是近些年,房地產價格增速過快,尤其是鄭州市的房地產價格的增速遠遠超過了人均可支配收入的漲幅。這一情況的日益凸顯,即制約了鄭州市經濟健康穩(wěn)定的發(fā)展,也影響了鄭州市居民的生活質量,特別是中低收入人群的生活質量,所以房地產價格問題不單單是一個經濟問題,同時也是重要的社會問題。 本文用理論分析與實證研究相結合的方法,對影響鄭州市房地產價格的諸多因素近行了分析。首先,從成本、經濟、社會、政策等諸多因素入手,對影響鄭州市房地產價格的這些因素進行了理論分析。然后,分析了五個經濟因素對鄭州市房地產價格的影響,其中運用了多元線性回歸的方法,分析結果表明影響鄭州市房地產價格變動的五個因素中,GDP和貸款利率對鄭州市房地產價格的影響較為顯著。第三,用因子分析和多元線性回歸的方法,比較經濟因素和政策因素對于鄭州市房地產價格的影響程度,得出了經濟因素比政策因素更能影響鄭州市房地產價格,相比較而言,政策因素對鄭州市房價的影響主要體現在某些時間段的,但是從長期來看,經濟因素的持久性和延續(xù)性會更強一些。最后,根據實證分析的結論預測了鄭州市房地產市場仍將會繼續(xù)上漲,但是增速會減慢,而且會更加規(guī)范。針對穩(wěn)定鄭州房地產市場提出了幾條建議,分別是：增加土地供給,特別是經濟實用房的土地供給；不要片面依賴利率政策,多采用稅收調節(jié)等手段；進一步落實經濟適用房政策；進一步完善廉租房政策,發(fā)展房屋租賃市場；規(guī)范房地產市場,引導消費者理性預期。
[Abstract]:Since the abolition of welfare housing in China in 1998, more than 20 years have passed, the real estate industry has developed into one of the pillar industries of the national economy, and the purchase and sale of commercial housing has become a new source and new hot spot of consumption growth.But in recent years, real estate prices have grown too fast, especially in Zhengzhou, far outpacing per capita disposable income.This situation is becoming increasingly prominent, that is, it restricts the healthy and stable development of the economy in Zhengzhou, and also affects the quality of life of the residents of Zhengzhou, especially the quality of life of the middle and low income groups. Therefore, the issue of real estate prices is not just an economic issue.It is also an important social problem.By combining theoretical analysis with empirical research, this paper analyzes several factors affecting real estate prices in Zhengzhou.First of all, from the cost, economic, social, policy and many other factors, real estate prices in Zhengzhou to carry out a theoretical analysis of these factors.Then, the paper analyzes the influence of five economic factors on the real estate price of Zhengzhou, and applies the method of multiple linear regression.The results show that among the five factors that affect the real estate price in Zhengzhou, GDP and loan interest rate have a significant impact on the real estate price in Zhengzhou.Thirdly, by means of factor analysis and multivariate linear regression, the paper compares the influence of economic factors and policy factors on real estate prices in Zhengzhou, and concludes that economic factors can affect Zhengzhou real estate prices more than policy factors.The impact of policy factors on housing prices in Zhengzhou is mainly reflected in certain time periods, but in the long run, the persistence and continuity of economic factors will be stronger.Finally, according to the conclusion of empirical analysis, it predicts that the real estate market in Zhengzhou will continue to rise, but the growth rate will slow down, and will be more standardized.This paper puts forward several suggestions for stabilizing Zhengzhou real estate market, such as increasing land supply, especially land supply of economical and practical housing, not relying on interest rate policy one-sidedly, adopting tax regulation and so on.Further implement comfortable housing's policy; further improve the low-rent housing policy and develop the housing rental market; standardize the real estate market and guide consumers' rational expectations.
【學位授予單位】：鄭州大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.23

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本文編號：1728718