【摘要】：本文依據(jù)宏觀經(jīng)濟學(xué)、微觀經(jīng)濟學(xué)、消費經(jīng)濟學(xué)、計量經(jīng)濟學(xué)和投入產(chǎn)出理論，利用AIDS模型（幾乎理想需求函數(shù)模型）對中國城鄉(xiāng)居民的消費結(jié)構(gòu)進行實證研究，分析我國城鄉(xiāng)居民消費水平和消費結(jié)構(gòu)的現(xiàn)狀特點、變化情況和變化規(guī)律。結(jié)合計量模型和投入產(chǎn)出模型，對消費行為和消費結(jié)構(gòu)變化作出可靠的預(yù)測，并分析由消費結(jié)構(gòu)變化引起的生產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu)變化特點和趨勢。最后提出合理的政策建議。 本文包括四部分內(nèi)容：第一部分，介紹本文的研究背景及研究意義，進行相關(guān)文獻綜述，說明研究內(nèi)容及研究方法；第二部分，詳細(xì)介紹AIDS模型及建模方法，建立我國城鄉(xiāng)居民消費的AIDS模型，根據(jù)模型結(jié)果，對我國城鄉(xiāng)居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)的變遷特點進行分析，并對我國居民的消費結(jié)構(gòu)特點進行城鄉(xiāng)對比分析；第三部分，通過投入產(chǎn)出與計量方法相結(jié)合，分析近20年來我國城鄉(xiāng)居民的消費結(jié)構(gòu)變化對生產(chǎn)結(jié)果的影響和變遷歷程，并對“十二五”規(guī)劃和黨的十八大報告提出的收入倍增目標(biāo)引起的消費結(jié)構(gòu)變遷，預(yù)測生產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu)的變化；第四部分，根據(jù)第二、第三部分的分析，得出主要結(jié)論，，提出合理性建議，展望未來的研究方向。
[Abstract]:Based on macroeconomics, microeconomics, consumer economics, econometrics and input-output theory, this paper makes an empirical study on the consumption structure of Chinese urban and rural residents by using AIDS model (almost ideal demand function model). This paper analyzes the characteristics, changes and rules of consumption level and consumption structure of urban and rural residents in China. Combined with econometric model and input-output model, the changes of consumption behavior and consumption structure are predicted reliably, and the characteristics and trends of production structure change caused by the change of consumption structure are analyzed. Finally, reasonable policy suggestions are put forward. This paper includes four parts: the first part introduces the research background and significance of this paper, carries on the related literature review, explains the research content and the research method; In the second part, the AIDS model and modeling method are introduced in detail, and the AIDS model of Chinese urban and rural residents' consumption is established. According to the results of the model, the changing characteristics of the consumption structure of urban and rural residents in China are analyzed. And the characteristics of the consumption structure of the residents in China are compared and analyzed in urban and rural areas. The third part, through the combination of input-output and metrology, analyzes the influence and changing course of the consumption structure of urban and rural residents on the production results in the past 20 years. The change of consumption structure caused by the income doubling target proposed in the 12th Five-Year Plan and the report of the 18th National Congress of the Party, and the forecast of the change of production structure; The fourth part, according to the analysis of the second and third parts, draws the main conclusions, puts forward reasonable suggestions, and looks forward to the future research direction.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F126.1;F121.3

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