【摘要】：改革開放以來，，中國的經(jīng)濟得到飛速的發(fā)展，與此同時，經(jīng)濟發(fā)展對中國的能源需求也加快，經(jīng)濟增長表現(xiàn)出對能源高消費和強依賴的特點。我國雖然是能源總量大國，但人均能源水平卻非常低。在國家政策的大力支持下，能源效率自改革開放以來有所提高，能源消費彈性系數(shù)在大多數(shù)年份都低于1，這是非常令人驚喜的。但是，與世界發(fā)達國家和同等水平的發(fā)展中國家相比，我國能源效率依然偏低，提高我國能源效率任重而道遠。產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整不僅可以促進經(jīng)濟的高速增長，還會對能源效率產(chǎn)生重大影響。因此，對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和能源效率的關(guān)系進行相關(guān)方面的研究，不僅能夠提高我國能源利用效率，而且能夠保證我國國民經(jīng)濟的健康發(fā)展。此外，通過產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整對能源效率的實證分析，為決策部門制訂我國能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長可持續(xù)發(fā)展的方針政策起到參考作用。 本文在此背景和意義下，首先按照先國外后國內(nèi)的順序，對研究產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、能源效率以及兩者之間的關(guān)系的相關(guān)文獻進行整理和分析。然后對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與能源利用的現(xiàn)狀進行分析。由于傳統(tǒng)按地理位置將我國劃分為東部、中部、西部具有一定的局限性，文中采用動態(tài)聚類分析方法，按平均能源效率將我國劃分為高、中、低能源效率區(qū)域，以便在各個能源效率區(qū)域內(nèi)進行相關(guān)的實證分析。在理論分析方面，首先將能源效率分解為結(jié)構(gòu)份額和效率份額，對能源效率進行分解分析。接著，從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化兩個角度分析產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動對我國能源效率影響的傳導(dǎo)機制。最后，在借鑒以往研究的基礎(chǔ)上，重點分析了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)以及技術(shù)進步、經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平、投資水平、能源價格、能源結(jié)構(gòu)等變量對能源效率的影響。在實證分析方面，將能源效率作為因變量，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、技術(shù)進步、投資水平、經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平、能源價格以及能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)這六個因素作為解釋變量，構(gòu)建計量模型，運用2003-2012年的面板數(shù)據(jù)在全國及三個不同能源效率區(qū)域內(nèi)進行計量模型的回歸分析，并根據(jù)回歸結(jié)果對各變量對能源效率的影響進行分析，其中重點闡述產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動對能源效率的影響。 通過上述分析，本文得出以下結(jié)論：1.通過對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與能源利用的現(xiàn)狀分析發(fā)現(xiàn)，與改革開放初期相比，我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和能源效率有了很大的改善和提高，但是現(xiàn)階段我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)依然不太合理，能源效率較低；2.從我國近幾年的數(shù)據(jù)分析來看，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動對全國和各能源效率區(qū)都有顯著影響，調(diào)整和優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)能夠提高我國能源效率；3.產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)以及其它影響因素對能源效率的影響程度在全國和各能源效率區(qū)是不同的�；谝陨辖Y(jié)論，本文提出以下三大政策建議：調(diào)整和優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)，促進產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級；產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級與其它影響因素協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展；各能源效率區(qū)域應(yīng)采取區(qū)別性的提升能源效率的政策。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening to the outside world, China's economy has been developing rapidly. At the same time, the economic development of China's energy demand is also accelerated, economic growth shows the characteristics of high energy consumption and strong dependence. Although China is a large country of energy, the per capita energy level is very low. With the strong support of national policies, energy efficiency has improved since the reform and opening up, and the elastic coefficient of energy consumption is below 1 in most years, which is very surprising. However, compared with the developed countries in the world and the developing countries of the same level, China's energy efficiency is still on the low side, and there is a long way to go to improve the energy efficiency of our country. Industrial structure adjustment can not only promote the rapid economic growth, but also have a significant impact on energy efficiency. Therefore, the research on the relationship between industrial structure adjustment and energy efficiency can not only improve the efficiency of energy utilization, but also ensure the healthy development of our national economy. In addition, through the empirical analysis of energy efficiency through industrial structure adjustment, it can be used as a reference for the policy-making departments to formulate the principles and policies of sustainable development of energy consumption and economic growth in China. In this background and significance, firstly, according to the order of foreign countries and then domestic, this paper collates and analyzes the related literature on industrial structure, energy efficiency and the relationship between the industrial structure, energy efficiency and the relationship between industry structure, energy efficiency and the relationship between industry structure and energy efficiency. Then it analyzes the current situation of industrial structure and energy utilization in China. Because of the limitation of the traditional method of dividing our country into the east, the middle and the west according to the geographical position, the dynamic cluster analysis method is used to divide our country into high, middle and low energy efficiency regions according to the average energy efficiency. In order to carry on the relevant empirical analysis in each energy efficiency area. In theoretical analysis, energy efficiency is firstly decomposed into structural share and efficiency share, and energy efficiency is decomposed and analyzed. Then, the transmission mechanism of the influence of industrial structure change on China's energy efficiency is analyzed from the perspective of industrial structure evolution and industrial structure optimization. Finally, on the basis of the previous research, the paper analyzes the influence of industrial structure and technological progress, economic development level, investment level, energy price, energy structure on energy efficiency. In empirical analysis, energy efficiency is taken as dependent variable, industrial structure, technological progress, investment level, economic development level, energy price and energy consumption structure are taken as explanatory variables to construct econometric model. The panel data from 2003 to 2012 are used to carry out regression analysis of econometric models in China and three different energy efficiency regions, and according to the regression results, the effects of various variables on energy efficiency are analyzed. Among them, the impact of industrial structure change on energy efficiency is expounded. Through the above analysis, this paper draws the following conclusions: 1. By analyzing the present situation of industrial structure and energy utilization in China, it is found that compared with the initial stage of reform and opening up, the industrial structure and energy efficiency of our country have been greatly improved and improved, but at the present stage the industrial structure of our country is still not very reasonable. Energy efficiency is low; From the data analysis of China in recent years, the change of industrial structure has a significant impact on the whole country and every energy efficiency area, adjusting and optimizing the industrial structure can improve the energy efficiency of our country. The influence of industrial structure and other factors on energy efficiency is different in China and different energy efficiency regions. Based on the above conclusions, this paper puts forward the following three policy suggestions: adjusting and optimizing the industrial structure, promoting the industrial structure upgrading, coordinating the development of the industrial structure with other influencing factors; Energy efficiency regions should adopt differentiated policies to improve energy efficiency.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F121.3

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