新興市場投資減速及對未來增長的影響
發(fā)布時間:2018-09-18 19:44
【摘要】:自2010年以來,新興市場和發(fā)展中經(jīng)濟體的投資增長出現(xiàn)減速。投資減速在金磚國家和大宗商品出口國表現(xiàn)得更為明顯,并且與發(fā)達經(jīng)濟體自全球金融危機以來的部分復(fù)蘇形成鮮明對照。投資減速會對長期經(jīng)濟增長產(chǎn)生持續(xù)負面影響,并會降低創(chuàng)新速度。世界銀行發(fā)表的這篇報告對新興市場投資減速的原因進行了分析,認為投資減速源于經(jīng)濟活動下降、政策不確定性等不利因素,這些因素抵消了低融資成本等良好金融條件的作用。為了加快投資,報告認為當(dāng)前新興市場和發(fā)展中經(jīng)濟體仍有大量未被滿足的投資需求,決策者可以通過增加公共投資來直接促進投資,也可以通過鼓勵私人投資、改善投資前景和營商環(huán)境等間接促進投資。為促進投資的可持續(xù)性增長,上述政策還須以結(jié)構(gòu)改革為支撐。
[Abstract]:Investment growth in emerging markets and developing economies has slowed since 2010. The slowdown in investment was more pronounced in BRICS and commodity exporters and contrasted with some of the recovery in advanced economies since the global financial crisis. Slower investment will continue to have a negative impact on long-term economic growth and slow innovation. The report published by the World Bank analyzes the reasons for the slowdown in investment in emerging markets, and believes that the slowdown in investment is due to adverse factors such as declining economic activity, policy uncertainty, and so on. These factors offset the role of good financial conditions such as low financing costs. To accelerate investment, the report argues that there are still large unmet investment needs in emerging markets and developing economies, and that policymakers can either directly promote investment by increasing public investment or by encouraging private investment. Improve investment prospects and business environment and other indirect investment promotion. To promote sustainable investment growth, these policies must also be underpinned by structural reform.
【作者單位】: 世界銀行發(fā)展經(jīng)濟學(xué)研究部;
【分類號】:F113
本文編號:2248936
[Abstract]:Investment growth in emerging markets and developing economies has slowed since 2010. The slowdown in investment was more pronounced in BRICS and commodity exporters and contrasted with some of the recovery in advanced economies since the global financial crisis. Slower investment will continue to have a negative impact on long-term economic growth and slow innovation. The report published by the World Bank analyzes the reasons for the slowdown in investment in emerging markets, and believes that the slowdown in investment is due to adverse factors such as declining economic activity, policy uncertainty, and so on. These factors offset the role of good financial conditions such as low financing costs. To accelerate investment, the report argues that there are still large unmet investment needs in emerging markets and developing economies, and that policymakers can either directly promote investment by increasing public investment or by encouraging private investment. Improve investment prospects and business environment and other indirect investment promotion. To promote sustainable investment growth, these policies must also be underpinned by structural reform.
【作者單位】: 世界銀行發(fā)展經(jīng)濟學(xué)研究部;
【分類號】:F113
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