【摘要】：本文研究的主要目的是通過評價體系模型,從所有制層面對云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力和公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力水平進行綜合評價;并從區(qū)域?qū)用鎸⒃颇鲜∨c重慶市的非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力進行對比評價、對云南省部分州市的非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力水平進行評價并排序。最后,通過建立組合預(yù)測模型對云南省及其16個州市未來五年的非公有制經(jīng)濟增加值進行預(yù)測。針對本文研究的目的和內(nèi)容,采用文獻研究法、定量分析法、定性分析法和實證方法進行分析研究。本文首先介紹了云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟的研究理論和現(xiàn)實意義。并通過概念闡述、文獻分析以及經(jīng)濟學理論的介紹,找到研究云南非公有制經(jīng)濟的基本方法。通過對非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力的研究能更好的為云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展提出相關(guān)意見和建議。其次,通過分析云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,找出存在的問題,如:規(guī)模問題、企業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)問題、融資問題等,從而為研究云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟發(fā)展找到分析的邏輯起點。再次,設(shè)計所有制層面非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力評價模型,評價云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟與公有制經(jīng)濟的競爭力之間的差異;設(shè)計區(qū)域?qū)用娣枪兄平?jīng)濟競爭力評價模型,比較分析云南省和重慶市的非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力綜合指數(shù),在此基礎(chǔ)上進一步分析評價云南省部分州市的非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力水平。利用層次分析法對所有制層面競爭力水平進行評價;運用主成分分析法對區(qū)域?qū)用娓偁幜λ竭M行評價;利用灰色預(yù)測模型、多項式趨勢擬合模型、指數(shù)平滑模型、指數(shù)模型整合成為組合模型,對云南省及其16個州市未來5年的非公有制經(jīng)濟增加值進行預(yù)測。利用SPSS軟件、Eviews軟件和EXCEL軟件進行數(shù)據(jù)分析。從所有制層面分析結(jié)果來看,近十年以來,云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力均高于公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力,且兩者之間差距在逐漸加大。從區(qū)域?qū)用娣治鼋Y(jié)果來看,云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力與重慶非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力交替領(lǐng)先,但云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟預(yù)測風險和抗風險能力不及重慶市的非公有制經(jīng)濟。對云南11個州市非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力水平分析,云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟競爭力存在明顯區(qū)域差異。預(yù)計到2020年,云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟增加值將達到8413.71億元(以2005年為基期)。最后,對云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟發(fā)展提出了出臺相關(guān)政策、完善法規(guī)體系、調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)及企業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、拉動產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚、完善融資機制等對策和建議。
[Abstract]:The main purpose of this paper is to comprehensively evaluate the competitiveness of non-public economy and public ownership economy of Yunnan Province from the ownership level through the evaluation system model. At the regional level, the competitiveness of non-public economy in Yunnan Province and Chongqing is compared and evaluated, and the competitiveness level of non-public ownership economy in some cities of Yunnan Province is evaluated and sorted. Finally, the added value of non-public economy in Yunnan Province and its 16 cities in the next five years is forecasted by establishing a combined forecasting model. In view of the purpose and content of this paper, the literature research method, quantitative analysis method, qualitative analysis method and empirical method are used to analyze and study. This paper first introduces the research theory and practical significance of Yunnan non-public economy. And through the concept elaboration, the literature analysis and the economic theory introduction, finds the research Yunnan non-public ownership economy basic method. Through the research on the competitiveness of non-public economy, we can put forward some suggestions and suggestions for the development of Yunnan's non-public ownership economy. Secondly, by analyzing the current situation of the development of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province, we find out the existing problems, such as scale problem, enterprise structure problem, financing problem and so on, so as to find the logical starting point for the study of the development of Yunnan non-public ownership economy. Thirdly, design the evaluation model of non-public ownership economy competitiveness, evaluate the difference between Yunnan non-public ownership economy and public ownership economy competitiveness, design regional non-public ownership economy competitiveness evaluation model, The comprehensive index of non-public economy competitiveness in Yunnan Province and Chongqing is compared and analyzed. On this basis, the competitiveness level of non-public ownership economy in some cities of Yunnan Province is further analyzed and evaluated. AHP is used to evaluate the level of competitiveness at ownership level; principal component analysis is used to evaluate competitiveness level at regional level; grey forecasting model, polynomial trend fitting model, exponential smoothing model are used. The index model is integrated into a combination model to predict the added value of non-public economy in Yunnan province and its 16 cities in the next five years. SPSS software Eviews and EXCEL software are used for data analysis. From the view of ownership, the competitiveness of non-public economy in Yunnan Province is higher than that of public economy in recent ten years, and the gap between the two is gradually increasing. The regional analysis shows that the competitive power of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province is in the lead with that of Chongqing economy, but the ability to predict risk and resist risk is not as good as that of non-public ownership economy in Chongqing. Based on the analysis of the competitiveness level of non-public ownership economy in 11 cities of Yunnan Province, there are obvious regional differences in the competitiveness of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province. It is estimated that by 2020, the added value of Yunnan non-public economy will reach 841.371 billion yuan (base period in 2005). Finally, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions on the development of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province, such as issuing relevant policies, perfecting the legal system, adjusting the structure of industries and enterprises, stimulating industrial agglomeration, perfecting financing mechanism, and so on.
【學位授予單位】：云南財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F121.23

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 陳兆清;;產(chǎn)業(yè)集群:民營經(jīng)濟增強競爭力的重要選擇——六安市葉集試驗區(qū)木材產(chǎn)業(yè)集群發(fā)展的思考[J];經(jīng)濟研究導刊;2014年33期

2 曾國平;曾英芮;;提升重慶民營經(jīng)濟競爭力研究——培育、發(fā)展行業(yè)協(xié)會的視角[J];商場現(xiàn)代化;2014年30期

3 閆紅瑛;狄方耀;;我國西部地區(qū)非公有制經(jīng)濟發(fā)展文獻綜述[J];西藏民族學院學報(哲學社會科學版);2014年04期

4 蔣欽;;甘肅省非公經(jīng)濟發(fā)展存在的問題及對策[J];發(fā)展;2014年01期

5 胡家勇;;構(gòu)建各種所有制經(jīng)濟平等競爭共同發(fā)展的體制機制[J];財貿(mào)經(jīng)濟;2013年12期

6 李秉強;陳敏菊;;民營經(jīng)濟、民營企業(yè)與區(qū)域競爭力——2012中國民營經(jīng)濟創(chuàng)新論壇會議綜述[J];經(jīng)濟社會體制比較;2013年01期

7 郭占恒;;浙江民營經(jīng)濟發(fā)展問題研究[J];商業(yè)經(jīng)濟與管理;2012年11期

8 秦嗣毅;胡根華;;中國與美國、日本基于經(jīng)濟安全的國家經(jīng)濟競爭優(yōu)勢比較研究[J];世界經(jīng)濟研究;2012年06期

9 周俊;秦剛;;對經(jīng)濟欠發(fā)達地區(qū)非公有制經(jīng)濟可持續(xù)發(fā)展的調(diào)查與思考——基于黔南布依族苗族自治州個案分析[J];區(qū)域金融研究;2012年03期

10 藍慶新;鄭學黨;;中國文化產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競爭力評價及策略研究——基于2010年橫截面數(shù)據(jù)的分析[J];財經(jīng)問題研究;2012年03期

，

本文編號：2247036