【摘要】：改革開放打開了奢侈品消費(fèi)的大門，隨著我國人均GDP超過3000美元，奢侈品消費(fèi)市場進(jìn)入了高速發(fā)展時期。如何看待日益增長的奢侈品消費(fèi)規(guī)模，奢侈品消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間又有著怎樣的因果關(guān)系和相互作用，成為了學(xué)者、社會普遍關(guān)注的問題。本文選取了我國1999-2013年經(jīng)濟(jì)增長和奢侈品消費(fèi)的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)，，以人均GDP和奢侈品消費(fèi)總額為序列，建立VAR模型，分析我國奢侈品消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系。 首先，介紹相關(guān)理論分析和方法概述。介紹了奢侈品的相關(guān)概念、奢侈品消費(fèi)的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)分析以及VAR模型的相關(guān)理論。 其次，分析我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長和奢侈品消費(fèi)的現(xiàn)狀。從經(jīng)濟(jì)整體發(fā)展?fàn)顩r分析了我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的態(tài)勢；從市場規(guī)模、消費(fèi)者結(jié)構(gòu)、市場供求結(jié)構(gòu)、銷售渠道和消費(fèi)者心理五方面分析了奢侈品消費(fèi)的現(xiàn)狀。 再次，選取奢侈品消費(fèi)總額和人均GDP為兩個時間序列，通過ADF單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)和格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)，建立VAR模型，使用廣義脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)和方差分解分析，得出的結(jié)論是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長是奢侈品消費(fèi)的原因，奢侈品消費(fèi)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的促進(jìn)作用是有限的。 最后，依據(jù)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長是奢侈品消費(fèi)的原因這一結(jié)論，以經(jīng)濟(jì)增長為目標(biāo)，從企業(yè)、政府、社會、消費(fèi)者四個層面提出以發(fā)展本土奢侈品產(chǎn)業(yè)為核心的完善奢侈品消費(fèi)市場的對策建議。
[Abstract]:The reform and opening to the outside world has opened the door of luxury consumption. With the per capita GDP of our country exceeding 3000 US dollars, the luxury consumption market has entered a period of rapid development. How to treat the growing scale of luxury consumption and what kind of causality and interaction between luxury consumption and economic growth has become a problem that scholars and society pay more attention to. Based on the data of China's economic growth and luxury consumption from 1999 to 2013, this paper establishes a VAR model to analyze the relationship between luxury consumption and economic growth, taking GDP per capita and total luxury consumption as a sequence. First of all, the related theoretical analysis and methods are introduced. This paper introduces the related concepts of luxury goods, the economic analysis of luxury consumption and the relevant theory of VAR model. Secondly, it analyzes the current situation of China's economic growth and luxury consumption. The present situation of luxury consumption is analyzed from five aspects: market scale, consumer structure, market supply and demand structure, sales channel and consumer psychology. Thirdly, select the total consumption of luxury goods and GDP per capita as two time series, through ADF unit root test, cointegration test and Granger causality test, establish VAR model, use generalized impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis. The conclusion is that economic growth is the reason of luxury consumption, and luxury consumption has limited effect on economic growth. Finally, according to the conclusion that economic growth is the cause of luxury consumption, economic growth is the goal from enterprises, governments, and society. Four levels of consumers put forward the development of local luxury goods industry as the core to improve the luxury consumption market countermeasures.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：燕山大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F723;F124.1

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