本文選題：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) + 碳減排　； 參考：《華僑大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：自二十世紀(jì)末以來,氣候變化問題給人類的生存和發(fā)展帶來了嚴(yán)峻挑戰(zhàn),受到國內(nèi)外政府和學(xué)術(shù)界的關(guān)注。減少化石能源消耗,降低二氧化碳排放,是世界各國的共同愿景。中國經(jīng)濟持續(xù)增長,二氧化碳排放量在不斷上升,目前需要向低碳經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展。福建省作為我國東南沿海經(jīng)濟大省,面臨著較大的減排壓力。不同產(chǎn)業(yè)碳排放量不同,因此應(yīng)該有著不同的碳減排任務(wù),這樣能保證碳減排和經(jīng)濟增長雙重目標(biāo)的實現(xiàn)。由于產(chǎn)業(yè)之間存在關(guān)聯(lián),單獨考慮經(jīng)濟增長會加重環(huán)境污染,從而給自然環(huán)境帶來更多的災(zāi)害;單獨考慮碳減排會保護環(huán)境,但是會造成經(jīng)濟滑坡,降低人們的物質(zhì)生活水平。因此研究產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整時應(yīng)該把經(jīng)濟因素與環(huán)境因素結(jié)合考慮,從而制定出有效的低碳產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展政策。在目前有關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展和低碳經(jīng)濟理論的基礎(chǔ)上,本文將產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和碳排放相兩者結(jié)合,首先對福建省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀及能源與二氧化碳排放現(xiàn)狀進行分析,采用排放因子法測算了福建省二氧化碳排放量;并運用投入產(chǎn)出模型對28個產(chǎn)業(yè)進行產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)分析,對各產(chǎn)業(yè)的經(jīng)濟關(guān)聯(lián)與碳排放關(guān)聯(lián)進行測算,從而選擇出福建省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整路徑。在此基礎(chǔ)上,通過構(gòu)建多目標(biāo)規(guī)劃模型,在經(jīng)濟增長和節(jié)能減排目標(biāo)下模擬,福建省2013年產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部如何進行結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整,并對2015年福建省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)比重進行預(yù)測�；谝陨戏治鲅芯�,本文提出在低碳背景下福建省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的相關(guān)政策建議。本文得出結(jié)論:(1)福建省應(yīng)該鼓勵發(fā)展農(nóng)林牧漁業(yè)、非金屬礦及其他礦采選業(yè)和食品制造及煙草加工業(yè)等11個產(chǎn)業(yè)部門;限制發(fā)展非金屬礦物制品業(yè)、金屬冶煉及壓延制品業(yè)、廢品廢料業(yè)這3個產(chǎn)業(yè)部門。(2)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整可以在促進福建省經(jīng)濟增長的同時降低能源消費量與二氧化碳排放量。(3)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整后福建省第一產(chǎn)業(yè)和第二產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值比重下降,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值比重上升。
[Abstract]:Since the end of the 20th century, the problem of climate change has brought severe challenges to the survival and development of human beings. Reducing fossil energy consumption and reducing carbon dioxide emissions is the common vision of the world. China's economy continues to grow, carbon dioxide emissions are rising, and there is a need for a transition to a low-carbon economy. Fujian Province, as a large economic province in the southeast coast of China, is facing great pressure of emission reduction. Different industries have different carbon emissions, so they should have different tasks to reduce carbon emissions, which can ensure the realization of the dual goals of carbon emission reduction and economic growth. Considering economic growth alone will aggravate environmental pollution and bring more disasters to the natural environment. Considering carbon emission reduction alone will protect the environment, but it will cause economic decline and lower people's material living standard. Therefore, economic factors and environmental factors should be taken into account in the study of industrial structure adjustment so as to formulate effective low-carbon industry development policies. Based on the development of industrial structure and the theory of low-carbon economy, this paper combines the industrial structure with carbon emissions, and analyzes the current situation of industrial structure and energy and carbon dioxide emissions in Fujian Province. The carbon dioxide emissions of Fujian Province are measured by using the emission factor method, and 28 industries are analyzed by the input-output model, and the economic correlation and the carbon emission correlation of each industry are measured. In order to choose Fujian Province industrial structure adjustment path. On this basis, by constructing a multi-objective programming model and simulating under the targets of economic growth and energy saving and emission reduction, how to adjust the industrial structure within Fujian Province in 2013 and forecast the proportion of industrial structure in 2015 in Fujian Province are forecasted. Based on the above analysis, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on the adjustment of industrial structure in Fujian Province under the low carbon background. The conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) Fujian Province should encourage the development of 11 industrial sectors, such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, non-metal mining and other mineral separation, food manufacturing and tobacco processing, and restrict the development of non-metallic mineral products, metal smelting and calender products. (2) the adjustment of industrial structure can promote the economic growth of Fujian Province while reducing energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions. (3) after the adjustment of the industrial structure, the proportion of added value of the primary and secondary industries in Fujian Province has decreased. The proportion of added value of tertiary industry rose.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華僑大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F127

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