國有企業(yè)對外直接投資環(huán)境評價模型及政府前期監(jiān)管研究
本文選題:國有企業(yè) + 對外直接投資環(huán)境 ; 參考:《天津大學》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:2012年,全球經(jīng)濟持續(xù)低迷,歐元區(qū)債務(wù)危機繼續(xù)深化,美國財政懸崖問題未決,新興經(jīng)濟體增長速度普遍放緩,因此各國為保護本國產(chǎn)業(yè)出臺的貿(mào)易管理及限制措施不斷增多,我國出口產(chǎn)品面臨的貿(mào)易壁壘形勢十分嚴峻,而對外直接投資(Foreign Direct Investment, FDI)成為化解這種局面的重要手段。根據(jù)《2012年度中國對外直接投資統(tǒng)計公報》顯示,在非金融類對外直接投資存量中,中央企業(yè)和單位占到了六成左右。然而“走出去”戰(zhàn)略實施十多年來國企對外直接投資的績效卻不容樂觀,國有資產(chǎn)在海外的流失率較高,政府對海外國有資產(chǎn)的監(jiān)管也存在著一定的問題。 因此,建立一套科學、合理的適用于國有企業(yè)的對外直接投資環(huán)境評價體系至關(guān)重要,這不僅有利于國有企業(yè)準確地評價東道國的政治、經(jīng)濟、法律、社會和自然等諸多環(huán)境因素,引導國有企業(yè)進行科學有效的投資,提前規(guī)避可控風險,而且有利于提高國有企業(yè)在世界經(jīng)濟中的競爭力,增強其全球化的運營能力,,提升我國在世界產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈中的地位。 本文針對《國民經(jīng)濟和社會發(fā)展第十二個五年規(guī)劃綱要》提出的“加強對外直接投資項目評估”的建議,以國有企業(yè)作為研究對象,從宏觀和微觀兩個層面設(shè)計對外直接投資環(huán)境評價指標體系,并運用集值統(tǒng)計原理對指標進行賦值,采用主觀與客觀相結(jié)合的方法確定指標權(quán)重,構(gòu)建評價模型。隨后將該模型應(yīng)用于中海油的對外直接投資實踐中,根據(jù)應(yīng)用結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)模型中存在的問題,增加了中觀層面的指標和變動指標模塊,形成了一套適用于我國國有企業(yè)的對外直接投資環(huán)境評價的動態(tài)模型。最后,根據(jù)對外直接投資環(huán)境評價結(jié)果,結(jié)合發(fā)達國家的成功經(jīng)驗,對我國政府對海外國有資產(chǎn)的前期監(jiān)管提出相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:In 2012, as the global economy continued to slump, the debt crisis in the eurozone deepened, the fiscal cliff in the United States remained unresolved and the growth rate of emerging economies generally slowed, trade management and restrictions to protect their industries were on the rise. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is an important means to resolve the export trade barrier in China. According to the Statistical Bulletin of China's Foreign Direct Investment in 2012, central enterprises and units account for about 60% of the stock of non-financial foreign direct investment. However, the performance of SOEs' foreign direct investment in the past ten years is not optimistic, the rate of loss of state-owned assets abroad is high, and there are some problems in the government's supervision of overseas state-owned assets. Therefore, it is very important to establish a set of scientific and reasonable evaluation system of foreign direct investment environment for state-owned enterprises, which is not only conducive to the accurate evaluation of the politics, economy and law of the host country. Many environmental factors, such as society and nature, have guided state-owned enterprises to make scientific and effective investments to avoid controllable risks ahead of schedule, and are conducive to improving the competitiveness of state-owned enterprises in the world economy and enhancing their ability to operate globally. Promote our country's position in the world industrial chain. In view of the proposal of "strengthening the Evaluation of Foreign Direct Investment projects" put forward in the outline of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development, this paper takes state-owned enterprises as the research object. This paper designs the evaluation index system of foreign direct investment environment from the macro and micro levels, and sets up the evaluation model by using the set value statistics principle to assign the index, and the method of combining subjective and objective to determine the index weight. Then the model is applied to the FDI practice of CNOOC. According to the application results, the existing problems in the model are found, and the index and change index modules in the meso-level are added. A set of dynamic models for foreign direct investment environment evaluation of state-owned enterprises in China are established. Finally, according to the evaluation results of foreign direct investment environment, combined with the successful experience of developed countries, this paper puts forward corresponding policy recommendations for the early supervision of overseas state-owned assets by our government.
【學位授予單位】:天津大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F276.1;F125.5
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