本文選題：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) + 用水結(jié)構(gòu)��； 參考：《干旱區(qū)資源與環(huán)境》2017年03期

【摘要】：選擇干旱區(qū)典型綠洲城市烏魯木齊,構(gòu)建系統(tǒng)仿真模型對未來城市發(fā)展與水資源開發(fā)利用進行預警分析,并在既定經(jīng)濟增速與基本穩(wěn)定的用水總量控制下,探討烏魯木齊產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與水資源調(diào)配的優(yōu)化模式。研究結(jié)果表明:1)不同供用水方案下水資源對城市發(fā)展的支撐能力有明顯差異,水資源短缺將較大程度限制城市健康發(fā)展;2)在供水總量基本穩(wěn)定狀況下,烏魯木齊市用水結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整方向在于生產(chǎn)用水結(jié)構(gòu),工業(yè)需水比例大幅上升,農(nóng)業(yè)需水比例迅速下降;3)未來烏魯木齊市應重點發(fā)展第二產(chǎn)業(yè),農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)應以滿足城市居民的蔬菜需求為主,工業(yè)上應限制高耗水產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展,提高低、中耗水行業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重。
[Abstract]:This paper selects Urumqi, a typical oasis city in arid area, builds a system simulation model to analyze the future urban development and water resources development and utilization, and under the fixed economic growth rate and the basic stable total water consumption control, This paper discusses the optimization mode of industrial structure adjustment and water resources allocation in Urumqi. The results show that there are significant differences in the supporting capacity of water resources to urban development under different water supply schemes, and the shortage of water resources will limit the healthy development of cities to a greater extent) under the condition that the total amount of water supply is basically stable, The adjustment direction of water use structure in Urumqi lies in the structure of water consumption in production. The proportion of water demand in industry has increased greatly, and the proportion of water demand in agriculture has dropped rapidly. 3) in the future, the city of Urumqi should focus on the development of secondary industry. Agricultural production should mainly meet the vegetable demand of urban residents, and industry should limit the development of high water consumption industry and increase the proportion of output value of low and medium water consuming industries.
【作者單位】： 四川農(nóng)業(yè)大學四川省農(nóng)村發(fā)展研究中心;四川農(nóng)業(yè)大學管理學院;四川農(nóng)業(yè)大學經(jīng)濟學院;
【基金】：四川省社會科學高水平研究團隊建設計劃"四川農(nóng)村資源市場化研究團隊" 國家自然科學基金項目(41401050) 四川省哲學社會科學研究"十二五"規(guī)劃基地項目(SC13E097) 教育部人文社會科學研究青年基金(13YJCZH140)資助
【分類號】：F121.3;TV213.4
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本文編號：2089701