本文選題：中國(guó) + 東盟　； 參考：《云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：從1991年中國(guó)與東盟正式對(duì)話,到2010年中國(guó)-東盟自貿(mào)區(qū)成立,中國(guó)與東盟各國(guó)經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系迅猛發(fā)展。從2002年11月中國(guó)與東盟簽署《中國(guó)與東盟全面經(jīng)濟(jì)合作框架協(xié)議》到中國(guó)-東盟自貿(mào)區(qū)正式成立雙邊貿(mào)易額增長(zhǎng)了近5倍。隨著自貿(mào)區(qū)關(guān)稅的不斷降低,貿(mào)易自由化對(duì)雙邊貿(mào)易的促進(jìn)作用也逐漸下降。2015年中國(guó)與東盟雙邊貿(mào)易額出現(xiàn)負(fù)增長(zhǎng)。隨著經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系的不斷發(fā)展和雙邊人員往來的增多,東盟基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施水平已經(jīng)滯后于雙邊人員交流和貿(mào)易發(fā)展的需要,基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)已經(jīng)成為影響雙邊經(jīng)貿(mào)發(fā)展的重要因素之一。如何通過基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的建設(shè)促進(jìn)雙邊貿(mào)易的發(fā)展,改善人民的生活水平成為各國(guó)政府關(guān)心的問題。中國(guó)“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略的實(shí)施與《東盟互聯(lián)互通總體規(guī)劃》的簽署,為東盟基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)提供了新的思路和機(jī)遇。進(jìn)一步促進(jìn)東盟國(guó)家基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施,推動(dòng)中國(guó)與東盟各國(guó)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的互聯(lián)互通,將開創(chuàng)中國(guó)與東盟各國(guó)經(jīng)貿(mào)合作發(fā)展的嶄新時(shí)代。本文通過借鑒國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者對(duì)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的定義,對(duì)自由貿(mào)易區(qū)理論、區(qū)域一體化理論以及基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施對(duì)貿(mào)易發(fā)展影響等相關(guān)經(jīng)驗(yàn)進(jìn)行回顧。在東盟基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施和中國(guó)與東盟雙邊貿(mào)易發(fā)展的基礎(chǔ)上,分析了東盟基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)對(duì)雙邊貿(mào)易的影響。本文一共分為五章:第一章首先對(duì)東盟基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)對(duì)中國(guó)東盟貿(mào)易的影響分析的研究背景和研究意義進(jìn)行介紹,同時(shí)將國(guó)內(nèi)外對(duì)于基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施對(duì)貿(mào)易影響研究動(dòng)態(tài)進(jìn)行梳理和總結(jié),對(duì)研究方法和思路以及技術(shù)路線進(jìn)行闡述。第二章,對(duì)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施相關(guān)概念以及國(guó)際貿(mào)易等相關(guān)理論進(jìn)行總結(jié)。第三章,主要介紹東盟各國(guó)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施現(xiàn)狀,中國(guó)與東盟各國(guó)之間貿(mào)易發(fā)展?fàn)顩r,并分析東盟基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)和雙邊貿(mào)易發(fā)展中存在的問題。第四章,運(yùn)用擴(kuò)展后的引力模型,對(duì)交通基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施和通信基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施做了回歸分析。當(dāng)加入是否與中國(guó)有公路或鐵路聯(lián)通和是否建立中國(guó)-東盟海上合作基金作為兩個(gè)虛擬變量時(shí),經(jīng)過分析發(fā)現(xiàn),陸地上的互聯(lián)互通能有效地促進(jìn)雙邊貿(mào)易的發(fā)展。由于東盟各國(guó)所處地理環(huán)境不同可以分為陸地國(guó)家和海島國(guó)家,各種不同交通基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的發(fā)展可能對(duì)東盟陸地國(guó)家和海洋國(guó)家與中國(guó)的貿(mào)易的作用程度不同。為了進(jìn)行更深入的研究,我們分別將東盟陸地國(guó)家和海島國(guó)家交通基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施進(jìn)行對(duì)比分析。最后利用實(shí)證分析中的引力模型測(cè)算中國(guó)與東盟的貿(mào)易潛力,發(fā)現(xiàn)大部分國(guó)家與中國(guó)有很大的貿(mào)易潛力。第五章,概述了東盟基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)以及同中國(guó)互聯(lián)互通過程中面臨的挑戰(zhàn),在此基礎(chǔ)上提出如何促進(jìn)東盟基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)和雙邊貿(mào)易發(fā)展的對(duì)策建議。
[Abstract]:From the formal dialogue between China and ASEAN in 1991 to the establishment of the China-ASEAN Free Trade area in 2010, the economic and trade relations between China and ASEAN countries developed rapidly. From the signing of the Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation between China and ASEAN in November 2002 to the formal establishment of the China-ASEAN Free Trade area, the bilateral trade volume has increased nearly fivefold. With the tariff reduction in the FTA, the promotion of trade liberalization to bilateral trade has gradually declined. The bilateral trade volume between China and ASEAN shows negative growth in 2015. With the continuous development of economic and trade relations and the increase of bilateral personnel exchanges, the level of ASEAN infrastructure has lagged behind the needs of bilateral personnel exchanges and trade development. Infrastructure construction has become one of the important factors affecting bilateral economic and trade development. How to promote the development of bilateral trade and improve the people's living standard through the construction of infrastructure has become a problem concerned by the governments of all countries. The implementation of China's "Belt and Road" strategy and the signing of the General Plan for ASEAN Connectivity provide new ideas and opportunities for ASEAN infrastructure construction. Further promoting the infrastructure of ASEAN countries and promoting the interconnection of infrastructure between China and ASEAN countries will usher in a new era of economic and trade cooperation between China and ASEAN countries. Based on the definition of infrastructure at home and abroad, this paper reviews the theory of free trade area, the theory of regional integration and the influence of infrastructure on the development of trade. On the basis of ASEAN infrastructure and the development of bilateral trade between China and ASEAN, the influence of ASEAN infrastructure construction on bilateral trade is analyzed. This paper is divided into five chapters: the first chapter introduces the research background and significance of the analysis of the impact of ASEAN infrastructure construction on China-ASEAN trade. At the same time, the domestic and foreign research on the impact of infrastructure on trade trends are summarized, and the research methods and ideas as well as the technical route are expounded. The second chapter summarizes the related concepts of infrastructure and international trade. The third chapter mainly introduces the current situation of ASEAN countries' infrastructure, the development of trade between China and ASEAN countries, and analyzes the problems in ASEAN infrastructure construction and bilateral trade development. In chapter 4, the extended gravity model is used to analyze the transportation infrastructure and communication infrastructure. Whether there is road or railway connection with China or not and whether to establish China-ASEAN Maritime Cooperation Fund as two virtual variables are analyzed. It is found that land connectivity can effectively promote the development of bilateral trade. Because the geographical environment of ASEAN countries can be divided into land countries and island countries, the development of various transport infrastructure may have different effects on the trade between ASEAN land countries and marine countries and China. In order to carry out further research, we compare and analyze the transport infrastructure of ASEAN land countries and island countries respectively. Finally, the trade potential between China and ASEAN is estimated by using the gravity model of empirical analysis, and it is found that most countries have great trade potential with China. In the fifth chapter, the challenges in the process of ASEAN infrastructure construction and interconnection with China are summarized, and the countermeasures and suggestions on how to promote ASEAN infrastructure construction and bilateral trade development are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F125

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