本文選題：對(duì)外直接投資 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整��； 參考：《西南政法大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：對(duì)外直接投資是順應(yīng)經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化趨勢(shì)的必然要求,它不僅是衡量一個(gè)國(guó)家對(duì)外經(jīng)濟(jì)關(guān)系的重要指標(biāo),更是一個(gè)國(guó)家在世界范圍內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)地位的標(biāo)志。另外合理的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是經(jīng)濟(jì)健康發(fā)展的基礎(chǔ),它能夠使經(jīng)濟(jì)更加有效地增長(zhǎng),更加持續(xù)地增長(zhǎng),因此產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的升級(jí)則是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中不可或缺的一個(gè)環(huán)節(jié)。在新經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境下,如何擴(kuò)大對(duì)外直接投資并將其與國(guó)內(nèi)的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整結(jié)合起來(lái),并尋求一條通過(guò)對(duì)外直接投資促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的道路就成為了極具現(xiàn)實(shí)意義的研究課題。本文以O(shè)FDI對(duì)中國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響作為分析對(duì)象,從理論和實(shí)證兩個(gè)方面研究了兩者之間的關(guān)系并力圖探究中國(guó)的OFDI與現(xiàn)階段中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)之間的關(guān)系。 本文的研究主要從三大部分展開(kāi)。 首先,文章在第一章對(duì)相關(guān)概念進(jìn)行了界定,同時(shí)也連同第二章對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外關(guān)于OFDI與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整之間關(guān)系的文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行了總結(jié),為后面的研究打下了理論基礎(chǔ)。緊接著第三章對(duì)中國(guó)的OFDI從發(fā)展歷史、行業(yè)分布、地區(qū)分布等方面進(jìn)行了分析,對(duì)中國(guó)的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀也進(jìn)行了結(jié)構(gòu)性分析,并結(jié)合兩者的現(xiàn)狀依據(jù)前面的理論基礎(chǔ)對(duì)OFDI影響中國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的效應(yīng)從正面和負(fù)面兩個(gè)方面進(jìn)行了影響機(jī)制的探究。 其次,基于第一部分的理論分析,文章發(fā)展了錢(qián)納里的“世界發(fā)展模型”,將OFDI作為新的解釋變量納入到了原模型中,構(gòu)建了合理的計(jì)量模型。然后選用了1979-2011年的年度數(shù)據(jù),將中國(guó)三次產(chǎn)業(yè)在GDP中的占比、OFDI的年流量、GDP年度總額、進(jìn)出口年度總額以及中國(guó)人口總數(shù)進(jìn)行了單位根檢驗(yàn),發(fā)現(xiàn)第二產(chǎn)業(yè)和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)在GDP中的占比、中國(guó)OFDI的年流量、GDP年度總額和進(jìn)出口年度總額都是一階平穩(wěn)的數(shù)據(jù),協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)后得出了在它們之間存在長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定的相互關(guān)系,進(jìn)行格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)后又得出OFDI是第二產(chǎn)業(yè)的單向格蘭杰原因,是第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的雙向格蘭杰原因。最后進(jìn)行回歸得出了OFDI能夠同時(shí)增加第二產(chǎn)業(yè)與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的結(jié)論。 最后,在理論分析和實(shí)證結(jié)果的基礎(chǔ)上,提出如下的對(duì)策建議：加大對(duì)外直接投資的力度,促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化；加大第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的投入力度,促進(jìn)對(duì)外直接投資的進(jìn)一步發(fā)展；積極利用技術(shù)尋求性、資源尋求性O(shè)FDI,促進(jìn)國(guó)內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化。
[Abstract]:Foreign direct investment (FDI) is an inevitable requirement to conform to the trend of economic globalization. It is not only an important indicator of a country's foreign economic relations, but also a symbol of a country's economic status in the world. In addition, reasonable industrial structure is the basis of healthy economic development, it can make the economy more effective growth, more sustained growth, so the upgrading of industrial structure is an indispensable link in economic development. In the new economic environment, how to expand foreign direct investment and combine it with the adjustment of domestic industrial structure, and find a way to promote the upgrading of industrial structure through foreign direct investment has become a research topic of great practical significance. This paper takes the influence of OFDI on China's domestic industrial structure as the object of analysis, studies the relationship between the two from both theoretical and empirical aspects, and tries to explore the relationship between China's OFDI and China's industrial structure at the present stage. The research of this paper mainly starts from three parts. First of all, the paper defines the related concepts in the first chapter, and summarizes the literature on the relationship between OFDI and industrial structure adjustment in the second chapter, which lays a theoretical foundation for the later research. Then the third chapter analyzes China's OFDI from the development history, industry distribution, regional distribution and so on, and also carries on the structural analysis to the present situation of China's industrial structure. According to the previous theoretical basis, the effects of OFDI on China's industrial structure are explored from both positive and negative aspects. Secondly, based on the theoretical analysis of the first part, the paper develops Chanari's "World Development Model", and takes OFDI as a new explanatory variable into the original model, and constructs a reasonable econometric model. Then, the annual data from 1979 to 2011 are used to test the annual gross domestic product (GDP) annual flow of China's three industries, the annual total of imports and exports, and the total population of China. It is found that the proportion of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry in GDP, the annual total annual flow of OFDI and the annual total of imports and exports of China are all first-order stable data. After cointegration test, it is concluded that there is a long-term and stable interrelation between them. After Granger causality test, it is found that OFDI is the unidirectional Granger cause of the secondary industry and the bidirectional Granger cause of the tertiary industry. Finally, the conclusion that OFDI can increase the secondary industry and the tertiary industry at the same time is obtained by regression. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical results, the following countermeasures and suggestions are put forward: to increase the intensity of foreign direct investment, to promote the optimization of industrial structure, to increase the investment of the tertiary industry, to promote the further development of foreign direct investment; Actively use technology seeking, resource seeking OFDI, to promote the optimization of domestic industrial structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南政法大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F832.6;F121.3

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本文編號(hào)：1988829