本文選題：對外直接投資 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整��； 參考：《西南政法大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：對外直接投資是順應(yīng)經(jīng)濟全球化趨勢的必然要求,它不僅是衡量一個國家對外經(jīng)濟關(guān)系的重要指標,更是一個國家在世界范圍內(nèi)經(jīng)濟地位的標志。另外合理的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是經(jīng)濟健康發(fā)展的基礎(chǔ),它能夠使經(jīng)濟更加有效地增長,更加持續(xù)地增長,因此產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的升級則是經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中不可或缺的一個環(huán)節(jié)。在新經(jīng)濟環(huán)境下,如何擴大對外直接投資并將其與國內(nèi)的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整結(jié)合起來,并尋求一條通過對外直接投資促進產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的道路就成為了極具現(xiàn)實意義的研究課題。本文以O(shè)FDI對中國國內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響作為分析對象,從理論和實證兩個方面研究了兩者之間的關(guān)系并力圖探究中國的OFDI與現(xiàn)階段中國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)之間的關(guān)系。 本文的研究主要從三大部分展開。 首先,文章在第一章對相關(guān)概念進行了界定,同時也連同第二章對國內(nèi)外關(guān)于OFDI與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整之間關(guān)系的文獻進行了總結(jié),為后面的研究打下了理論基礎(chǔ)。緊接著第三章對中國的OFDI從發(fā)展歷史、行業(yè)分布、地區(qū)分布等方面進行了分析,對中國的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀也進行了結(jié)構(gòu)性分析,并結(jié)合兩者的現(xiàn)狀依據(jù)前面的理論基礎(chǔ)對OFDI影響中國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的效應(yīng)從正面和負面兩個方面進行了影響機制的探究。 其次,基于第一部分的理論分析,文章發(fā)展了錢納里的“世界發(fā)展模型”,將OFDI作為新的解釋變量納入到了原模型中,構(gòu)建了合理的計量模型。然后選用了1979-2011年的年度數(shù)據(jù),將中國三次產(chǎn)業(yè)在GDP中的占比、OFDI的年流量、GDP年度總額、進出口年度總額以及中國人口總數(shù)進行了單位根檢驗,發(fā)現(xiàn)第二產(chǎn)業(yè)和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)在GDP中的占比、中國OFDI的年流量、GDP年度總額和進出口年度總額都是一階平穩(wěn)的數(shù)據(jù),協(xié)整檢驗后得出了在它們之間存在長期穩(wěn)定的相互關(guān)系,進行格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗后又得出OFDI是第二產(chǎn)業(yè)的單向格蘭杰原因,是第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的雙向格蘭杰原因。最后進行回歸得出了OFDI能夠同時增加第二產(chǎn)業(yè)與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的結(jié)論。 最后,在理論分析和實證結(jié)果的基礎(chǔ)上,提出如下的對策建議：加大對外直接投資的力度,促進產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化；加大第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的投入力度,促進對外直接投資的進一步發(fā)展；積極利用技術(shù)尋求性、資源尋求性O(shè)FDI,促進國內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化。
[Abstract]:Foreign direct investment (FDI) is an inevitable requirement to conform to the trend of economic globalization. It is not only an important indicator of a country's foreign economic relations, but also a symbol of a country's economic status in the world. In addition, reasonable industrial structure is the basis of healthy economic development, it can make the economy more effective growth, more sustained growth, so the upgrading of industrial structure is an indispensable link in economic development. In the new economic environment, how to expand foreign direct investment and combine it with the adjustment of domestic industrial structure, and find a way to promote the upgrading of industrial structure through foreign direct investment has become a research topic of great practical significance. This paper takes the influence of OFDI on China's domestic industrial structure as the object of analysis, studies the relationship between the two from both theoretical and empirical aspects, and tries to explore the relationship between China's OFDI and China's industrial structure at the present stage. The research of this paper mainly starts from three parts. First of all, the paper defines the related concepts in the first chapter, and summarizes the literature on the relationship between OFDI and industrial structure adjustment in the second chapter, which lays a theoretical foundation for the later research. Then the third chapter analyzes China's OFDI from the development history, industry distribution, regional distribution and so on, and also carries on the structural analysis to the present situation of China's industrial structure. According to the previous theoretical basis, the effects of OFDI on China's industrial structure are explored from both positive and negative aspects. Secondly, based on the theoretical analysis of the first part, the paper develops Chanari's "World Development Model", and takes OFDI as a new explanatory variable into the original model, and constructs a reasonable econometric model. Then, the annual data from 1979 to 2011 are used to test the annual gross domestic product (GDP) annual flow of China's three industries, the annual total of imports and exports, and the total population of China. It is found that the proportion of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry in GDP, the annual total annual flow of OFDI and the annual total of imports and exports of China are all first-order stable data. After cointegration test, it is concluded that there is a long-term and stable interrelation between them. After Granger causality test, it is found that OFDI is the unidirectional Granger cause of the secondary industry and the bidirectional Granger cause of the tertiary industry. Finally, the conclusion that OFDI can increase the secondary industry and the tertiary industry at the same time is obtained by regression. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical results, the following countermeasures and suggestions are put forward: to increase the intensity of foreign direct investment, to promote the optimization of industrial structure, to increase the investment of the tertiary industry, to promote the further development of foreign direct investment; Actively use technology seeking, resource seeking OFDI, to promote the optimization of domestic industrial structure.
【學位授予單位】：西南政法大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.6;F121.3

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 董蓉蓉;臧新;;韓國對外直接投資與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的實證分析[J];商業(yè)研究;2006年19期

2 楊健全;楊曉武;王潔;;我國對外直接投資的實證研究:IDP檢驗與趨勢分析[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2006年08期

3 張為付;武齊;;我國企業(yè)對外直接投資的理論分析與實證檢驗[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2007年05期

4 俞毅;萬煉;;我國進出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)與對外直接投資的相關(guān)性研究──基于VAR模型的分析框架[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2009年06期

5 馮春曉;;我國對外直接投資與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的實證研究——以制造業(yè)為例[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2009年08期

6 周升起;;OFDI與投資國(地區(qū))產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整:文獻綜述[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2011年07期

7 崔彩周;;中國企業(yè)對外直接投資與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化問題研究[J];甘肅理論學刊;2007年05期

8 孫文莉;邱怡;;東亞國家OFDI的差異化選擇[J];國際論壇;2012年05期

9 周大鵬;;中國企業(yè)OFDI對出口與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響[J];商業(yè)研究;2012年11期

10 羅麗英;黃娜;;我國對外直接投資對國內(nèi)就業(yè)影響的實證分析[J];上海經(jīng)濟研究;2008年08期

相關(guān)博士學位論文 前1條

1 王英;中國對外直接投資的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整效應(yīng)研究[D];南京航空航天大學;2007年

，

本文編號：1988828