本文選題：外需結構 + 內需結構�。� 參考：《首都經(jīng)濟貿易大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來,中國經(jīng)濟實現(xiàn)了快速增長,按當年不變價格計算的GDP從1980年到2012年增長了113倍,三十幾年經(jīng)濟總量翻了幾番,創(chuàng)造了世界經(jīng)濟發(fā)展史的奇跡。但是在這一經(jīng)濟增長速度背后,也面臨著諸多問題,例如,資源消耗過多、環(huán)境污染、貧富差距拉大等一系列經(jīng)濟社會問題。在這些問題中最為突出的是經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式問題,轉變經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式日益成為中國持續(xù)快速經(jīng)濟增長的首要課題。經(jīng)濟結構包括諸多結構問題例如產業(yè)結構、收入分配結構、城鄉(xiāng)發(fā)展差異結構等結構。在轉變經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式過程中,實現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟結構調整居于核心地位。 本文認為當前我國需求結構調整主要面臨著兩個迫切的問題：如何調整外需與內需比例結構,使得國民經(jīng)濟整體運行更加合理又平穩(wěn)；如何調整外需出口產品結構,使得外需出口更有競爭力。本文主要從外需出口產品結構與內需結構之間的影響關系來研究我國當前的經(jīng)濟結構,研究如何在當前調整內需與外需出口結構的背景下,優(yōu)化出口產品結構,實現(xiàn)資源在我國外需出口部門優(yōu)化配置,最終實現(xiàn)轉方式、調結構、促發(fā)展的聯(lián)動效應。 本文首先回顧了有關文獻和理論綜述,分析了內需與外需整體規(guī)模特征,研究發(fā)現(xiàn)我國自改革開放以來30多年經(jīng)濟發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)內需為主導的增長模式,接著各自分析內需與外需結構,研究發(fā)現(xiàn)自2004年以后我國內需結構開始呈現(xiàn)投資與消費結構失衡局面,而外需結構卻呈現(xiàn)出不斷優(yōu)化改善趨勢。然后,運用VAR實證分析了內需結構與外需結構之間的影響,研究發(fā)現(xiàn)內需結構會影響外需結構。最后,進一步分析具體影響外需結構的內需因素,研究發(fā)現(xiàn)城鎮(zhèn)居民消費需求對我國出口產品結構的升級有正向作用,而投資效率的提高對出口產品結構改善有負向作用。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has achieved rapid growth. The GDP, calculated at constant prices of that year, has increased 113-fold from 1980 to 2012, and the total economic volume has increased several times in more than 30 years, creating a miracle in the history of world economic development. However, behind this economic growth rate, there are also many problems, such as excessive consumption of resources, environmental pollution, widening gap between rich and poor, and a series of economic and social problems. Among these problems, the most prominent one is the mode of economic development. Changing the mode of economic development has increasingly become the primary issue of China's sustained and rapid economic growth. Economic structure includes many structural problems, such as industrial structure, income distribution structure, urban-rural development difference structure and so on. In the process of changing the mode of economic development, the realization of economic restructuring occupies a central position. This paper holds that the adjustment of the demand structure of our country is faced with two urgent problems: how to adjust the proportion structure of external demand and domestic demand to make the overall operation of the national economy more reasonable and stable, and how to adjust the structure of export products of external demand. Make the export of external demand more competitive. This paper studies the current economic structure of our country from the perspective of the influence relationship between the structure of export products and domestic demand, and how to optimize the structure of export products under the background of adjusting the structure of domestic demand and export of external demand. To realize the optimal allocation of resources in the export department of external demand in China, and finally to realize the linkage effect of transforming mode, adjusting structure and promoting development. This paper first reviews the relevant literature and theoretical review, analyzes the overall scale characteristics of domestic demand and external demand, and finds that China's economic development has been dominated by domestic demand for more than 30 years since the reform and opening up. After analyzing the structure of domestic demand and external demand, the author finds that the structure of domestic demand in China has been out of balance since 2004, but the structure of external demand has been improved continuously. Then, we use VAR to analyze the influence between the structure of domestic demand and the structure of external demand, and find that the structure of domestic demand will affect the structure of external demand. Finally, by further analyzing the factors of domestic demand that affect the structure of external demand, it is found that the consumption demand of urban residents has a positive effect on the upgrading of China's export product structure, while the improvement of investment efficiency has a negative effect on the improvement of export product structure.
【學位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟貿易大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F752.62;F124

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本文編號：1915224