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全球低利率環(huán)境對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-17 12:06

  本文選題:低利率 + 貨幣政策。 參考:《外交學(xué)院》2017年碩士論文


【摘要】:2008年全球金融危機(jī)后,全球處于低利率環(huán)境,隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和區(qū)域一體化的不斷深化,中國(guó)利率化進(jìn)程不斷完善,其他國(guó)家的負(fù)利率政策的外溢效應(yīng)亦會(huì)對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)和中國(guó)貨幣政策產(chǎn)生影響。開放經(jīng)濟(jì)下,發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體通過利率渠道、匯率渠道、國(guó)際信貸渠道、資本流動(dòng)渠道、國(guó)內(nèi)需求渠道等傳導(dǎo)方式影響其他經(jīng)濟(jì)體,全球的低利率貨幣環(huán)境影響中國(guó)的政策利率、長(zhǎng)期利率、人民幣匯率、國(guó)際貿(mào)易、外商直接投資和中國(guó)企業(yè)的對(duì)外直接投資等方面。為應(yīng)對(duì)全球低利率環(huán)境對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的外溢效應(yīng),中國(guó)應(yīng)當(dāng)完善人民幣匯率決定制度、加強(qiáng)匯率與利率的聯(lián)動(dòng)性、提高銀行間債券市場(chǎng)的流動(dòng)性、促進(jìn)國(guó)際金融監(jiān)管合作和加強(qiáng)國(guó)際貨幣政策的協(xié)調(diào)。本文的主要框架分為五部分,第一部分導(dǎo)論,涉及本文的選題背景、意義和相關(guān)的文獻(xiàn)綜述;第二部分分析全球主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體采取低利率政策的現(xiàn)狀和原因;第三部分論述開放經(jīng)濟(jì)條件下貨幣政策的國(guó)際傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制;第四部分剖析全球低利率環(huán)境對(duì)于中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響;最后就中國(guó)應(yīng)對(duì)全球低利率環(huán)境的外溢效應(yīng)提出需采取的措施建議。
[Abstract]:After the global financial crisis in 2008, the world is in a low interest rate environment. With the deepening of economic globalization and regional integration, China's interest-rate process has been continuously improved. Spillover effects of negative interest rate policies in other countries will also have an impact on China's economy and monetary policy. In an open economy, developed economies influence other economies through transmission methods such as interest rate channels, exchange rate channels, international credit channels, capital flow channels, domestic demand channels, etc. The global low interest rate monetary environment affects China's policy interest rates. Long-term interest rate, RMB exchange rate, international trade, foreign direct investment and foreign direct investment of Chinese enterprises. In order to cope with the spillover effect of the global low interest rate environment on China's economy, China should perfect the RMB exchange rate determination system, strengthen the linkage between the exchange rate and interest rate, and enhance the liquidity of the interbank bond market. To promote international financial supervision and cooperation and to strengthen the coordination of international monetary policy. The main framework of this paper is divided into five parts: the first part is the introduction, which involves the background, significance and related literature review of this paper, the second part analyzes the current situation and reasons of the low interest rate policy in the major economies of the world. The third part discusses the international transmission mechanism of monetary policy under the condition of open economy, the fourth part analyzes the influence of the global low interest rate environment on China's economy. Finally, some suggestions are put forward for China to deal with the spillover effect of global low interest rate environment.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:外交學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F821;F124

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