本文選題：貨幣政策 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)　； 參考：《山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：貨幣政策是一國(guó)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)政策的重要組成部分。在我國(guó)，貨幣政策不僅對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)做出了巨大的貢獻(xiàn)，而且對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整也顯現(xiàn)出卓越的功效，尤其是“增加總量、調(diào)整結(jié)構(gòu)”的貨幣信貸政策，對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整及重點(diǎn)行業(yè)的發(fā)展的影響有目共睹。然而，，近十多年來(lái)貨幣政策對(duì)我國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)及重點(diǎn)行業(yè)的影響的特征如何？有關(guān)問(wèn)題的研究關(guān)系到貨幣政策實(shí)施效果、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理發(fā)展以及總體經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)性增長(zhǎng)，是值得我們探討的數(shù)量分析問(wèn)題之一。 本文在對(duì)中外有關(guān)貨幣政策與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系研究文獻(xiàn)資料梳理的基礎(chǔ)上，采用描述統(tǒng)計(jì)分析與現(xiàn)代計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)技術(shù)等方法，對(duì)我國(guó)近十多年來(lái)貨幣政策與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)尤其是重點(diǎn)行業(yè)之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析。首先運(yùn)用統(tǒng)計(jì)分析方法分析了我國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)以及三大重點(diǎn)行業(yè)——建筑業(yè)、制造業(yè)、交通運(yùn)輸業(yè)的現(xiàn)狀，然后回顧了貨幣政策的發(fā)展變化，系統(tǒng)地整理了貨幣政策對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響的理論框架，最后，運(yùn)用協(xié)整模型研究了金融深化程度與總體產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)之間的長(zhǎng)期均衡關(guān)系，同時(shí)借助于生產(chǎn)函數(shù)模型，運(yùn)用1996-2012年間我國(guó)31個(gè)省市區(qū)的面板數(shù)據(jù)研究了貨幣政策對(duì)重點(diǎn)行業(yè)（以建筑業(yè)為例）的影響，結(jié)論表明：固定資產(chǎn)投資對(duì)建筑業(yè)產(chǎn)出的影響為正彈性，進(jìn)一步將面板數(shù)據(jù)劃分為東、中、西三個(gè)區(qū)域，結(jié)果存在差異，說(shuō)明我國(guó)貨幣政策的執(zhí)行效果存在區(qū)域差異。 最后，針對(duì)改善我國(guó)貨幣政策與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)以及產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)重點(diǎn)行業(yè)的關(guān)系以實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級(jí)，本文嘗試提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Monetary policy is an important part of a country's macroeconomic policy. In China, monetary policy has not only made a great contribution to economic growth, but also showed remarkable effects on the adjustment of industrial structure, especially the monetary and credit policy of "increasing the total amount and adjusting the structure". The impact on industrial restructuring and the development of key industries is obvious to all. However, what are the characteristics of the impact of monetary policy on China's industrial structure and key industries in the past decade? The research of the related problems is one of the quantitative analysis problems which is worth discussing. It is related to the effect of monetary policy, the rational development of industrial structure and the sustainable growth of the overall economy. On the basis of combing the literature on the relationship between monetary policy and industrial structure at home and abroad, this paper adopts descriptive statistical analysis and modern econometric techniques. The relationship between monetary policy and industrial structure, especially the key industries, is analyzed empirically in recent ten years. This paper first analyzes the present situation of China's industrial structure, employment structure and three key industries-construction, manufacturing and transportation by using statistical analysis method, and then reviews the development and changes of monetary policy. The theoretical framework of the influence of monetary policy on industrial structure is systematically arranged. Finally, the long-term equilibrium relationship between the degree of financial deepening and the overall industrial structure is studied by using the cointegration model, and at the same time, the production function model is used to study the relationship between the degree of financial deepening and the overall industrial structure. Using panel data of 31 provinces and municipalities in China from 1996 to 2012, this paper studies the influence of monetary policy on key industries (taking the construction industry as an example). The conclusion shows that the impact of fixed asset investment on construction output is positive elasticity. The panel data are further divided into three regions: east, middle and west. The results show that there are regional differences in the implementation effect of monetary policy in China. Finally, in order to improve the relationship between monetary policy and industrial structure and the key industries in industry in order to realize the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure, this paper tries to put forward the corresponding policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F822.0;F124

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