發(fā)布時間：2018-05-04 01:35

  本文選題：安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) + 通貨緊縮��； 參考：《延邊大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：20世紀(jì)90年代的日本,資產(chǎn)泡沫破滅,經(jīng)濟(jì)長期處于通貨緊縮狀態(tài),日本經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)20多年低迷。期間雖出現(xiàn)緩解趨勢,但在民間投資、國民消費(fèi)、出口的增長和不良債權(quán)等問題上仍然得不到控制,尤其受2011年東日本大地震及海嘯等自然災(zāi)害的影響,更加惡化通貨緊縮形勢,使日本經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇乏力。因此,如何治理通貨緊縮成為日本經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵。 安倍晉三上臺以來,推出以“量化寬松貨幣政策,財政刺激計劃,結(jié)構(gòu)性改革”為內(nèi)容的“安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)”,旨在扭轉(zhuǎn)日本通貨緊縮的經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)狀。由此,本文根據(jù)日本當(dāng)前的經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢,并在國內(nèi)外對于日本通貨緊縮問題的相關(guān)研究的基礎(chǔ)上,闡述了安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的經(jīng)濟(jì)政策及取得的效果。就金融體系、產(chǎn)業(yè)情況、國際收支和國民經(jīng)濟(jì)生活方面出現(xiàn)的狀況以及將要惡化的形勢展開描述,總結(jié)出經(jīng)過二十余年的奮斗與掙扎,日本經(jīng)濟(jì)“終于看到了一些光明的跡象”,但仍處于經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退的狀況。 文章選取了日元匯率、股市行情、消費(fèi)者物價指數(shù)(即CPI)、國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值(即GDP)及就業(yè)情況等指標(biāo),以2012-2013年經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)為主要樣本,分析了安倍政府的政策效果。結(jié)論顯示至2013年末,安倍執(zhí)政一年多以來,其推出的一系列激進(jìn)的經(jīng)濟(jì)政策,在很大程度上緩解了日本的經(jīng)濟(jì),也促進(jìn)了日本企業(yè)的投資,在多方面出現(xiàn)了一些復(fù)蘇的景象。具體表現(xiàn)在日元不斷貶值,日經(jīng)225不斷攀升,消費(fèi)者物價指數(shù)及國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值都向有益趨勢發(fā)展,并提供了大量就業(yè)崗位,降低失業(yè)率。雖然安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)取得了以上的成績,但是本文根據(jù)日本國情、執(zhí)政黨理念和政策實施后已經(jīng)達(dá)到的預(yù)期效果分析得出：安倍政府取得這些成績的同時也出現(xiàn)了負(fù)面效應(yīng),即安倍實施的政策皆在短期表現(xiàn)較強(qiáng)烈,而長期預(yù)估空洞,甚至?xí)霈F(xiàn)在消費(fèi)稅提升后,民間消費(fèi)大幅度縮水的情況。同時結(jié)合日本執(zhí)政黨“短命”等因素,“安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)”遠(yuǎn)期規(guī)劃的實現(xiàn)讓人堪憂。
[Abstract]:In the 1990s, Japan's asset bubble burst, the economy was in deflation for a long time, and Japan's economy continued to be depressed for more than 20 years. Although there has been a mitigation trend during the period, private investment, national consumption, export growth and non-performing claims are still out of control, especially affected by natural disasters such as the 2011 East Japan earthquake and tsunami. Further worsening the deflation situation, so that Japan's economic recovery is weak. Therefore, how to control deflation has become the key to Japanese economic development. Since taking office, Abe has introduced "Abenomics", with "quantitative easing, fiscal stimulus and structural reforms," aimed at reversing Japan's deflationary economy. Therefore, according to the current economic situation of Japan, and on the basis of domestic and foreign research on Japan's deflation, this paper expounds the economic policy of Abenomics and its effect. Describing the situation in the financial system, the industrial situation, the balance of payments and national economic life, as well as the situation that is about to deteriorate, and summing up the struggle and struggle that has been going on for more than 20 years. Japan's economy "has finally seen some bright signs" but is still in recession. This paper selects yen exchange rate, stock market, consumer price index (CPI), gross domestic product (GDP) and employment as the main sample, and analyzes the policy effect of Abe government based on 2012-2013 economic data. The conclusion shows that since Abe took office more than a year ago, the series of radical economic policies launched by Abe in late 2013 have largely eased Japan's economy and promoted Japanese enterprises' investment, and there have been some signs of recovery in many ways. This is reflected in the depreciation of the yen, the rising Nikkei 225, the positive trend in the consumer price index and gross domestic product, and the creation of a large number of jobs and a reduction in the unemployment rate. Although Abenomics has made the above achievements, according to the national conditions of Japan, the expected effect of the concept and policy of the ruling party has been analyzed. That is, Abe's policies are stronger in the short term, while long-term forecasts are empty, even after the rise in consumption tax, private consumption will shrink significantly. At the same time, combined with Japan's ruling party's "short life" and other factors, "Abenomics" long-term planning is worrying.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：延邊大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F131.3

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本文編號：1841028