本文選題：全要素生產(chǎn)率 + 綠色全要素生產(chǎn)率��； 參考：《江西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：全要素生產(chǎn)率(TFP)是促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要因素,同時(shí)又可以作為評(píng)判經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量的重要標(biāo)準(zhǔn)之一。在“十一五”和“十二五”期間江西省經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展雖然取得了重大成就,但隨著全國(guó)環(huán)境污染日趨嚴(yán)重,在今后考慮經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的同時(shí)全國(guó)各省區(qū)市都不得不關(guān)注環(huán)境問(wèn)題,這時(shí)綠色全要素生產(chǎn)率(GTFP)更能科學(xué)反映當(dāng)前能源與環(huán)境約束下的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展質(zhì)量�！笆濉睍r(shí)期江西省依舊面臨發(fā)展不足的主要矛盾,新的挑戰(zhàn)也愈加增多。因此,通過(guò)“十一五”和“十二五”期間江西省綠色TFP的測(cè)算與分析進(jìn)行江西省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)因素分析,是對(duì)江西最近十年來(lái)實(shí)際發(fā)展的總結(jié)提升,也是符合自身發(fā)展規(guī)律,切合實(shí)際的。本文研究對(duì)2016年江西在“十三五”規(guī)劃綱要提出的總目標(biāo)具有非常重要的意義,以及適應(yīng)供給側(cè)改革具有借鑒意義。本文主要運(yùn)用DEA-Malmquist指數(shù)先測(cè)算2006-2015年江西省11個(gè)地級(jí)市的全要素生產(chǎn)率和江西省總量全要生產(chǎn)率,再測(cè)算江西省總量綠色全要素生產(chǎn)率。在測(cè)算江西省總量全要素生產(chǎn)率和綠色全要素生產(chǎn)率時(shí)都采用2006-2015年全國(guó)30個(gè)省區(qū)市(剔除西藏,數(shù)據(jù)缺失嚴(yán)重)省級(jí)面板數(shù)據(jù),針對(duì)江西省測(cè)算結(jié)果與全國(guó)其它省區(qū)市結(jié)果進(jìn)行比較分析,再?gòu)牟煌瑫r(shí)期比較分析江西省TFP和綠色TFP的變化趨勢(shì)。其次運(yùn)用了永續(xù)盤(pán)存法來(lái)估算各省區(qū)市2007-2015年的資本存量,資本存量是測(cè)算TFP時(shí)的一個(gè)重要投入變量,資本存量基期選擇2006年,2006年的資本存量借鑒前人研究的成果。還運(yùn)用了熵值法來(lái)擬合環(huán)境污染綜合指數(shù),環(huán)境污染綜合指數(shù)在測(cè)算綠色TFP時(shí)的一個(gè)重要產(chǎn)出變量,本文采取環(huán)境綜合指數(shù)的倒數(shù)作為非期望產(chǎn)出數(shù)據(jù)。利用DEA-Malmquist指數(shù)測(cè)算江西省11個(gè)地級(jí)市2006-1015年TFP結(jié)果可知,新余市的全要素生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)最高,依次排名為新余、南昌、宜春、景德鎮(zhèn)、九江、萍鄉(xiāng)和上饒并列、吉安、撫州、贛州、鷹潭。利用Levinsohn-Petrin半?yún)?shù)法測(cè)算江西省11個(gè)地級(jí)市2010-2015年TFP結(jié)果可知,平均TFP排名高低依次為南昌、九江、萍鄉(xiāng)、撫州、宜春、景德鎮(zhèn)、吉安、贛州、新余、上饒、鷹潭。在江西省與全國(guó)其它省區(qū)市TFP的測(cè)算結(jié)果可知,江西省全要素生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)為0.977,比全國(guó)平均值0.978略低,在全要素生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)排名中江西和福建并列排在第14名。在江西省與全國(guó)其它省區(qū)市綠色TFP測(cè)算結(jié)果可知,江西省綠色全要素生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)為1.013,比全國(guó)平均值0.982高,排名第7,僅比北京、天津、上海、江蘇、浙江和重慶低。在考慮能源消耗和環(huán)境污染的情況下,江西省全要素生產(chǎn)率提升了,和其它省區(qū)市相比江西省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展在控制環(huán)境污染方面還是做的比較好的,在經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過(guò)程中以能源和環(huán)境作為代價(jià)不大,是健康、綠色、可持續(xù)發(fā)展的。但從不同時(shí)期來(lái)看江西省全要素生產(chǎn)率與綠色全要素生產(chǎn)率變化情況,總體呈下降趨勢(shì),說(shuō)明經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量不高,環(huán)境污染也在加劇。從最后對(duì)綠色全要素生產(chǎn)率的影響因素分析中,得知產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)其影響顯著為正,環(huán)境規(guī)制、能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)、貿(mào)易開(kāi)放度、政府市場(chǎng)化程度以及環(huán)境規(guī)制和政府市場(chǎng)化程度的交互項(xiàng)對(duì)其影響顯著為負(fù)。最后給出一些政策建議,江西省應(yīng)該優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),提高產(chǎn)業(yè)組織集中度,引進(jìn)先進(jìn)技術(shù),注重創(chuàng)新,使用環(huán)境友好型的生產(chǎn)技術(shù),使企業(yè)排污設(shè)施更加先進(jìn)。在環(huán)境保護(hù)力度上,倡導(dǎo)人人保護(hù)環(huán)境,從個(gè)人做起,減少環(huán)境污染,政府合理利用在環(huán)境污染治理的投資,增強(qiáng)投資效果。應(yīng)該優(yōu)化能源結(jié)構(gòu),積極開(kāi)發(fā)新能源,增加清潔能源,使之在能源消費(fèi)總量中的比重提升。在對(duì)外開(kāi)放水平方面,善于利用國(guó)外先進(jìn)技術(shù),注重對(duì)外資企業(yè)進(jìn)入的審核,主要引入高新技術(shù)、節(jié)能環(huán)保型企業(yè),加大出口產(chǎn)品中的技術(shù)含量,提升國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。政府在財(cái)政支出中優(yōu)化支出結(jié)構(gòu),并注意對(duì)市場(chǎng)的干預(yù)度,不要過(guò)于干預(yù)。
[Abstract]:Total factor productivity (TFP) is an important factor to promote economic growth. At the same time, it can also be one of the important criteria to judge the quality of economic growth. In the period of "11th Five-Year" and "12th Five-Year", the economic and social development of Jiangxi province has made great achievements, but with the increasingly serious environmental pollution in the whole country, the economic development in the future is considered in the same way. All the provinces and municipalities in the whole country have to pay attention to the environmental problems. At this time, the green total factor productivity (GTFP) can more scientifically reflect the quality of regional economic development under the constraints of current energy and environment. In the "13th Five-Year" period, Jiangxi still faced the main contradiction of lack of development, and the new challenges were increasing. Therefore, through "11th Five-Year" and "ten" The calculation and analysis of Jiangxi green TFP during the period of Jiangxi province analysis of the economic growth factors in Jiangxi province is a summary and promotion of the actual development of Jiangxi in the last ten years. It is also in line with its own development law and practical. This paper is of great significance to the overall goal of the "13th Five-Year" plan of Jiangxi in 2016. And adapting to the supply side reform is of reference significance. This paper mainly uses the DEA-Malmquist index to calculate the total factor productivity of 11 cities in Jiangxi province and the total total productivity of Jiangxi Province in 2006-2015 years, and then calculates the total green factor productivity of Jiangxi province. The total factor productivity and green total factor production in Jiangxi province are calculated. At the rate, the provincial panel data are used in 30 provinces and municipalities (excluding Tibet and the lack of data are serious) in 2006-2015 years. Compared with the results of Jiangxi province and other provinces and regions in China, the change trend of TFP and green TFP in Jiangxi province is compared and analyzed from different periods. Secondly, the perpetual inventory method is used to estimate the 200 provinces and municipalities. 7-2015 years of capital stock, capital stock is an important input variable when calculating TFP. The capital stock base period is selected in 2006. The capital stock in 2006 is used for reference to the results of predecessors' research. Taking the reciprocal of the environmental comprehensive index as the undesired output data, using the DEA-Malmquist index to calculate the 2006-1015 year TFP results of 11 cities in Jiangxi Province, we can see that the total factor productivity index of Xinyu is the highest, and ranked as Xinyu, Nanchang, Yichun, Jingdezhen, Jiujiang, Pingxiang and Shangrao, Ji'an, Fuzhou, Ganzhou, Yingtan. Use Levinso Hn-Petrin semi parameter method is used to calculate the 2010-2015 year TFP results of 11 cities in Jiangxi province. The average ranking of the average TFP is Nanchang, Jiujiang, Pingxiang, Fuzhou, Yichun, Jingdezhen, Ji'an, Ganzhou, Xinyu, Shangrao, Yingtan. The total factor productivity index of the province is 0.977, and the total factor productivity index is 0.977. The average national value of 0.978 is slightly lower than that of Jiangxi and Fujian in the total factor productivity index ranking in Fourteenth place. In Jiangxi and other provinces and regions in Jiangxi, the green total factor productivity index is 1.013, higher than the national average of 0.982 and seventh, only lower than Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Chongqing. In the case of energy consumption and environmental pollution, the total factor productivity of Jiangxi has been improved. Compared with other provinces and municipalities, the economic development of Jiangxi province is still better in controlling the environmental pollution. In the process of economic development, the energy and environment are not very expensive, it is healthy, green, and sustainable. The overall factor productivity and green total factor productivity changes in Jiangxi Province, the overall decline trend, indicating that the quality of economic growth is not high, environmental pollution is also intensifying. From the final analysis of the factors affecting the green total factor productivity, it is found that the impact of industrial structure on it is positive, environmental regulation, energy consumption structure, trade opening. Degree, the degree of marketization of the government and the interaction of environmental regulation and the degree of government marketization are significantly negative. Finally, some policy suggestions are given. Jiangxi should optimize the industrial structure, improve the concentration of industrial organization, introduce advanced technology, pay attention to innovation and use environmentally friendly production technology to make enterprise sewage facilities more advanced. In environmental protection, we should advocate the protection of the environment, start from individuals, reduce environmental pollution, make rational use of investment in environmental pollution control and enhance the effect of investment. We should optimize the energy structure, actively develop new energy, increase clean energy and increase the proportion of the total energy consumption. In the use of advanced foreign technology, pay attention to the audit of foreign investment enterprises, mainly introduce high and new technology, energy saving and environment-friendly enterprises, increase the technical content of export products, improve the international competitiveness. The government should optimize the expenditure structure in financial expenditure, and pay attention to the intervention of the market, and do not intervene too much.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：江西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F224;F127

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