本文選題：RD投資 + 穩(wěn)健性�。� 參考：《北京化工大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：本文主要針對研發(fā)投資影響因素的穩(wěn)健性進(jìn)行實證研究,分別選取了中國省際數(shù)據(jù)2006-2010年的數(shù)據(jù)和金磚國家數(shù)據(jù)1999-2009年的數(shù)據(jù)作為研究樣本。首先,分析國內(nèi)外關(guān)于研發(fā)投資及其影響因素的研究現(xiàn)狀,并系統(tǒng)地學(xué)習(xí)相關(guān)的理論和方法。其次,運用極值邊界分析方法,以研發(fā)投資強(qiáng)度為被解釋變量,以人力資本積累和科學(xué)研究人員數(shù)量為核心解釋變量,以通過外商直接投資實現(xiàn)的國際技術(shù)轉(zhuǎn)移、專利保護(hù)強(qiáng)度和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長為關(guān)注解釋變量,同時引入人口密度、政府執(zhí)行研發(fā)占總研發(fā)的份額,以及其他宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)變量,如固定資本形成增長率、固定資本形成占地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值的比例、工業(yè)生產(chǎn)在地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值中所占的份額、通貨膨脹率、利率等為控制變量,建立極值邊界分析模型,對研發(fā)投資影響因素的穩(wěn)健性進(jìn)行分析。在此基礎(chǔ)上,針對三個關(guān)注的影響因素,提出三個假說,首先是國際技術(shù)轉(zhuǎn)移假說,從國外研發(fā)活動的受益可以通過外商直接投資傳輸并影響國內(nèi)研發(fā)投資的決策；二是專利權(quán)保護(hù)假說,研發(fā)投資率與知識產(chǎn)權(quán)和專利權(quán)的保護(hù)強(qiáng)度呈正相關(guān)；最后是收入增長假說,研發(fā)投資強(qiáng)度與收入變化密切相關(guān)。 分析結(jié)果表明,一省或一國的高等教育和科研人員數(shù)量是對研發(fā)投資強(qiáng)度具有積極影響的穩(wěn)健的決定因素,而通過外商直接投資實現(xiàn)的外國技術(shù)流入和收入增長率對一省或一國的研發(fā)投資無顯著影響,專利保護(hù)強(qiáng)度對決定一省或一國研發(fā)投資具有穩(wěn)健的積極影響。這一分析結(jié)果部分驗證了假說一,即通過外商直接投資實現(xiàn)的國際技術(shù)轉(zhuǎn)移對國內(nèi)研發(fā)投資既有抑制作用,也有溢出效應(yīng)。同時驗證了假說二,即研發(fā)投資強(qiáng)度與專利保護(hù)強(qiáng)度呈顯著正相關(guān)。最后否定了假說三的說法,實證結(jié)果說明研發(fā)投資強(qiáng)度與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長沒有顯著的正向或者負(fù)向關(guān)系。
[Abstract]:This paper mainly focuses on the robustness of R & D investment factors and selects the data of China inter-provincial data from 2006 to 2010 and BRICS data from 1999 to 2009 as the research samples. Firstly, the research status of R & D investment and its influencing factors at home and abroad is analyzed, and relevant theories and methods are systematically studied. Secondly, using the method of extreme value boundary analysis, taking the intensity of R & D investment as the explanatory variable, the accumulation of human capital and the number of scientific researchers as the core explanatory variables, the transfer of international technology through foreign direct investment (FDI). The intensity of patent protection and economic growth are explanatory variables of concern, along with the introduction of population density, the share of government R & D as a share of total R & D, and other macroeconomic variables, such as the growth rate of fixed capital formation, The ratio of fixed capital formation to regional gross domestic product (GDP), the share of industrial production in regional GDP, inflation rate, interest rate and so on are the controlling variables, and the extreme value boundary analysis model is established. The robustness of the factors affecting R & D investment is analyzed. On the basis of this, three hypotheses are put forward in view of the three influential factors. Firstly, the international technology transfer hypothesis. The benefits of foreign R & D can be transmitted through FDI and influence the decision of domestic R & D investment. The second is patent protection hypothesis, R & D investment rate is positively correlated with intellectual property rights and patent protection intensity, and finally is income growth hypothesis, R & D investment intensity is closely related to income change. The results show that the number of higher education and scientific research personnel in a province or a country is a robust determinant of the positive impact on R & D investment intensity. However, the inflow of foreign technology and the growth rate of income through FDI have no significant influence on the R & D investment of a province or a country, and the intensity of patent protection has a steady and positive impact on the R & D investment of a province or a country. The result of this analysis partly verifies the hypothesis that international technology transfer through foreign direct investment (FDI) not only inhibits domestic R & D investment but also has spillover effects. At the same time, it verifies hypothesis 2 that R & D investment intensity is significantly positively correlated with patent protection intensity. Finally, the hypothesis 3 is denied. The empirical results show that there is no significant positive or negative relationship between R & D investment intensity and economic growth.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京化工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F124.3

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