本文選題：服務(wù)貿(mào)易　切入點：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長　出處：《北京交通大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：我國建設(shè)的幾十年間,經(jīng)濟(jì)取得了顯著地發(fā)展,尤其是我國加入WTO之后,國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值從2002年的14538.2億美元,增長到了2012年的82622.3億美元,10年之間增長了大約6倍。與此同時,我國的服務(wù)貿(mào)易也取得了長足的發(fā)展,服務(wù)貿(mào)易的進(jìn)出口額從2002年的854億美元增長到2012年的4706億美元。經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展和增長作為熱門的話題,一直受到各國學(xué)者的關(guān)注。服務(wù)貿(mào)易和貨物貿(mào)易作為貿(mào)易的重要組成成分,對一國的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長起到了不可估量的作用,尤其是隨著20世紀(jì)60年代,各發(fā)達(dá)國家開始把服務(wù)貿(mào)易作為國際競爭的中心,服務(wù)貿(mào)易開始變成了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的新動力。但是,我國的服務(wù)貿(mào)易存在發(fā)展規(guī)模小、內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)不合理、區(qū)域發(fā)展不均衡、開放程度和競爭力偏低等問題。然而,伴隨著2007年由美國引發(fā)的波及世界各地的金融危機對各個國家的經(jīng)濟(jì)造成了沉重的打擊,我國的經(jīng)濟(jì)同樣受到了一定程度的打擊。如何加快服務(wù)貿(mào)易的快速發(fā)展,更好地發(fā)揮服務(wù)貿(mào)易對我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的推動效應(yīng),從而增強服務(wù)貿(mào)易在國際上的競爭力、縮小與發(fā)達(dá)國家的差距,已經(jīng)成為21世紀(jì)我們必須要面臨和解決的問題。 本文首先通過定性和定量研究,分析了我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀和存在的問題,然后通過進(jìn)一步分析服務(wù)貿(mào)易促進(jìn)我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的途徑,揭示了服務(wù)貿(mào)易對我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響方式和機制。最后,文章通過建立服務(wù)貿(mào)易總量和結(jié)構(gòu)的計量模型,利用實證的研究方法,分析了服務(wù)貿(mào)易的進(jìn)、出口以及運輸、旅游、通信、建筑、保險、金融、計算機和信息、專有權(quán)利使用費和特許費、咨詢、廣告宣傳、電影音像和其他商業(yè)服務(wù)十二個部門的進(jìn)、出口對我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的不同影響,并且得出了結(jié)論：我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易的進(jìn)、出口與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間存在著長期均衡穩(wěn)定的關(guān)系,并且服務(wù)貿(mào)易的出口與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長存在著顯著的正相關(guān)關(guān)系,同時服務(wù)貿(mào)易出口一直是我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的格蘭杰原因；服務(wù)貿(mào)易中不同部門的進(jìn)、出口都對我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有正相關(guān)效應(yīng),尤其是一些知識密集型和技術(shù)密集型的部門更是如此。綜合考慮不同部門進(jìn)、出口總體對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響,得到了排在前四名的部門,它們分別是旅游、其他商業(yè)服務(wù)、通信、運輸。因此,我國應(yīng)該積極發(fā)展服務(wù)貿(mào)易,重視服務(wù)貿(mào)易的出口,采取必要的措施,扶持和保護(hù)新興服務(wù)貿(mào)易部門的發(fā)展,發(fā)揮我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易的優(yōu)勢,縮小與世界各國的差距。
[Abstract]:During the decades of construction, China's economy has made remarkable development, especially after China's entry into WTO, the gross domestic product (GDP) increased from 1.45382 trillion US dollars in 2002 to 8.26223 trillion US dollars in 2012, an increase of about six times in 10 years.At the same time, China's trade in services has made great progress. The import and export of service trade has increased from 85.4 billion dollars in 2002 to 470.6 billion dollars in 2012.Economic development and growth as a hot topic, has been concerned by scholars all over the world.Trade in services and goods, as an important component of trade, has played an inestimable role in the economic growth of a country, especially with the beginning of the 1960s, the developed countries began to take trade in services as the center of international competition.Trade in services began to become a new engine of economic growth.However, there are some problems in China's service trade, such as small scale of development, unreasonable internal structure, unbalanced regional development, low degree of openness and low competitiveness.However, with the financial crisis caused by the United States in 2007, which affected the economies of various countries, the economy of our country has also been hit to a certain extent.How to speed up the rapid development of service trade and give full play to the impelling effect of service trade on China's economic growth, so as to enhance the competitiveness of service trade in the world and narrow the gap with developed countries.Has become the 21 st century we must face and solve the problem.In this paper, first of all, through qualitative and quantitative research, the author analyzes the current situation and existing problems of China's service trade, and then analyzes the ways of promoting China's economic growth through further analysis of service trade.Reveals the service trade to our country economic growth influence way and the mechanism.Finally, the paper analyzes the import and export of service trade, as well as transportation, tourism, communication, construction, insurance, finance, computer and information, by establishing the measurement model of the aggregate and structure of trade in services.Exclusive royalties and royalties, consulting, advertising, film, audio, video and other commercial services, the different effects of exports on China's economic growth, and the conclusion that China's trade in services is advancing,There is a long-term equilibrium and stability relationship between export and economic growth, and there is a significant positive correlation between export of trade in services and economic growth. Meanwhile, export of service trade has always been the Granger cause of economic growth in China.The import and export of different sectors of service trade have positive correlation effect on China's economic growth, especially in some knowledge-intensive and technology-intensive sectors.Taking into account the overall impact of imports and exports on economic growth, the top four sectors are tourism, other commercial services, communications and transportation.Therefore, China should actively develop service trade, attach importance to the export of service trade, take necessary measures to support and protect the development of emerging service trade sectors, give play to the advantages of China's service trade, and narrow the gap with the rest of the world.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;F752.68

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 徐光耀;;進(jìn)口服務(wù)貿(mào)易對我國不同服務(wù)行業(yè)發(fā)展的影響力分析[J];財經(jīng)論叢;2008年06期

2 李瑞琴;;服務(wù)貿(mào)易與貨物貿(mào)易自由化對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響的差異性研究[J];財貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2009年03期

3 孟靜;;我國服務(wù)業(yè)利用FDI與服務(wù)出口關(guān)系的實證研究[J];財貿(mào)研究;2008年03期

4 孔令丞;馬忠旺;;中國服務(wù)貿(mào)易推動經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng)研究——基于兩階段時間序列數(shù)據(jù)的實證分析[J];當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)管理;2009年07期

5 陳恩;黃桂良;;金融服務(wù)貿(mào)易對香港經(jīng)濟(jì)增長貢獻(xiàn)的實證分析[J];廣東社會科學(xué);2010年02期

6 王國安,楊軍安;我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易現(xiàn)狀分析[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2005年09期

7 潘愛民;;中國服務(wù)貿(mào)易開放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的長期均衡與短期波動研究[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2006年02期

8 李平;梁俊啟;;我國不同部門服務(wù)貿(mào)易對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2007年12期

9 蔣昭乙;;服務(wù)貿(mào)易與中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響機制實證研究[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2008年03期

10 韓振國;王玲利;;我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易出口對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響研究——基于1985-2006年時序數(shù)據(jù)的實證分析[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2009年03期

，

本文編號：1713577