發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-08 06:36

  本文選題：城鄉(xiāng)居民儲(chǔ)蓄余額　切入點(diǎn)：GDP增長　出處：《統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策》2017年16期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：高儲(chǔ)蓄、高增長是中國的一大特點(diǎn)。文章基于1992—2016年中國GDP和城鄉(xiāng)居民高儲(chǔ)蓄余額的數(shù)據(jù),采用線性最小二乘法建立了城鄉(xiāng)居民儲(chǔ)蓄額(Savings)推動(dòng)GDP增長的經(jīng)驗(yàn)回歸模型,通過積差系數(shù)檢驗(yàn)、回歸系數(shù)檢驗(yàn)、擬合優(yōu)度檢驗(yàn)以及殘差的齊次性檢驗(yàn)驗(yàn)證了經(jīng)驗(yàn)回歸方程的合理性,研究結(jié)果顯示:不存在奇異值和異方差,城鄉(xiāng)居民儲(chǔ)蓄余額(Savings)對(duì)GDP增長的貢獻(xiàn)率為99.7%。
[Abstract]:High savings and high growth are the characteristics of China. Based on the data of GDP and high savings balance of urban and rural residents in China from 1992 to 2016, the empirical regression model of saving amount of savings for urban and rural residents to promote GDP growth is established by using linear least square method. The rationality of empirical regression equation is verified by product coefficient test, regression coefficient test, goodness of fit test and homogeneity test of residuals. The results show that there are no singular values and heteroscedasticity. Savings balance of urban and rural residents contributed 99.7% to GDP growth.
【作者單位】： 鄭州大學(xué)西亞斯國際學(xué)院;
【基金】：河南省政府決策研究招標(biāo)項(xiàng)目(2015B174) 河南省科技廳項(xiàng)目(162400410526)
【分類號(hào)】：F124;F832.22

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