發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-01 19:14

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： “一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略 對(duì)外直接投資 技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng) 索洛殘差法　出處：《昆明理工大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略作為中國(guó)繪制的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展“新藍(lán)圖”,它的提出契合了沿線國(guó)家共同發(fā)展的目標(biāo),對(duì)實(shí)現(xiàn)共同繁榮意義深遠(yuǎn)。作為當(dāng)前全球經(jīng)濟(jì)的熱點(diǎn),“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略也面臨著一些問題。中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資是否給“一帶一路”沿線國(guó)家?guī)砹烁＠?回答這一問題不僅有助于為中國(guó)企業(yè)“走出去”營(yíng)造良好的環(huán)境,而且可以更好地指導(dǎo)中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資實(shí)踐。為此,本文首先分析了中國(guó)對(duì)“一帶一路”沿線國(guó)家直接投資的現(xiàn)狀;其次利用索洛殘差法測(cè)算了沿線國(guó)家的全要素生產(chǎn)率;最后,搜集和整理了 2005年-2014年中國(guó)與“一帶一路”沿線46個(gè)國(guó)家的數(shù)據(jù),在此基礎(chǔ)上進(jìn)行中國(guó)對(duì)沿線國(guó)家直接投資技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的實(shí)證研究。本文利用面板數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建了固定效應(yīng)模型和隨機(jī)效應(yīng)模型,從三個(gè)部分展開實(shí)證研究。第一部分為中國(guó)對(duì)“一帶一路”沿線國(guó)家直接投資技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的整體分析;第二部分為中國(guó)對(duì)“一帶”、“一路”、“交匯區(qū)”以及“東南亞”、“南亞”等細(xì)分區(qū)域直接投資技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的對(duì)比分析;第三部分為中國(guó)對(duì)沿線“發(fā)展中經(jīng)濟(jì)體”、“發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體”和“轉(zhuǎn)型經(jīng)濟(jì)體”直接投資技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的對(duì)比分析�；谝陨涎芯抗ぷ�,本文得出以下結(jié)論:首先,中國(guó)對(duì)“一帶一路”沿線國(guó)家直接投資存在短期負(fù)向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng),但長(zhǎng)期正向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)更顯著;其次,中國(guó)對(duì)“一路”和“一帶”區(qū)域直接投資存在短期負(fù)向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)和明顯的長(zhǎng)期正向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng),其中,中國(guó)對(duì)“東南亞”和“南亞”區(qū)域直接投資短期負(fù)向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)和長(zhǎng)期正向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)均表現(xiàn)明顯。中國(guó)對(duì)“交匯區(qū)”直接投資的短期正向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)和長(zhǎng)期負(fù)向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)不顯著,其中,中國(guó)對(duì)“中東歐”區(qū)域直接投資的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)表現(xiàn)不顯著,而中國(guó)對(duì)“西亞北非”區(qū)域直接投資存在短期正向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)和明顯的長(zhǎng)期負(fù)向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng);最后,中國(guó)對(duì)沿線“發(fā)展中經(jīng)濟(jì)體”和“轉(zhuǎn)型經(jīng)濟(jì)體”直接投資存在顯著的短期負(fù)向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)和長(zhǎng)期正向技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng),而對(duì)沿線“發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體”的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)不顯著。針對(duì)上述結(jié)論,本文提出了如下相關(guān)政策建議:加強(qiáng)對(duì)輿論的引導(dǎo)和中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資的正面宣傳,增進(jìn)東道國(guó)的認(rèn)同及互信;中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資應(yīng)“苦練內(nèi)功”,不斷提升自身的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)實(shí)力和投資效率;延伸產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈,提高中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資的輻射能力;加強(qiáng)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè),改善沿線國(guó)家的投資環(huán)境。通過中國(guó)對(duì)“一帶一路”沿線國(guó)家直接投資的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)研究,不僅有利于重塑中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資形象、增進(jìn)雙方認(rèn)同互信,而且有助于指導(dǎo)中國(guó)對(duì)沿線國(guó)家的直接投資實(shí)踐。
[Abstract]:"The Belt and Road" strategy as China drawing economic development "blueprint", it is proposed to fit the countries along the common development goals, to achieve common prosperity and far-reaching significance. As a hotspot of the global economy, "Belt and Road Initiative" strategy is also facing some problems. China's foreign direct investment will bring welfare to the "The Belt and Road along the country? To answer this question, not only helps to China enterprises to" go out "to create a good environment, but also can better guide the Chinese foreign direct investment practice. Therefore, this paper analyzed the current situation of direct investment to" Chinese Belt and Road Initiative along the country; secondly estimates the total productivity the elements along the country's using Solow residual method; finally, collecting and collating 2005 -2014 Chinese along with "The Belt and Road" data of 46 countries, on the basis of Chinese An empirical study on technology spillover effect of investment along the country directly. This paper constructs the fixed effect model and random effect model with panel data, empirical research is carried out from three parts. The first part is the analysis of the overall Chinese of The Belt and Road along the country's direct investment spillover effect; the second part is the "area", Chinese "all the way", "intersection" and "Southeast", "comparative analysis of South Asia and sub regional FDI technology spillover effect; the third part is China along the line of" developing economies "," comparative analysis of developed economies "and" transition economies "FDI Technology spillover effect. Based on the research work, this paper draws the following conclusions: first, the" Chinese Belt and Road Initiative along the country's direct investment to the short-term negative effects of technology spillover, but the long-term positive spillover effect Should be more significant; secondly, China of "one road" and "area" regional direct investment are short-term negative technology spillover effect and obvious long-term positive spillover effect, which China in Southeast Asia and South Asia regional direct investment short-term negative spillover effects and long-term positive spillover effect is obvious short term positive spillover effect on direct investment China "intersection zone" and the long term negative spillover effect is not significant, the technology spillover effects of direct investment China "in Eastern Europe" area is not significant, while the China of West Asia and North Africa regional direct investment has a short-term positive spillover effect and obvious long-term to the negative effect of technology spillover; finally, Chinese along the line of "developing economies" and "transition economies" direct investment have significant short-term negative spillover effect should be And long-term positive spillover effect, but no significant technology spillover effect on the "developed economies". According to the above conclusion, this paper puts forward the following policy recommendations: strengthening the guidance of public opinion and China foreign direct investment positive propaganda, increase the host country's identity and trust; Chinese foreign direct investment should be hard skills ", and continuously improve the competitiveness and efficiency of investment; extend the industrial chain, improve the ability of radiation China foreign direct investment; strengthen infrastructure construction, improve along the country's investment environment. Through the technology spillover effect of Chinese Belt and Road Initiative along the country's direct investment research, not only conducive to reshape the image of China foreign direct investment identity, enhance mutual trust, but also helps to guide the China along the country's direct investment practice.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：昆明理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F125

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