本文關(guān)鍵詞： 自然資源 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 資源詛咒 榆林資源富集區(qū)　出處：《西北大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：“資源詛咒”假說(shuō)說(shuō)明豐富的自然資源反而阻礙了當(dāng)?shù)亟?jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。作為新興的資源型城市,榆林市憑借著豐富的煤炭、石油、天然氣資源,經(jīng)濟(jì)取得了飛快的發(fā)展。1998-2013年榆林市國(guó)民生產(chǎn)總值增長(zhǎng)了近44倍,增長(zhǎng)速度位列陜西省各市區(qū)第一,成為帶動(dòng)陜西經(jīng)濟(jì)的第二大經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)體。直觀(guān)上看,榆林市的自然資源稟賦與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間并不存在明顯的“詛咒”現(xiàn)象,那么,究竟榆林作為資源富集區(qū)會(huì)不會(huì)出現(xiàn)像山西、新疆等地出現(xiàn)的“資源詛咒”現(xiàn)象,在經(jīng)歷短暫的繁榮之后,陷入增長(zhǎng)困境?這是本文研究的主要目的。 本文主要選取采掘業(yè)固定資產(chǎn)投資、制造業(yè)固定資產(chǎn)投資、采掘業(yè)從業(yè)人員、制造業(yè)從業(yè)人員、以及代表科技創(chuàng)新的技術(shù)費(fèi)用投入、代表人力資本積累的教育費(fèi)用投入、代表制度的進(jìn)出口總額為指標(biāo),運(yùn)用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中的多元回歸來(lái)分析它們與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系。結(jié)果顯示,目前榆林市并不存在著明顯的“資源詛咒”,采掘業(yè)目前還能夠給榆林市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)帶來(lái)正面效用。此外,除制造業(yè)固定資產(chǎn)投資以及技術(shù)費(fèi)用投入外,其他因素都對(duì)榆林市經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)產(chǎn)生了負(fù)面作用。結(jié)合“資源詛咒”傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制并通過(guò)大量的數(shù)據(jù)以及案例,對(duì)榆林市“資源詛咒”發(fā)生的可能性進(jìn)行了進(jìn)一步分析,得出以下幾點(diǎn)結(jié)論：榆林市采掘業(yè)的發(fā)展抑制了制造業(yè)的增長(zhǎng)；“擠出效應(yīng)”存在,采掘業(yè)對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新、教育擠出嚴(yán)重；榆林市存在著收入分配不均、居民可支配收入較低以及縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡等問(wèn)題；產(chǎn)權(quán)不清導(dǎo)致競(jìng)爭(zhēng)的激烈以及生態(tài)環(huán)境惡化。因此,本文從調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、增加人力資本積累、優(yōu)化產(chǎn)權(quán)制度、提高GDP含金量以及重視生態(tài)環(huán)境保護(hù)五方面提出了相應(yīng)的對(duì)策建議。 榆林資源富集區(qū)“資源詛咒”的驗(yàn)證大多集中于理論分析,本文采用多元回歸模型對(duì)該地區(qū)的“資源詛咒”存在性進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。在對(duì)榆林市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中“資源詛咒”產(chǎn)生可能性分析時(shí),除采用常見(jiàn)的“資源詛咒”的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制分析之外,還結(jié)合當(dāng)?shù)氐木唧w情況引入了GDP含金量概念,對(duì)其進(jìn)行了驗(yàn)證,使結(jié)論更符合當(dāng)?shù)亟?jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展實(shí)際情況,提出的規(guī)避對(duì)策更具有針對(duì)性。
[Abstract]:The "resource curse" hypothesis shows that rich natural resources hinder the development of the local economy. As a new resource-based city, Yulin is rich in coal, oil and natural gas. From 1998 to 2013, the gross national product of Yulin City grew by nearly 44 times, ranking first in all urban areas of Shaanxi Province, becoming the second largest economic entity to drive Shaanxi's economy. There is no obvious "curse" between natural resource endowment and economic growth in Yulin City. So, will there be a "resource curse" phenomenon in Yulin as a rich region of resources, such as Shanxi and Xinjiang? A growth dilemma after a brief boom? This is the main purpose of this paper. This paper mainly selects the fixed assets investment of extractive industry, the fixed assets investment of manufacturing industry, the workers of extractive industry, the workers of manufacturing industry, the technical cost investment representing the innovation of science and technology, and the investment of education cost of human capital accumulation. Using the multiple regression in econometrics to analyze the relationship between the total import and export of representative system and economic growth. At present, there is no obvious "resource curse" in Yulin City, and the extractive industry can bring positive effects to the economic growth of Yulin City. In addition, in addition to the fixed asset investment and technical cost investment in manufacturing, Other factors have a negative effect on the economic growth of Yulin City. Combined with the transmission mechanism of "resource curse" and through a large number of data and cases, the possibility of "resource curse" in Yulin city is further analyzed. Some conclusions are drawn as follows: the development of mining industry in Yulin City has restrained the growth of manufacturing industry, the existence of "extrusion effect", the serious extrusion of technology innovation and education by extractive industry, the uneven distribution of income in Yulin City, The low disposable income of residents and the unbalanced development of county economy, the fierce competition and the deterioration of ecological environment caused by unclear property rights lead to the adjustment of industrial structure, the increase of human capital accumulation and the optimization of property right system. The corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to improve the gold content of GDP and pay attention to ecological environment protection. The verification of "resource curse" in Yulin resource rich area is mostly focused on theoretical analysis. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the existence of "resource curse" in this area by using multivariate regression model, and analyzes the possibility of "resource curse" in the economic development of Yulin. In addition to the analysis of the transmission mechanism of the common "resource curse", the concept of GDP gold content is introduced in combination with the local specific conditions, which is verified to make the conclusion more in line with the actual situation of local economic development. The proposed circumvention countermeasures are more targeted.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F127

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 賈娜;;“資源詛咒”的典型性分析——以山西省為例[J];湖北財(cái)經(jīng)高等專(zhuān)科學(xué)校學(xué)報(bào);2011年01期

2 王浙鑫;;中國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與“資源詛咒”現(xiàn)象分析——以山西省為例[J];湖南醫(yī)科大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版);2010年03期

3 張景華;;自然資源是“福音”還是“詛咒”:基于制度的分析[J];上海經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2008年01期

4 欒貴勤;孫成龍;;“資源詛咒”對(duì)資源匱乏地區(qū)的影響及作用機(jī)制——以山西為例[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)問(wèn)題;2010年09期

5 景普秋;范昊;;挪威規(guī)避資源詛咒的經(jīng)驗(yàn)及其啟示[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)動(dòng)態(tài);2011年01期

6 徐康寧,韓劍;中國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的“資源詛咒”效應(yīng):地區(qū)差距的另一種解釋[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家;2005年06期

7 徐康寧;王劍;;自然資源豐裕程度與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平關(guān)系的研究[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2006年01期

8 邵帥;齊中英;;西部地區(qū)的能源開(kāi)發(fā)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)——基于“資源詛咒”假說(shuō)的實(shí)證分析[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2008年04期

9 胡健;焦兵;;我國(guó)石油天然氣行業(yè)技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的比較研究——從技術(shù)視角探討“資源詛咒”問(wèn)題[J];科學(xué)學(xué)研究;2010年02期

10 王高輝;;從資源環(huán)境角度分析資源詛咒現(xiàn)象[J];能源環(huán)境保護(hù);2010年04期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 段利民;資源詛咒與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)研究[D];西北大學(xué);2009年

，

本文編號(hào)：1517914