本文關鍵詞： 自有住房家庭 異質性 QUAIDS模型 福利　出處：《數(shù)理統(tǒng)計與管理》2017年03期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：為了解決八大類消費品價格數(shù)據(jù)不易得到的難題,本文構建投入產(chǎn)出價格模型,分別經(jīng)驗研究25個省(自治區(qū)和直轄市)住房價格同時變動不同幅度對八大類消費品價格的影響。25個省(自治區(qū)和直轄市)消費品價格變動幅度結果即為QUAIDS模型中的消費品價格變量。然后,本文采用CFPS2010數(shù)據(jù),在QUAIDS模型中加入反映家庭所在地區(qū)的人口特征變量,研究住房價格波動對自有住房家庭消費的區(qū)域異質性影響。研究結果表明住房價格波動對自有住房家庭生存型消費需求區(qū)域異質性影響的財富效應顯著,而對享受型和發(fā)展型消費需求區(qū)域異質性影響的擠出效應顯著。在此基礎上,本文進一步運用補償變動研究住房價格波動對自有住房家庭福利的區(qū)域異質性影響。研究結果表明為了提高自有住房家庭的生活質量和促進社會的和諧穩(wěn)定,政府應該把穩(wěn)定東部地區(qū)住房價格放在首位。且當遇到如何優(yōu)化家庭消費結構問題時,政府應該根據(jù)地區(qū)差異劃分市場。
[Abstract]:In order to solve the problem that the price data of eight categories of consumer goods are difficult to obtain, this paper constructs an input-output price model. The effects of different ranges of housing prices in 25 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government) on the prices of eight categories of consumer goods were studied empirically. The results of the price changes of consumer goods in 25 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government) are called QUAIDS model. Then, In this paper, the CFPS2010 data are used to add the population characteristic variables to the QUAIDS model, which reflect the region where the family is located. The results show that the impact of housing price fluctuation on the regional heterogeneity of residential household subsistence consumption demand is significant. However, the extrusion effect on the regional heterogeneity of consumption demand of enjoyment type and development type is significant. This paper further studies the regional heterogeneity effect of housing price fluctuation on the welfare of owner-housing families by means of compensation changes. The results show that in order to improve the quality of life of owner-housing families and promote social harmony and stability, The government should give priority to stabilizing housing prices in the east, and when faced with the problem of how to optimize household consumption structure, the government should divide the market according to regional differences.
【作者單位】： 復旦大學公共管理與公共政策研究國家哲學社會科學創(chuàng)新基地;江西財經(jīng)大學統(tǒng)計學院;
【基金】：福建省社會科學規(guī)劃項目青年博士論文項目(FJ2015C234)
【分類號】：F126.1;F299.23

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