我國(guó)全要素生產(chǎn)率的估計(jì)問(wèn)題研究方法及影響因素分析
本文關(guān)鍵詞:我國(guó)全要素生產(chǎn)率的估計(jì)問(wèn)題研究方法及影響因素分析 出處:《廈門(mén)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 生產(chǎn)率 估計(jì)方法 影響因素
【摘要】:經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系到國(guó)家長(zhǎng)期的穩(wěn)定發(fā)展以及社會(huì)福利的增加,因此這是每個(gè)國(guó)家非常重視和關(guān)心的話題。幾個(gè)世紀(jì)以來(lái),經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們也對(duì)這個(gè)問(wèn)題進(jìn)行了深入的探索。生產(chǎn)函數(shù)研究的興起,以及全要素生產(chǎn)率的出現(xiàn)使人們開(kāi)始討論經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的動(dòng)力或是影響因素有哪些。經(jīng)過(guò)了幾十年市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)體制,我國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)迅速發(fā)展,并且年均GDP增長(zhǎng)率始終保持在7%以上。但是隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的加深,競(jìng)爭(zhēng)日益激烈的國(guó)際市場(chǎng)暴露出我國(guó)很多經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展問(wèn)題,因此討論生產(chǎn)率的估計(jì)過(guò)程和影響因素,對(duì)了解生產(chǎn)率如何發(fā)展以及怎樣調(diào)整發(fā)展政策都具有十分重要的意義。 由于現(xiàn)階段學(xué)術(shù)界存在不同的測(cè)算生產(chǎn)率的方法,因此會(huì)得到不同的測(cè)算結(jié)果。為了使生產(chǎn)率的測(cè)算趨于準(zhǔn)確,本文在OP和LP估計(jì)方法基礎(chǔ)上進(jìn)行擴(kuò)展優(yōu)化,并檢驗(yàn)不同方法的準(zhǔn)確性;同時(shí),本文關(guān)注企業(yè)的出口,研發(fā)以及融資約束等一些因素對(duì)企業(yè)生產(chǎn)率的影響。以便未來(lái)能從具體的方面深入討論如何提高我國(guó)工業(yè)企業(yè)的生產(chǎn)率水平。 本文首先對(duì)國(guó)外主要的全要素生產(chǎn)率模型進(jìn)行整理,在引入出口,研發(fā)以及融資約束對(duì)中間投入要素影響的顯著性檢驗(yàn)后,構(gòu)建關(guān)于影響因素的生存概率函數(shù),并將生存概率函數(shù)與擴(kuò)展了自變量的中間投入要素函數(shù)放入OP和LP方法中進(jìn)行全要素生產(chǎn)率的估計(jì)。然后將估算出的全要素生產(chǎn)率作為因變量,出口,研發(fā)以及融資約束作為自變量建立回歸模型,并運(yùn)用廣義矩估計(jì)(GMM)的方法對(duì)影響因素進(jìn)行分地區(qū)的影響顯著性研究。測(cè)算結(jié)果表明優(yōu)化后的估計(jì)方法更好的包括了生產(chǎn)率的相關(guān)信息也更好的避免了選擇性偏誤,并且擴(kuò)展后的LP方法型比OP方法更好地克服了內(nèi)生性問(wèn)題。在第二步的驗(yàn)證中,優(yōu)化的OP和LP方法均顯示出口、研發(fā)以及融資約束對(duì)生產(chǎn)率的提高有明顯的促進(jìn)作用。但當(dāng)分地區(qū)進(jìn)行影響因素回歸時(shí),研發(fā)和出口顯示出地區(qū)效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:The relationship between economic growth and national long-term stable development and increase social welfare, so it is very important for each country and concerned about the topic. For centuries, economists have also conducted in-depth research on this issue. The rise of production function research, and will appear in productivity so that people began to discuss the power of economic growth or what factors affect the market economy. After several decades, China's rapid economic development, and the average annual GDP growth rate has remained above 7%. But with the deepening of economic globalization, the increasingly fierce competition in the international market has exposed many problems in the economic development of our country, so the estimation process and discuss the factors influencing productivity to understand, are of great significance to the development of productivity and how to adjust the development policy.
The methods of current academic circles exist different measurement of productivity, it will get different results. In order to make the calculation of productivity estimates tend to be accurate, based on the OP and LP estimation method based on extended optimization, and test the accuracy of different methods; at the same time, this paper pays attention to the export enterprises, R & D and some other effects of financing constraints the factors on the productivity of the enterprises. So in the future from the specific in-depth discussion on how to improve China's industrial productivity level.
In this paper, the total factor productivity model of main overseas, in the introduction of export, the significant factors affecting the development and financing constraints on intermediate inputs, build on the survival probability of impact factors, and the estimated survival probability and total factor productivity expansion variable intermediate input factor function in OP and LP methods. Total factor productivity is then estimated as the dependent variable, export, development and financing constraints as independent variables to establish regression model, and using the generalized moment estimation (GMM) method to study significant influence area of influence factors. The calculated results show that the better estimation of the optimized method includes relevant information productivity also better to avoid the selection bias, and the extension of LP is better than OP type method to overcome the endogeneity problem in second. In the verification of steps, the optimized OP and LP methods both show export, and R & D and financing constraints play a significant role in promoting productivity growth. However, when sub regional factors return, R & D and exports show regional effects.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:廈門(mén)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F124
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